Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Friday’s betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.
Top MLB Resources:
You can also track the latest odds and percentages for every game using our VSiN Betting Splits.
In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Friday’s MLB action...
7:05 p.m. ET: Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles (-180, 8)
The Royals (18-44) have lost six of their last seven games and just got swept at the Marlins, losing 6-1 on Wednesday as +155 road dogs. Meanwhile, the Orioles (38-24) just dropped two of three at the Brewers but avoided a sweep with a 6-3 win on Thursday as -110 road favorites. In tonight’s series opener, Kansas City hands the ball to lefty Daniel Lynch (0-1, 4.35 ERA) and Baltimore counters with righty Tyler Wells (4-2, 3.29 ERA). This line opened with the Orioles listed as a -165 home favorite and the Royals a +150 road dog. Sharps are laying the chalk with Baltimore at home, steaming the Orioles up from -165 to -180. Baltimore is receiving 88% of bets and 96% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. Home favorites off a win receiving 5-cents of steam or more are 105-48 (69%) this season with an 11% ROI. AL East teams facing non-AL East teams are 137-79 (63%). The Orioles have the edge at the plate (hitting .247 vs .230) and on the mound (team ERA 4.26 vs 5.10). Wells has a 2.45 ERA at home in six starts. Baltimore is 22-7 as a favorite, 15-8 against lefties and 17-12 at home. Kansas City is 15-35 as a dog, 13-32 against righties and 9-21 on the road. The Orioles also have correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (8), as the fewer amount of expected runs scored are more likely to come from the better team.
7:07 p.m.ET: Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays (-125, 8.5)
The Twins (31-32) have lost five straight and just got swept at the Rays, losing 4-2 yesterday as -105 road dogs. On the flip side, the Blue Jays (36-28) are 7-1 over their last eight games and just took three of four at home against the Astros, winning 3-2 yesterday as -105 home dogs. In tonight’s series opener, Minnesota taps righty Sonny Gray (4-1, 2.15 ERA) and Toronto sends out lefty Yusei Kikuchi (6-2, 4.40 ERA). This line opened with the Blue Jays listed as a -115 home favorite and the Twins a +105 road dog. Pros have pounced on Toronto laying a short chalk price at home, steaming the Jays up from -115 to -125. AL East teams facing AL Central teams are 49-21 (70%) this season. Toronto has a big edge at the plate, hitting .264 compared to .229 for Minnesota. The Blue Jays are 24-19 as a favorite and 18-11 at home. The Twins are 7-17 as a dog and 13-18 on the road. The Twins are just 1-5 in Gray’s last six starts. Pros are also leaning over, as the total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -115. The over is receiving 49% of bets but 95% of money, a massive sharp contrarian bet discrepancy.
