MLB Player Props for Tuesday, June 4
The 2024 MLB season is in full swing and we continue to come at it from a bunch of different directions. This season, VSiN Managing Editor Adam Burke will have you covered when it comes to MLB sides and totals in his daily best bets column. You’ll also get some First Five Inning analysis from Jonathan Von Tobel. On top of that, our analytics guru Steve Makinen will feed you some interesting trends and systems on a daily basis. But I’ll be focusing specifically on MLB player props this season, dishing out at least three per day every Monday to Friday. With that in mind, let’s get into the plays for Tuesday, June 4th.
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Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees – 7:05 pm ET
New York lost Gerrit Cole to an injury to start the season, but Luis Gil has filled in admirably as the team’s ace. Gil is 7-1 with a 1.99 ERA and 79 strikeouts in 63.1 innings pitched. And he’s now looking like a big part of the Yankees’ present and future. However, Gil’s hard hit rate was 39.4% in 2021 and 41.7% in 2022. This year, the righty’s number is all the way down at 29.9%. That seems a little unsustainable, so I’d expect some regression soon. And Gil does have a pretty tough matchup tonight. Minnesota has the 13th-highest wRC+ against righties this season, and the team’s wRC+ is even higher when you factor in only April 15th and beyond. This a dangerous lineup for right-handed pitchers and Yankee Stadium is a hitter-friendly park. That said, I think it’s a little nuts that you don’t have to lay too much juice to get Gil to give up just two earned runs.
Pick: Gil Over 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-154)
Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies – 8:40 pm ET
Tonight’s meeting between the Reds and Rockies has the highest total on the board. That’s why I immediately looked at some of the matchups and found a batter prop for this game. I ultimately landed on Stuart Fairchild to go Over 1.5 hits, runs and RBIs. Fairchild should be on the field tonight, as he’s batting .317 with two doubles, three homers and 11 RBIs against left-handed pitching this season. And it’ll be lefty Ty Blach that takes the mound for Colorado. Blach has actually been really good when starting games at Coors Field, which is impressive considering it’s the most hitter-friendly park in the league. But Blach is also due for some regression and Fairchild is a hitter that should be able to give him some trouble.
Pick: Fairchild Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-135)
Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics – 9:40 pm ET
Mitch Spence threw 98 pitches in 5.1 shutout innings against the Tampa Bay Rays on May 28th. That lengthy outing means that Spence has successfully been stretched out as a starter, so I’m not too worried about him coming out of this game early. That’s important when looking to go Over on somebody’s strikeout total. I know Spence has only had at least five strikeouts twice this year, but the Mariners have the highest strikeout rate in the league against righties this year. And Spence has had at least four strikeouts in each of his last four outings. Well, if Spence can rack up four strikeouts against teams that are better about making contact, he should find a way to do it against this chase-heavy lineup. It should also help that Spence is a unique pitcher. He doesn’t really throw a traditional fastball, so he could throw these Mariners hitters off.
Pick: Spence Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-120)
Monday’s Picks
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