Today the weekend kicks off with a loaded slate of 16 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.
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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Saturday’s MLB slate…
4:10 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros (-175, 8.5)
This is the third game of a four-game series. The Astros (34-23) have taken the first two games, winning the opener 5-2 as -145 home favorites and then winning again on Friday 6-3 as -130 home favorites. In this late afternoon rematch, the Angels (30-29) turn to lefty Patrick Sandoval (3-4, 3.42 ERA) and the Astros counter with righty Cristian Javier (6-1, 2.97 ERA). This line opened with Houston listed as a -165 home favorite and Los Angeles a +150 road dog. Sharps are riding the hot hand at home, steaming the Astros up from -165 to -175. Houston is receiving roughly 85% of bets and dollars, signaling a heavy dose of Pro and Joe support. The Astros are 24-17 as a favorite, 10-5 against lefties and 17-13 at home. Javier posted a 2.40 ERA in May and the Astros went 5-0 in his five May starts. The Astros also enjoy a distinct bullpen advantage. Houston is 12-5 (71%) against divisional opponents this season. The total is 8.5 with slight -115 juice to the under. The under is receiving 54% of bets but 86% of money, a notable sharp bet discrepancy.
4:10 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (-115, 9) at New York Mets
The Blue Jays (21-37) took last night’s Interleague series opener 3-0, cashing as +110 road dogs. In today’s rematch, Toronto starts righty Jose Berrios (5-4, 3.86 ERA) and the Mets (20-38) send out fellow righty Tylor Megill (5-3, 4.67 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -115 home favorite and Toronto a +105 road dog. The public is backing the Mets to bounce back at home. However, despite New York receiving 62% of bets, we’ve seen this line completely flip to Toronto -115. Essentially, we are seeing sharp "dog to favorite" line movement on the Blue Jays. Interleague road favorites off a win are 34-15 (69%) this season. AL East teams vs non-AL East teams are 123-71 (63%). The Jays have the edge at the plate (hitting .266 vs .242) and on the mound (team ERA 3.83 vs 4.53). Toronto is 21-18 as a favorite. New York is 5-8 as a dog. Berrios had a 3.19 ERA in May, with the Jays going 4-2 in his six starts. Megill had a 5.28 ERA in six May starts. Pros are also leaning under, as the total is 9 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible drop down to 8.5. When the total is 9 or more in an Interleague game, the under is 52-36 (59%) this season. Both teams are 4-1 to the under in their last five games.
