Today the weekend wraps up with a loaded slate of 15 MLB games. You can track the latest odds and percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.
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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Sunday’s MLB action…
12:05 p.m. ET: Minnesota Twins (-115, 9) at Baltimore Orioles
The Twins (42-42) have taken the first two games of this three-game series, winning the opener 8-1 as -105 road dogs and then winning again yesterday 1-0 as +125 road dogs. In this early afternoon series finale, the Twins hand the ball to righty Sonny Gray (4-2, 2.67 ERA) and the Orioles (48-33) counter lefty Cole Irvin (1-3, 7.18 ERA). This line opened at a pick’em with both sides listed at roughly -105. The public is split down the middle with 50% of bets on both sides. However, despite this even bet split we’ve seen Minnesota move from -105 to -115. This signals smart money backing the Twins to complete the sweep. Non-division road favorites off a win are 99-59 (63%) this season with as 5% ROI. Minnesota is 31-20 as a favorite. Baltimore is 18-20 as a dog. The Twins also have the far fresher bullpen, tossing 9 innings over the past 3 games compared to 14.1 innings for the Orioles. Pros have also hit the over, raising the total from 8.5 to 9. The over is receiving 54% of bets but 64% of money, a sharp bet discrepancy. The forecast calls for mid 80s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing out to center. Baltimore is 7-3 to the over in their last ten games.
2:35 p.m. ET: Houston Astros at Texas Rangers (-135, 9)
This is the rubber match of a three-game series. The Astros (45-38) took the opener 5-3, cashing as +150 road dogs. Then the Rangers (50-33) bounced back with a 5-2 win yesterday, taking care of business as -130 home favorites. In today’s series finale, Houston starts righty Shawn Dubin (0-0, 10.80 ERA) and Texas goes with lefty Andrew Heaney (5-5, 4.38 ERA). This line opened with Astros listed as a -125 road favorite and the Rangers a +115 home dog. Pros have gotten down hard Texas, driving the Rangers all the way to -135. This signals sharp "dog to favorite" line movement on Texas. The Rangers are receiving 65% of bets and 82% of money, a sharp bet discrepancy. Home favorites off a win receiving 5-cents of steam or more are 122-67 (65%) this season. Texas has a big edge at the plate, hitting .275 compared to .247 for Houston. Sharps have also leaned over, as the total is 9 with the over juiced to -115, signaling a possible rise up to 9.5. The over is receiving 56% of bets and 75% of money, a notable sharp discrepancy. The over is 25-15 (63%) at Globe Life Park.
