Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Thursday’s betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.
You can also track the latest odds and percentages for every games using our VSiN Betting Splits.
In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Thursday’s MLB slate…
1:05 p.m. ET: Arizona Diamondbacks (-155, 9.5) at Washington Nationals
The Diamondbacks (45-30) just took two of three at the Brewers, winning Wednesday’s series finale 5-1 as -150 road favorites. On the other hand, the Nationals (28-45) just dropped two of three at home against the Cardinals but won yesterday’s series finale 3-0 as +135 home dogs. In this early afternoon series opener, Arizona hands the ball to lefty Tommy Henry (3-1, 4.66 ERA) and Washington sends out righty Jake Irvin (1-3, 5.25 ERA). This line opened with the Diamondbacks listed as a -145 road favorite and the Nats a +130 home dog. Sharps have gotten down on Arizona, steaming the Snakes up from -145 to -155. The Diamondbacks are receiving 86% of bets and 93% of money, indicating lopsided action from both the public and wiseguys. Non-division road favorites are 109-64 (63%) this season, producing a 13% ROI. Arizona is 24-10 as a favorite, 32-19 against righties and 22-12 on the road. Washington is 26-44 as a dog, 8-20 against lefties and 13-26 at home.
6:40 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins (-135, 7.5)
The Pirates (34-39) have lost nine straight games and just got swept at home against the Cubs, losing 8-3 on Wednesday as +100 dogs. Meanwhile, the Marlins (42-33) just dropped two of three at home against the Blue Jays, losing 6-3 yesterday as +115 dogs. In tonight’s series opener, the Pirates start righty Mitch Keller (8-3, 3.62 ERA) and the Marlins counter with lefty Braxton Garrett (3-2, 3.88 ERA). This line opened with Miami listed as a -125 home favorite and Pittsburgh a +110 road dog. Sharps have laid the short chalk with Miami, steaming the Marlins up from -125 to -135. Miami is receiving 77% of bets and 82% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. The Marlins have a big edge at the plate, hitting .260 versus .240 for the Pirates. Miami is 21-11 as a favorite, 33-23 against righties and 22-15 at home. The Marlins also have correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (7.5), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the better team. Keller has a 5.19 ERA in three June starts. Keller has a 4.44 ERA on the road (compared to 2.78 at home). Garrett has a 2.76 ERA in three June starts. Miami is 3-0 in those three games.
