MLB Player Props for Monday, June 3
The 2024 MLB season is in full swing and we continue to come at it from a bunch of different directions. This season, VSiN Managing Editor Adam Burke will have you covered when it comes to MLB sides and totals in his daily best bets column. You’ll also get some First Five Inning analysis from Jonathan Von Tobel. On top of that, our analytics guru Steve Makinen will feed you some interesting trends and systems on a daily basis. But I’ll be focusing specifically on MLB player props this season, dishing out at least three per day every Monday to Friday. With that in mind, let’s get into the plays for Monday, June 3rd.
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New York Mets at Washington Nationals – 6:45 pm ET
Tylor Megill is coming off a start in which he struck out nine batters in 7.0 shutout innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers. It was a very impressive outing for a guy that is now 0-2 with a 1.69 ERA in three appearances this season. Megill seems to always start off the year strong, but he generally fades pretty quickly. Megill has a 36.1% hard hit rate and 33.3% sweet spot percentage through three starts, but I’d be shocked if those numbers don’t go up soon. Megill has mostly been way higher than that in both categories in recent seasons. And I’ll be honest, this Nationals lineup has the ability to put some runs on the board. Washington has been playing some solid baseball this season, and the team is now 6-4 in its last 10 games. So, this isn’t as good of a matchup as it might seem.
Pick: Megill Over 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-115)
Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers – 8:05 pm ET
Nathan Eovaldi is coming off a groin injury that put him on IL, but this will be the righty’s second start since returning. Eovaldi gave up two earned in 3.0 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the first one, but he should have a bit of a longer leash here. And I think he has a good shot at racking up strikeouts tonight, even in an abbreviated start. Before going on IL, Eovaldi had struck out at least six hitters in three consecutive starts. And overall, he’s a guy that can always be relied on to miss some bats. His 25.3% strikeout rate is good evidence of that. Well, Eovaldi now faces a Tigers team that has the eighth-highest strikeout rate in the league against righties, so this is definitely a favorable matchup. That said, I think this is a really low number for Eovaldi to clear.
Pick: Eovaldi Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-135)
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Angels – 9:40 pm ET
Before pitching 7.0 innings against the Miami Marlins last Tuesday, Matt Waldron had pitched fewer than 6.0 innings in four consecutive starts. However, I like Waldron to record at least 18 outs in Monday’s start against the Angels. It’s just hard not to like the fact that Waldron is going up against an Angels team that is 26th in the league in wRC+ against right-handed pitching this year. This is not a lineup that does damages against righties, and Waldron’s pitching style should allow him to take advantage of that and work deep in this game. Of course, Angel Stadium is a hitter-friendly ball park, which makes things a little scarier here. But Waldron’s knuckleball should be super effective, even in this environment.
Pick: Waldron Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (-124)
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