Today’s MLB Betting Trends
The following MLB betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the MLB games of Wednesday, June 5, 2024. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s MLB board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top MLB betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
Top MLB Resources:
DK MLB Betting Splits system #7: There was a unique system that developed last year when majority handle betting groups backed home favorites with less wins on the season. This was a terrible scenario for bettors, as they were just 128-137 (48.3%) for -73.71 units and an atrocious ROI of -27.8%. There’s a lot of common sense to this not doing well as well, since lesser team is being favored just because it is at home or has a better starting pitcher working.
System Matches: FADE TEXAS (-135 vs DET)
Better bullpen teams are capable of building lengthy winning streaks
In conducting a study of teams with better bullpens on winning streaks last season, when looking at teams with better Steve Makinen Bullpen Ratings looking to extend three-game winning streaks, I tracked that those teams that went 241-168 for +11.33 units, a respectable ROI of 2.7%, a slight improvement on the overall record of the “easiest way system.” For 2024, better bullpen teams on a three-game winning streak are 84-71 for +0.44 units (0.3% ROI) through Tuesday 6/4.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CINCINNATI (-130 at COL), NY YANKEES (-192 vs MIN), SEATTLE (-155 vs OAK)
Losing Streak Betting System #1:
Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more are on a 25-74 skid (-32.50 units, ROI -32.8%) in the next game when playing as road underdogs.
System Matches: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+150 at CHC)
Trend: Zach Eflin is 14-4 (+9.23 units) in the last five seasons as a road pick ’em/short favorite between -110 to -140 line range (including 7-1 (+5.70 units) last season with Tampa Bay)
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (-130 at MIA)
Trend: MIL is 1-14 (-18.87 units) in Aaron Ashby’s last 15 starts
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (+154 at PHI)
Trend: PHI is 21-4 (+14.45 units) as a home favorite from -150 to -198 with starter Aaron Nola in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-185 vs MIL)
Strategies Using MLB DraftKings Betting Splits Data
One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals.
In an article published on the VSiN.com website prior to opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 10 different systematic MLB betting trend strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that developed in the 2023 season. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 10:30 a.m. ET, based on Steve Makinen’s betting splits systems. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until first pitch for best usage.
>>Read more about Steve Makinen’s MLB betting systems based on the VSiN betting splits.
As a general rule, acknowledging the approximate -10% returns on all majorities, if adopting the use of the betting splits this season, opt to fade majorities on handle and bets unless shown otherwise in one of the systems below to be a profitable follow angle.
DK MLB Betting Splits system #1: When 90% or more of the handle was on the home side of an MLB moneyline wager last season, this supermajority group did quite well, going 125-45 (73.5%) last season for +36.19 UNITS and an ROI of +21.2%. This obviously beats the overall majority handle ROI return by almost 32%. If you see 90% or more of the handle backing a host in an MLB game this season, it’s a solid bet to follow it.
System Matches: PLAY NY YANKEES (-192 vs MIN)
DK MLB Betting Splits system #2: Majority bets groups proved to be at least reasonably successful when not too many of them got on a side last season, and in fact, the benchmark was 60%+. When the majority percentage figure of bets landed in the 51%-59% range, these groups finished the season with a record of 221-193 (53.4%) for +0.88 units and an ROI slightly above 0%. This isn’t the rate of return that a professional bettor is looking for, but it is not a loss, and it is definitively better than the overall ROI of -8.9%.
System Matches: NONE YET TODAY
DK MLB Betting Splits system #5: Majority handle bettors were worse overall in interleague games in 2023, going 374-314 (54.4%) for -81.67 units and an ROI of -11.8%. This is over a full percentage point worse for return and an indication that bettors have trouble gauging the strengths/motivations of the teams when playing unfamiliar opponents.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ATLANTA, HOUSTON, TAMPA BAY, CHICAGO CUBS, SAN DIEGO
DK MLB Betting Splits system #6: Majority handle bettors were profitable last year when betting the lowest totaled MLB games, going 181-154 (54%) last season for +11.6 units and an ROI of +3.5% on games with posted totals of 7.5 or less. Recognizing that the majority bettors’ preferred option is Over bets, most of these wins came as games surpassed their posted numbers.
