MLB Player Props for Wednesday, April 24th
The 2024 MLB season is finally here. After another wild offseason and an exciting couple of weeks of Spring Training, we’re ready for some games that matter. This season, VSiN Managing Editor Adam Burke will have you covered when it comes to MLB sides and totals in his daily best bets column. You’ll also get some First Five Inning analysis from Jonathan Von Tobel. On top of that, our analytics guru Steve Makinen will feed you some interesting trends and systems on a daily basis. But I’ll be focusing specifically on MLB player props this season, dishing out at least three per day every Monday to Friday. With that in mind, let’s get into the plays for Wednesday, April 24th.
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New York Mets at San Francisco Giants – 3:45 pm ET
Blake Snell is off to a miserable start this season, as he’s 0-3 with an 11.57 ERA. But Snell has to be looking at this meeting with the Mets as a get-right spot. Last year, Snell gave up only three earned runs over 11.0 innings against New York. And while he’s not the same pitcher right now, he should still be able to navigate this lineup. The reality is that Snell’s velocity and spin rates don’t look terrible this year. He has lost quite a bit on his curveball, but he should get it figured out. Snell just needs to find his groove after waiting a while to get a contract signed over the summer. But I’m expecting signs of life here.
Last year, the Mets were just 20th in the league in wRC+ against southpaws. That makes it hard to believe in New York being seventh in the league at this point in the 2024 season. Some regression is likely for both parties in this game, which is why I like the plus-money odds on Snell to pitch at least 6.0 innings.
Pick: Snell Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (+123)
Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels – 4:10 pm ET
Dean Kremer is another pitcher that is off to a slow start, as he’s 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA in four starts this year. But I like Kremer to go Over his strikeout total against the Angels. Kremer has only had one start this year in which he has struck out more than five batters, but Los Angeles has the 10th-highest strikeout rate in the league against right-handed pitching. This has been a team that has had some trouble making contact against righties, and I have been targeting them quite a bit with strikeout totals because of that. And I have won on pitchers with much less impressive stuff than Kremer. That said, it’s really hard to lay off this at plus-money odds. Kremer still looks like he is pitching his way into form, but this is about when players find it. And this is a good matchup for him to accelerate the process.
Pick: Kremer Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+120)
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies – 8:40 pm ET
Charlie Blackmon has gone a little cold lately, as his batting average is down to .240 after a good start to the season. But I like Blackmon to do some damage at the plate today, as he gets a shot at righty Matt Waldron in a game with the highest total on the board. Waldron is a really interesting pitcher, as the knuckleball accounts for 36.0% of his pitch distribution. And the other pitch he throws a lot is a fastball that sits right around 90 MPH. With that in mind, it isn’t very difficult to make contact against Waldron. That is evidenced by his 41.3% sweet spot % this year. And if players are making contact with his pitches in Coors Field, he’s going to be in trouble. With that in mind, I’m going to Blackmon over some of these other Rockies. At the very least, it’s nice knowing his place in the lineup means more at-bats.
Pick: Blackmon Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+105)
Added Plays
Jordan Montgomery Over 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+110) vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Tuesday’s Plays
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