MLB Best Bets and Props:
Welcome to another glorious weekend of September baseball. There are 15 games on the MLB schedule, with first pitch lined up at 1:05 PM ET between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees. We have plenty of options to choose from for our MLB best bets and props, but below is my favorite value bet to target on Saturday, September 14th.
My name is Matt Williams, and I will be covering weekend MLB best bets and props all season long for VSiN.com. Be sure to follow me on Twitter/X @MattWi77iams.
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Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals
4:05 pm ET
I typically try to avoid the Under on low-bar strikeout props because anything can happen in baseball, and I prefer to avoid variance. However, I can’t help myself when it comes to Valente Bellozo on Saturday.
The Marlins right-hander carries a 15.4% strikeout rate this season with a chase rate in the fourth percentile.
Bellozo will be tasked with taking on a Nationals lineup that sports the fifth-lowest strikeout rate versus right-handed pitching over the last 30 days. Washington also boasts the second-lowest swinging strike rate in the past two weeks.
To be clear, the line is set at just 3.5 strikeouts on Saturday, which is a very low bar. However, Bellozo has fallen Under this mark in three of his previous four outings, including a one strikeout effort against the Nationals on September 4.
MLB Best Bet: Valente Bellozo Under 3.5 K (+124)
*Would take Under 3.5 K down to +110
