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Greg Peterson posts his daily handicapped MLB lines for every game every day. Based on his lines vs. the actual lines, here is where Peterson sees value on today’s menu. Peterson also does a daily podcast, The Baseball Betting Show, on which he breaks down every game every day.
Diamondbacks (-115) vs. Rockies. Greg’s Line: Diamondbacks -133. The Rockies have had a tough time scoring, with their 3.7 runs per game 27th in the league. While Rockies starter Noah Davis has allowed just one run in 9.2 innings this season, it has come with having to strand a ton of runners on base, with his minor league stats being a 5.41 ERA with four walks per nine innings last season. Regression is coming.
Yankees (+125) vs. Rangers. Greg’s Line: Yankees -111. Yankees starter Johnny Brito has struggled against the Twins this season, but handled the rest of the teams he has faced with two runs allowed in his 14 1/3 innings against teams not named the Twins. The Yankees also back up Brito with the league’s number one bullpen in ERA while Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi is allowing opponents to hit .306 off of him this season and .268 since the start of the 2014 season.
Phillies vs. Astros (-125). Greg’s Line: Astros -162. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler has struggled on the road with a 4.27 road ERA compared to a 2.08 home ERA since the start of the 2022 season. The Phillies bullpen behind him has also had issues, ranking 25th in bullpen ERA.