System Matches: PLAY OVER in: TB-MIA, SD-LAA
DK MLB Betting Splits system #7: There was a unique system that developed last year when majority handle betting groups backed home favorites with less wins on the season. This was a terrible scenario for bettors, as they were just 128-137 (48.3%) for -73.71 units and an atrocious ROI of -27.8%. There’s a lot of common sense to this not doing well as well, since lesser team is being favored just because it is at home or has a better starting pitcher working.
System Matches: FADE TEXAS (-135 vs. DET)
DK MLB Betting Splits system #8: There was a distinct up & down pattern of performance for majority handle bettors by month last season. March/April ROI was -1.3%, May was a brutal -20.6%, June climbed back up to -6.9%. July slipped to -15.1%, followed by an August return of -3.5%, and finally a September/October drain of -16.7%.
DK MLB Betting Splits system #10: When 85% or more of the BETS was on either side of an MLB run line wager last season, this supermajority group did far better than the overall numbers, going 282-235 (54.5%) last season for +0.45 units and an ROI of 0%. Again, this is clearly just a very minimal return but considering the major losses in all of the MLB betting categories, it beats the overall majority bets ROI return by almost 8% and if it continues in 2024, will at least keep bettors in the game.
System Matches (SLIGHT PLAY ALL): PHILADELPHIA RL (vs. MIL), NY YANKEES RL (vs. MIN), BALTIMORE RL (at TOR)
MLB Bullpen Systems
The following MLB betting trend systems and qualifying plays are from the weekly update series on handicapping MLB teams using Steve Makinen’s bullpen strength ratings.
The easiest way to play the bullpen system
Better-rated bullpen teams that were not favorites of -190 or higher or were -190 or higher and had a winning percentage of 19% or higher went 1200-916 in the 2023 regular season for +45.66 units, a 2.2% season-long return on investment. So far in 2024, they are 445-368 for -11.15 units. This is well below usual standards.
System Matches: CINCINNATI, SAN FRANCISCO, MILWAUKEE, WASHINGTON, LA DODGERS, CLEVELAND, NY YANKEES, ATLANTA, BALTIMORE, TEXAS, SEATTLE, HOUSTON, TAMPA BAY, CHICAGO CUBS, SAN DIEGO
Perhaps “easiest” isn’t always best. Hence the reason for the following angles:
Fade better bullpen overpriced favorites of -190 or higher when win percentage difference of teams is <19%
In games of the 2023 regular season in which the team with the Steve Makinen better rated bullpen was listed as a favorite of -190 or higher and had a winning percentage less than 19% higher than the opponent, that team owned a 171-106 record, but for -84.47 units. That represented an ROI of -30.5%! So far in 2024, these teams are again losing money, 39-25 for -14.67 units and an ROI of -22.9%.
System Matches: FADE NY YANKEES (-192 vs. MIN)
Overpriced better bullpen without a big starting pitcher edge angle was the 2023 regular season’s most lucrative system
In combining starting pitcher differences in looking at games with -190 favorites or higher, there was a huge opportunity to be selective in fading overpriced favorites. Specifically, when the starting pitcher difference between the better Steve Makinen rated bullpen team was less than 20, those big favorites went just 80-74, but for -87.21 units in the regular season! This angle is so far 27-18 since opening day ‘24 and has lost -12.3 units, a season long ROI of -27.3%.
