Today we have a loaded 16-game MLB slate to choose from. You can track the latest odds and betting percentages for every matchup using our VSiN Betting Splits, which come directly from DraftKings and are updated every 10-minutes.
In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for a trio of games today.
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6:45 p.m. ET: Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals (-165, 8.5)
The Cubs (68-66) just swept the Pirates, winning Wednesday’s series finale 14-10 as +135 road dogs. Meanwhile, the Nationals (61-73) just took two of three against the Yankees, winning Wednesday’s series finale 5-2 as +185 home dogs. In tonight’s series opener, the Cubs start lefty Shota Imanaga (10-3, 3.08 ERA) and the Nationals go with righty Jake Irvin (9-10, 3.80 ERA). This line opened with Chicago listed as a -150 road favorite and Washington a +135 home dog. Wiseguys have laid the chalk with the Cubs, steaming Chicago up from -150 to -165. The Cubs are receiving 78% of moneyline bets and 79% of moneyline dollars, signaling both public and sharp support in addition to a 15-cent steam move in their direction. Chicago has the more explosive bats, hitting 144 homers and scoring 600 runs compared to Washington hitting 112 homers and scoring 565 runs. The Cubs have betting system value as a non-division favorite, with the lack of familiarity benefiting the better team who is expected to win. Imanaga is 6-1 with a 2.94 ERA on the road this season. Irvin has a 5.46 ERA in five August starts, allowing 17 earned runs in 28 innings pitched. He is 2-7 with a 4.14 ERA at home. The Cubs are 7-3 over their last ten games, hitting .288. The Nats are 6-4 over their last ten games, hitting .266.
8:10 p.m. ET: New York Mets (-225, 9) at Chicago White Sox
The Mets (70-64) just took two of three against the Diamondbacks, winning yesterday’s series finale 3-2 as +105 road dogs. Conversely, the White Sox (31-104) just got swept by the Rangers, losing 2-1 yesterday as +235 home dogs. In tonight’s series opener, the Mets go with Tylor Megill (2-5, 5.17 ERA) and the White Sox tap righty Jonathan Cannon (2-8, 4.57 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -200 road favorite and Chicago a +175 home dog. Sharps aren’t scared off by the hefty chalk and gotten down hard on New York, steaming the Mets up from -200 to -225. New York is receiving 93% of moneyline bets and dollars, signaling lopsided public and sharp support in addition to a 25-cent steam move in their favor. The Mets have value as a Interleague favorite, with the lack of familiarity benefiting the better team who is expected to win. New York has the superior offense, hitting .249 with 171 homers and 639 runs scored compared to Chicago hitting .220 with 109 homers and 416 runs scored. The Mets are 35-31 on the road. The White Sox are 18-51 at home, the worst home record in MLB. New York is hitting .245 against righties, ranking 16th in MLB. Chicago is hitting .219 against righties, ranking dead last.
9:38 p.m. ET: Seattle Mariners (-190, 8.5) at Los Angeles Angels
The Mariners (68-66) just took two of three against the Rays, winning Wednesday’s series finale 6-2 as -160 home favorites. On the other hand, the Angels (55-79) just dropped two of three against the Tigers but avoided the sweep with a 3-0 win in yesterday’s series finale, cashing as +150 road dogs. In tonight’s series opener, the Mariners start righty George Kirby (9-10, 3.48 ERA) and the Angels counter with lefty Samuel Aldegheri, who is making his MLB debut. This line opened with Seattle listed as a -165 road favorite and Los Angeles a +140 home dog. Sharps have laid the wood with Seattle, steaming the Mariners up from -165 to -190. Seattle is receiving roughly 85% of moneyline bets and dollars, indicating heavy Pro and Joe support in addition to a 25-cent steam move in their favor. The Mariners have a “rest vs tired” advantage, as Seattle was off yesterday while the Angels played in Detroit. Aldegheri is making history as the first pitcher born and raised in Italy to make the major leagues. He went 6-9 with a 3.59 ERA in the minor leagues this season. The Mariners are 5-5 in their last ten games, hitting .227 with a 3.48 ERA. The Angels are 2-8 in their last ten games, hitting .185 with a 4.50 ERA.
