Best Bets on Today’s MLB Player Props Market
We’re in the final stretch of the 2023 MLB season and VSiN continues to have you covered with every way you can possibly bet on a baseball game. As always, Adam Burke will have daily best bets to give you some ideas of what to back when it comes to moneylines, run lines and totals. However, I’m tackling player props here, and I’m targeting Clayton Kershaw, Patrick Corbin and Kyle Hendricks on Tuesday, September 5th. Keep reading to find out how I’m betting on all of them.
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MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on September 5
Here are our favorite MLB prop bets for Tuesday, September 5th:
Los Angeles Dodgers (-142, 7.5) at Miami Marlins
Clayton Kershaw has been great for the Dodgers, as he’s 12-4 with a 2.48 ERA this season. Kershaw has also allowed one or fewer earned runs in each of his last six starts. And a big part of that is that Los Angeles is being very careful with his pitch count recently. Kershaw hasn’t pitched more than 5.0 innings since June, as the Dodgers don’t want him aggravating the shoulder injury that landed him on the IL in July. That’s a big part of the reason Kershaw’s earned run total is so low. But I tend to think this is a difficult matchup for the lefty, as Miami has been solid against southpaws this season. Kershaw is also a bit worse on the road than he is at home. With that in mind, I think it’s very reasonable to expect two or more runs from the Marlins here. Miami is coming off a series in which the team scored at least six runs in all four games.
Bet: Kershaw Over 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-140)
New York Mets (-142, 9) at Washington Nationals
Patrick Corbin is coming off a start in which he gave up six earned runs on 10 hits in 5.0 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays. The fact that he still pitched that much in that game should show you that Washington is still looking for Corbin to eat some innings. Corbin has recorded at least 17 outs in 17 of his 27 starts this season. So, he pretty regularly works somewhat deep in games, and I think he’ll pitch at least six innings against the Mets tonight. Corbin has gone Over the 16.5-out mark in both of his outings against New York this year, and the Mets have been one of the worst hitting teams against southpaws since the start of July in terms of wRC+. So, I don’t see New York getting to Corbin too much here.
Bet: Corbin Over 16.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
San Francisco Giants at Chicago Cubs (-130, 10.5)
I have been burned by Kyle Hendricks strikeout props a few times this season, as they’re so low that they can be very tempting. And I couldn’t stop myself tonight either, but I think it’ll end up turning out well. Hendricks comes into this game after having recorded at least four strikeouts in 10 of his last 13 outings. He has regularly hit the four-strikeout mark, and Hendricks now faces a Giants team with the fourth-highest strikeout rate in baseball. Hendricks pitched 8.0 innings of shutout ball against San Francisco back on June 10th, but he only struck out three batters in that game. But with him being this confident in the matchup, I’d be surprised if he doesn’t have at least four strikeouts here. These Giants hitters just don’t have any plate discipline.
Bet: Hendricks Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-150)
Did you know that you can parlay these three picks together at +445 odds? Try out our VSiN Parlay Calculator HERE!
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