Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants:

On Wednesday, the San Francisco Giants try to remain within shouting distance of a National League Wild Card spot. They have a golden opportunity for a win as they host the Chicago White Sox, a team that entered Tuesday with a 30-96 record.

The Giants’ home ballpark, Oracle Park, is known for being one of the most pitcher-friendly in the league. Giants starting pitcher Logan Webb has used this to his advantage.

 

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Since entering the league in 2019, Webb has a 2.68 ERA at home and 0.4 home runs per nine innings allowed. His home runs per nine innings rate has doubled, bringing his ERA to 4.07.

Webb has a 3.15 ERA overall in 2024. Despite his strikeouts per nine rate at just 7.7, he owns a 2.80 fielding independent with 2.2 walks and 0.4 home runs per nine innings allowed. Specifically, at home, Webb has a 2.26 ERA and has allowed three home runs in 83 1/3 innings this season.

To further Webb’s cause, he faces a White Sox team that entered Tuesday last in road batting average at .217, last in the American League in home runs, and their 3.1 runs per game are 0.6 runs per game fewer than the second-worst lineup in the league.

All-Star Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox. Crochet figures not to lend a lot of length as he has pitched four innings or fewer in each of his past nine starts, though he should be effective in the innings he does fill.

Crochet has a 3.61 ERA, 12.7 strikeouts to 2.2 walks per nine innings, and a 2.85 fielding independent. The White Sox bullpen ranks 29th in ERA, entering Tuesday with a 4.99 ERA.

Since July 1, the Giants have the second-best bullpen ERA in the National League at 3.36.

With the Giants hitting the fewest home runs per game of any team at home in the league and the White Sox scoring struggles, Wednesday’s series finale will be dominated by the pitchers.

MLB Pick: Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants Under 7.5 Runs

To find more baseball value bets and MLB picks, visit Greg Peterson’s daily MLB lines

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Greg Peterson
Greg, originally from Wisconsin and a UW Oshkosh alumnus, is widely recognized in the sports media industry, particularly for his expertise in college basketball, which earned him the nickname "Hoops" from Brent Musburger. He has worked with Vanderbilt and Oregon's flagship stations and joined VSIN in 2017. Greg contributes to various channels, hosting "The Baseball Betting Show" and "Coast To Coast Hoops" podcasts, and writes for DK Nation, building on his experience with over 500 articles for the New York Post. Known for his analytical approach, he produces daily spreadsheets for college basketball and MLB games, focusing on educating bettors about the importance of betting on numbers rather than teams.