System Matches: FADE NY YANKEES (-192 vs. MIN)
Better bullpen underdog teams were solid wagers all season long
A frequent and profitable system in the 2023 season, and prior to that as well, arose when the team with the better SM Bullpen Ratings played as an underdog (or pick ’em). Money line underdog teams with better bullpen ratings for the season were 341-346 for +72.72 units. The ROI of this angle produced a healthy 10.6%. In the early part of the 2024 season, these teams produced a 139-163 record for -2.34 units (ROI -0.8%). This angle has settled in well lately, and I expect that to continue.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SAN FRANCISCO (+102 at AZ), MILWAUKEE (+154 at PHI), WASHINGTON (+120 vs. NYM), LA DODGERS (-102 at PIT), ATLANTA (-110 at BOS), BALTIMORE (+102 at TOR)
Better bullpen underdog teams in -110 to +144 range have won nicely
Digging in deeper to the better bullpen underdog system above, when limiting the plays to those better bullpen underdogs (or pick ’em) in the -110 to +144 range, these teams have produced a 124-124 record, for +12.33 units (ROI 5.0%). I believe this angle has a bit more merit than the overall bullpen underdog system in that the better bullpens figure to be the difference in games that are expected to be highly competitive.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SAN FRANCISCO (+102 at AZ), WASHINGTON (+120 vs. NYM), LA DODGERS (-102 at PIT), ATLANTA (-110 at BOS), BALTIMORE (+102 at TOR)
Worse bullpen teams continue to struggle in extending winning streaks
In 2023, it was found that fading teams with lesser SM bullpen ratings that were looking to extend winning streaks was also a strong strategy. On two-game winning streaks, the teams with worse Steve Makinen Bullpen Ratings in a matchup were 240-249 for -28.51 units, an ROI of -5.8%. Worse bullpen teams on 3+ game winning streaks finished the regular season with a record of 99-119 for -16.61 units. The ROI on that system finished at -7.6%. For 2024 so far, these two-game teams have gone 76-83 for -3.36 units. The three-game teams are 40-38 for +4.85 units. Both systems are trending in the expected direction lately.
System Matches: 2-games – FADE PHILADELPHIA (-185 vs. MIL), FADE NY METS (-142 at WSH), FADE LA ANGELS (+130 vs. SD)
3+ games – FADE ARIZONA (-122 vs. SF), FADE DETROIT (+114 at TEX)
Better bullpen teams are capable of building lengthy winning streaks
In conducting a study of teams with better bullpens on winning streaks last season, when looking at teams with better Steve Makinen Bullpen Ratings looking to extend three-game winning streaks, I tracked that those teams that went 241-168 for +11.33 units, a respectable ROI of 2.7%, a slight improvement on the overall record of the “easiest way system.” For 2024, better bullpen teams on a three-game winning streak are 84-71 for +0.44 units (0.3% ROI) thru Tuesday 6/4.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CINCINNATI (-130 at COL), NY YANKEES (-192 vs. MIN), SEATTLE (-155 vs. OAK)
Better bullpen teams thwart losing streaks
Better bullpen teams on 3+ game losing streaks went 119-79 for +22.2 units in the 2023 regular season. The ROI for the season closed at 11.2%! There have been 83 plays on this angle so far in 2024 through 6/4, and these teams are 41-40 for -3.34 units. This angle seems to be picking up steam lately, and I expect it to go positive soon.
System Matches (PLAY BOTH): SAN FRANCISCO (+102 at AZ), SAN DIEGO (-155 at LAA)
MLB Extreme Stats Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays are from the article titled MLB Extreme Stats Systems, detailing eight MLB betting trend systems for betting teams based upon noteworthy stats they accumulated in their previous game
Home teams off blowout losses are solid bets to rebound versus that same opponent
Teams playing at home against the same team after a blowout loss of seven runs or more have been solid wagers over the last 5+ seasons, going 331-311 (51.6%) for +31.65 units of profit. This represents an ROI of 5%.
