Today the weekend kicks off with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.
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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Saturday’s MLB action…
4:05 p.m. ET: Texas Rangers (-130, 8.5) at New York Yankees
The Rangers (47-28) took Friday night’s series opener 4-2, taking care of business as -110 road favorites. In this late afternoon rematch, Texas hands the ball to righty Jon Gray (6-2, 2.96 ERA) and the Yankees (41-35) counter with fellow righty Luis Severino (0-2, 6.30 ERA). This line opened with the Rangers listed as a -115 road favorite and the Yankees a -105 home dog. Sharps have pounced on Texas laying the short chalk price, steaming the Rangers up from -115 to -130. Texas is receiving roughly 75% of bets and dollars, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. Non-division road favorites are 112-64 (64%) this season, producing a 14% ROI. The Rangers have a big edge at the plate, hitting .272 vs .229 for the Yankees. Texas is 29-15 as a favorite, 33-20 against righties and 23-15 on the road. The Rangers also have the far fresher bullpen, tossing 7 innings over the past three games compared to 13.2 innings for the Yankees. Texas is 7-1 in Gray’s last eight starts. Gray has better ERA on the road (2.02) than at home (3.79). Severino has a 9.16 ERA in four June starts, with the Yankees going 1-3 in those games.
4:05 p.m. ET: Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles (-110, 8.5)
The Mariners (37-37) rolled 13-1 in last night’s series opener, easily cashing as -115 road favorites. In today’s rematch, Seattle starts righty Bryce Miller (5-3, 3.68 ERA) and the Orioles (45-29) send out fellow righty Dean Kremer (8-3, 4.56 ERA). This line opened with Seattle listed as a -110 road favorite and Baltimore a +100 home dog. Sharps are banking on the Orioles to bounce back with a win, flipping Baltimore from +110 to -110. In other words, the Orioles are taking in sharp "dog to favorite" line movement. Baltimore is receiving 57% of bets and 65% of money, signaling modest public support but also respected smart money. The Orioles are 19-9 (68%) off a loss this season, tied with Arizona for the best in baseball. Baltimore has the better bats (hitting .252 vs .230). The Orioles are 26-7 as a favorite, 28-20 against righties and 22-14 at home. Seattle is 8-14 as a dog, 26-29 against righties and 16-20 on the road. Miller has a 5.28 ERA in three June starts and a 4.57 ERA on the road (compared to 3.03 at home). Baltimore is 7-1 in Kremer’s last eight starts. Sharps are also leaning over, as the total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -120. The forecast calls for mid 80s with 5 MPH winds blowing out to dead center.
