Today we have a loaded slate of 15 MLB games to choose from. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits.
In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of MLB games today.
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7:05 p.m. ET: Miami Marlins at New York Yankees (-190, 8)
The Yankees (9-2) cruised in Monday night’s Interleague series opener 7-0, easily cashing as -150 home favorites. In tonight’s rematch, the Marlins (1-10) send out lefty A.J. Puk (0-2, 9.00 ERA) and the Yankees rebuttal with fellow southpaw Carlos Rodon (0-0, 2.79 ERA). This line opened with the Yankees listed as a -180 home favorite and the Marlins a +165 road dog. Sharps aren’t outsmarting themselves and have laid the hefty chalk with New York, steaming the Yankees up from -180 to -190. The Yankees are receiving roughly 95% of moneyline bets and dollars, signaling heavily lopsided support from both pros and casual bettors. New York has the better offense (hitting .249 vs .210) and better pitching (team ERA 2.79 vs 5.40). The Yankees have the far better bullpen as well (ERA 2.81 vs 5.69). Interleague favorites off a win are 230-140 (62%) since the start of last season. New York also has value as a favorite in a low total game (8), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the better team. The Yankees are 2-0 in Rodon’s first two starts. The Marlins are 0-2 in Puk’s first two starts.
7:40 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Dodgers (-190, 8.5) at Minnesota Twins
The Dodgers (9-4) won last night’s Interleague series opener 4-2, taking care of business as -135 road favorites. In tonight’s rematch, Los Angeles starts righty Tyler Glasnow (2-0, 3.18 ERA) and the Twins (3-5) go with fellow righty Louie Varland (0-1, 6.75 ERA). This line opened with the Dodgers listed as a -170 road favorite and the Twins a +145 home dog. Sharps aren’t scared off by the expensive price and have steamed Los Angeles, driving the Dodgers up from -170 to -190. Los Angeles is receiving over 90% of moneyline bets and dollars, indicating heavy support from both Pros and Joes. The Dodgers have a big edge at the plate, hitting .279 vs .181 for the Twins. Los Angeles has recorded 17 home runs and 73 runs overall, while Minnesota has only hit four home runs and scored 23 runs. Road favorites are 30-13 (70%) this season. The Dodgers also have value as an Interleague favorite, with the lack of familiarity benefiting the better team. Interleague favorites off a win are 230-140 (62%) since the start of last season. The Dodgers are 3-0 in Glasnow’s first three starts.
7:45 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Phillies (-135, 7.5) at St. Louis Cardinals
The Phillies (5-5) took last night’s series opener 5-3 in extra innings, cashing as -105 road dogs. In tonight’s rematch, the Phillies hand the ball to righty Zack Wheeler (0-1, 0.75 ERA) and the Cardinals (5-6) counter with fellow righty Sonny Gray (8-8, 2.79 ERA in 2023), who is making his St. Louis debut. This line opened with Philadelphia listed as a -125 road favorite and St. Louis a +105 home dog. Sharps have pounced on the Phillies laying short chalk, steaming Philadelphia up from -125 to -135. The Phillies are receiving roughly 80% of moneyline bets and dollars, signaling lopsided support from both wiseguys and the betting public. The Phillies have the better bats (hitting .233 vs .217) and better pitching (team ERA 4.05 vs 4.55). Road favorites are 30-13 (70%) this season. Non-division road favorites off a win are 11-6 (65%) this season and 525-346 (60%) since 2021. The Phillies have value as a favorite in a low total game (7.5), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the better team. Wheeler has only given up one earned run over 12 innings pitched in his first two starts.
