Greg Peterson’s MLB value plays for Sunday, May 7

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Greg Peterson posts his daily handicapped MLB lines for every game every day. Based on his lines vs. the actual lines, here is where Peterson sees value on today’s menu. Peterson also does a daily podcast, The Baseball Betting Show, on which he breaks down every game every day.

Marlins (-125) vs. Cubs. Greg’s Line: Cubs -113).

The Miami Marlins are last in the National League in runs per game, and their starting pitcher Sandy Alcantra’s ERA has spiked to 5.09 with his walks per nine inning rate jumping to 3.1 after being 2.0 last season.

Brewers vs. Giants Total 9. Greg’s Total 8.3.

The Giants are giving Ross Stripling his fourth start of the season after beginning the season in the bullpen, similar to last season when he began the season in the Toronto Blue Jays bullpen. He finished the 2022 season 10-4 with a 3.01 ERA and is coming off allowing two runs in five innings in his last start on the road against the Houston Astros.

Athletics (-115) vs. Royals. Greg’s Line: Royals -143.

The Athletics have the starting pitching advantage with rookie Mason Miller who threw seven no-hit innings in his last start. Yet the team still lost that game. The Athletics are last in the league with a 6.60 bullpen ERA and are 24th in runs per game.

Astros vs. Mariners (-125).  Greg’s Line: Astros -117.

The Astros will look to Brandon Bielak to carry the increased command he gained in the minors this season to the big leagues. Bielak has a career 4.1 walks per nine innings rate at the MLB level but lowered that to 2.9 at the minor league level this season. He faces a Mariners team that is last in the league in batting average.

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Greg Peterson
Greg, originally from Wisconsin and a UW Oshkosh alumnus, is widely recognized in the sports media industry, particularly for his expertise in college basketball, which earned him the nickname "Hoops" from Brent Musburger. He has worked with Vanderbilt and Oregon's flagship stations and joined VSIN in 2017. Greg contributes to various channels, hosting "The Baseball Betting Show" and "Coast To Coast Hoops" podcasts, and writes for DK Nation, building on his experience with over 500 articles for the New York Post. Known for his analytical approach, he produces daily spreadsheets for college basketball and MLB games, focusing on educating bettors about the importance of betting on numbers rather than teams.