System Matches (PLAY): TORONTO (-122 vs. BAL)
“9” is a magic run number for fading a team in the next game
Since 2018, it doesn’t matter if the team is playing at home or on the road; if they scored nine runs or more in the previous contest, they are posting a winning record at 1533-1421 (51.9%), but oddsmaker overpricing has resulted in a loss of -164.36 units. This represents an ROI of -5.6%, which is significant in the grand scheme of baseball daily betting.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BALTIMORE (+102 at TOR), TAMPA BAY (-130 at MIA)
Road teams that didn’t score well last game are a bad bet in the next outing
You’re going to want to consider fading teams playing on the road that scored two runs or fewer in their last contest. They have proven to be bankroll-busting options over their last 4+ seasons. These road teams are just 1409-1840 (43.4%) for -189.37 units and an ROI of -5.8% since the start of the 2019 season.
System Matches (FADE ALL): LA DODGERS (-102 at PIT), MILWAUKEE (+154 at PHI), MINNESOTA (+160 at NYY), SAN DIEGO (-155 at LAA)
Home teams that did score well last game are also actually a bad bet in the next outing
Going back another season to 2018, home teams coming off a game in which they scored five runs or more are winning more often than not at 3082-2697 (53.3%) but they have been a loser for bettors at -408.36 units and an ROI of -7.1%.
System Matches (FADE ALL): MIAMI (+110 vs. TB), CLEVELAND (-125 vs. KC), NY YANKEES (-192 vs. MIN), CHICAGO CUBS (-180 vs. CWS), HOUSTON (-175 vs. STL), ARIZONA (-122 vs. SF)
Home team hitting slumps don’t last long
MLB home teams coming off a game in which they had four hits or fewer have rebounded quickly with an 869-755 (53.5%) record in the follow-up contest since the start of the 2018 season. This has resulted in a profit of +11.63 units for backers and an ROI of 0.7%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH (-118 vs. LAD), COLORADO (+110 vs. CIN)
Watch for home teams that didn’t record an extra-base hit
Home teams that failed to record an extra-base hit in their previous game bounce back with a 442-377 (54%) record in the next contest when at home in that same time span. The profit there is +12.60 units, for an ROI of 1.5%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): TEXAS (-135 vs. DET), WASHINGTON (+120 vs. NYM)
MLB Streak Systems
The following systems and qualifying plays are from the midseason article titled Handicapping MLB Streaks, detailing 14 MLB betting trend systems for betting teams on winning or losing streaks.
Losing Streak Betting System #1:
Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more are on a 25-74 skid (-32.50 units, ROI -32.8%) in the next game when playing as road underdogs.
System Matches: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+150 at CHC)
Losing Streak Betting System #2:
Teams on losing streaks of seven games or more and winning fewer than 43% of their games on the season are on a 48-100 skid (-27.69 units, ROI: -18.7%).
System Matches: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+150 at CHC)
Losing Streak Betting System #3:
Strangely, teams on losing streaks of seven games or more tend to fare best against their best opponents. Against teams winning 61.5% of their games or more, these teams on losing skids have gone 15-15 (+10.07 units, ROI: 33.6%) while against all other opponents with lesser records than 61.5% winning percentage, they are just 59-125 (-50.78 units, ROI: -27.6%) since the start of the 2021 season.
System Matches: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+150 at CHC)
Losing Streak Betting System #5:
Teams that have lost their last four games but are playing on the road in a competitive line scenario (+130 to -300) have been successful in snapping their skids, 84-72 outright (+2.45 units, ROI: 1.6%).
System Matches: PLAY SAN FRANCISCO (+102 at AZ)
Losing Streak Betting System #7:
The matchup most likely to find a team ending a four-game losing streak is a non-divisional league matchup, as these teams are 121-123 (+14.26 units, ROI: 5.8%) in such games since the start of the 2021 season.
System Matches: PLAY COLORADO (+110 vs. CIN)
Winning Streak Betting System #1:
Teams on winning streaks of five games or more are on a 180-96 (+10.04 units, ROI: 3.6%) run in the next game when playing as home favorites.
