Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Wednesday’s betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.
Top MLB Resources:
You can also track the latest odds and percentages for every game using our VSiN Betting Splits.
In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Wednesday’s MLB slate...
6:10 p.m. ET: Kansas City Royals at Miami Marlins (-175, 8.5)
The Marlins (34-28) have taken the first two games of this three-game Interleague series, winning Monday’s opener 9-6 as -165 home favorites and then winning again on Tuesday 6-1 as -165 home favorites. In tonight’s early evening series finale, the Royals (18-43) turn to righty Jordan Lyles (0-9, 6.89 ERA) and the Marlins counter with righty Edward Cabrera (4-4, 4.50 ERA). This line opened with Miami listed as a -160 home favorite and Kansas City a +145 road dog. Pros are banking on the Marlins to complete the sweep, steaming Miami up from -160 to -175. The Marlins are receiving 88% of bets and 96% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. Home favorites off a win receiving 5-cents of steam or more are 99-47 (68%) this season, producing a 10% ROI. The Marlins have a distinct edge at the plate, hitting .262 compared to .233 for the Royals. Miami is 16-10 as a favorite, 25-19 against righties and 20-13 at home. Meanwhile, Kansas City is 15-33 as a dog, 13-31 against righties and 9-20 on the road. The Royals are 0-12 in games started by Lyles this season. Lyles has an ERA of 9.89 on the road. Cabrera is 4-0 at home with a 2.77 ERA.
8:05 p.m. ET: St. Louis Cardinals at Texas Rangers (-145, 9)
The Rangers (40-20) have won the first two games of this three-game set, taking the opener 4-3 as -145 home favorites and then winning again yesterday 6-4 as -135 home favorites. In tonight’s Interleague series finale, the Cardinals (25-37) hand the ball to righty Jack Flaherty (3-4, 4.55 ERA) and the Rangers send out fellow righty Jon Gray (6-1, 2.51 ERA). This line opened with Texas listed as a -135 home favorite and St. Louis a +120 road dog. Pros aren’t outsmarting themselves on this one. They’re laying the chalk with the red-hot Rangers at home, driving Texas up from -135 to -145. The Rangers are receiving 77% of bets and 92% of money, indicating public support but also heavy smart money. Interleague home favorites off a win receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 27-12 (69%) this season. Texas has the edge at the plate (hitting .278 vs .251) and on the mound (team ERA 3.62 vs 4.28). The Rangers are 25-10 as a favorite, 28-14 against righties and 21-8 at home. The Cardinals are 9-15 as a dog, 18-28 against righties and 13-21 on the road. Texas is 6-0 in Gray’s last six starts.