System Matches: PLAY NY YANKEES (-192 vs. MIN)
Winning Streak Betting System #4:
Teams on winning streaks of five games or more and playing against non-divisional league opponents are 167-108 in their last 275 tries (+25.85 units, ROI: 9.4%).
System Matches: PLAY NY YANKEES (-192 vs. MIN)
Today’s MLB Strength Ratings
The following MLB betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the MLB tab on VSiN.com.
Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS (15 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
System Matches: MILWAUKEE +154 (+30 diff), LA DODGERS -108 (+40 diff), MINNESOTA +160 (+35 diff), MIAMI +110 (+19 diff)
Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES (15 points or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
System Matches: ARIZONA -122 (+21 diff), SEATTLE -155 (+37 diff), CHICAGO CUBS -180 (+26 diff)
Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER (0.5 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
System Matches: KC-CLE OVER 8.5 (+0.9), SD-LAA OVER 7.5 (+0.7), BAL-TOR OVER 8 (+0.5), DET-TEX OVER 8.5 (+0.5)
Today’s BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER (0.5 runs or more) according to the Makinen Strength Ratings projections:
System Matches: CIN-COL UNDER 11.5 (-0.8), ATL-BOS UNDER 10 (-0.7)
MLB Team Situational MLB Betting Trend Spots
The following team situational MLB betting trends and qualifying plays are from the VSiN MLB Situational Report, updated daily.
(951) CINCINNATI (28-33) at (952) COLORADO (21-39)
Trend: CIN good so far as road favorite (6-1 record, average margin victory is +4.9 runs)
System Match: PLAY CINCINNATI (-130 at COL)
(953) SAN FRANCISCO (29-33) at (954) ARIZONA (29-32)
Trend: SF trending Over in divisional play (16-8 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)
Trend: SF not as good vs. LH starters (5-12, -8.81 units)
System Match: FADE SAN FRANCISCO (+102 at AZ)
(955) MILWAUKEE (36-25) at (956) PHILADELPHIA (43-19)
Trend: PHI trending Under vs. NL Central/West (11-21 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(957) NEW YORK-NL (26-35) at (958) WASHINGTON (27-33)
Trend: NYM trending Over against LH starters (11-4 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9.5)
(959) LOS ANGELES-NL (38-24) at (960) PITTSBURGH (28-32)
Trend: LAD slight Under on the road (10-18 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)
(961) KANSAS CITY (36-26) at (962) CLEVELAND (40-20)
Trend: CLE good at home (21-7, +10.42 units)
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-125 vs KC)
(963) MINNESOTA (33-27) at (964) NEW YORK-AL (43-19)
Trend: MIN slight Under as road underdog (5-11 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)
Trend: NYY good vs. RH starters (34-13, +17.87 units)
System Match: PLAY NY YANKEES (-192 vs MIN)
(965) BALTIMORE (39-20) at (966) TORONTO (28-32)
Trend: BAL slight Over vs. RH starters (22-14 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)
Trend: BAL good as road underdog (6-1 record)
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (+102 at TOR)
(967) DETROIT (31-30) at (968) TEXAS (29-32)
Trend: TEX trending Under at home (7-21 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(969) SEATTLE (35-27) at (970) OAKLAND (24-38)
Trend: SEA good start in divisional play (13-4, +7.72 units)
System Match: PLAY SEATTLE (-155 at OAK)
Trend: OAK not as good at night (10-24, -9.68 units)
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+130 vs SEA)
(971) ATLANTA (34-24) at (972) BOSTON (30-31)
Trend: ATL trending Under in interleague play (3-14 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 10)
Trend: BOS good during the day (14-9, +3.84 units)
System Match: PLAY BOSTON (-110 vs ATL)
(973) ST LOUIS (28-31) at (974) HOUSTON (28-34)
Trend: STL not good during the day (8-15, -10.04 units)
System Match: FADE ST LOUIS (+130 at HOU)
Trend: HOU trending Under in interleague play (4-11 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(975) TAMPA BAY (30-31) at (976) MIAMI (21-40)
Trend: TB solid vs. LH starters (10-5, +2.99 units)
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (-130 at MIA)
Trend: MIA trending Over at home (22-10 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)
(977) CHICAGO-AL (15-46) at (978) CHICAGO-NL (30-31)
Trend: CWS awful on the road (5-25, -16.32 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+150 at CHC)
(979) SAN DIEGO (32-32) at (980) LOS ANGELES-AL (23-38)
Trend: LAA bad at home (9-21, -10.89 units)
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (+136 vs SD)
MLB Pitcher Situational MLB Betting Trend Spots
The following situational MLB betting trends and qualifying plays look at how today’s starting pitchers have performed in a similar spot over the last five years.
(951) CINCINNATI (28-33) at (952) COLORADO (21-39)
Trend: CIN is 3-6 (-4.25 units) as short favorite (-125 to -115 line range) by starter Graham Ashcraft
System Match: FADE CINCINNATI (*if they fall into this line range, -130 currently)
(955) MILWAUKEE (36-25) at (956) PHILADELPHIA (43-19)
Trend: MIL is 1-14 (-18.87 units) in Aaron Ashby’s last 15 starts
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (+154 at PHI)
Trend: MIL is 1-8 (-9.80 units) vs NL East/West with starter Aaron Ashby since 2021
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (+154 at PHI)
Trend: PHI is 21-4 (+14.45 units) as a home favorite from -150 to -198 with starter Aaron Nola in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-185 vs MIL)
(957) NEW YORK-NL (26-35) at (958) WASHINGTON (27-33)
Trend: Luis Severino is 18-6 (+11.55 units) against teams with a losing record in L2 seasons
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-142 at WSH)
Trend: WSH is 10-36 (-24.66 units) vs. divisional opponents with starter Patrick Corbin since 2020
System Match: FADE WASHINGTON (+120 vs NYM)
Trend: WSH is 10-3 (+7.49 units) in day games against teams with a <=44% win pct with starter Patrick Corbin in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY WASHINGTON (+120 vs NYM)
(963) MINNESOTA (33-27) at (964) NEW YORK-AL (43-19)
Trend: Carlos Rodon not good in -185 to -210 favorite line range, going 1-9 (-16.35 units) in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE NY YANKEES (-192 vs MIN)
(965) BALTIMORE (39-20) at (966) TORONTO (28-32)
Trend: Jose Berrios is 10-1 (+9.44 units) vs Baltimore in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY TORONTO (-122 vs BAL)
Trend: Jose Berrios is 9-23 (-20.84 units) in night games as short favorite within line range of -120 to -145 in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE TORONTO (-122 vs BAL)
(967) DETROIT (31-30) at (968) TEXAS (29-32)
Trend: Kenta Maeda is 13-2 (+12.07 units) in his last 15 night games
System Match: PLAY DETROIT (+114 at TEX)
(973) ST LOUIS (28-31) at (974) HOUSTON (28-34)
Trend: STL is 1-5 (-5.45 units) vs. AL West teams with starter Miles Mikolas in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE ST LOUIS (+142 at HOU)
(975) TAMPA BAY (30-31) at (976) MIAMI (21-40)
Trend: Zach Eflin is 14-4 (+9.23 units) in the last five seasons as a road pick ’em/short favorite between -110 to -140 line range (including 7-1 (+5.70 units) last season with Tampa Bay)
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (-130 at MIA)
(977) CHICAGO-AL (15-46) at (978) CHICAGO-NL (30-31)
Trend: CHC is 11-4 (+5.38 units) against AL Central by starter Jameson Taillon
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO CUBS (-180 vs CWS)
Team-Specific Momentum Building/Letdown Angles
The following MLB betting trends and qualifying plays are from the article entitled MLB post-rivalry series betting opportunities
NO QUALIFYING MOMENTUM ANGLES TODAY (next one tomorrow 6/6)