UFC Fight Night Picks & Predictions
VSiN Primetime producer Britton Hess has some strong takes on the UFC 301 card and put pen to paper (well, fingers to keyboard) to hammer out his thoughts on every fight on the docket.
UFC Odds | UFC Betting Splits | Lou Finocchiaro’s article
BET HISTORY
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez: 5-5 (-0.54 Units, -4.72%)
Article History: 32-31 (+8.66 Units, +13.02%)
PICK’EM HISTORY
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez: 7-6 (53.8%)
Article History: 57-44 (56.44%)
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MAIN EVENT:
Steve “Astroboy” Erceg (+154) versus Alexandre “The Cannibal” Pantoja (-185)
Over 3.5 Rounds (-160) | Under 3.5 Rounds (+124)
Erceg entered the UFC 11 months ago. He was a late replacement opponent for five-fight UFC veteran David Dvorak on the undercard of UFC 289. He was a +240 underdog and won a unanimous decision after taking the second and dominating the third round. Five months later, Erceg took on Alessandro Costa as a -200 favorite and, again, won via unanimous decision. In his most recent fight (two months ago) Erceg was a -440 favorite versus Matt Schnell and won in round two via KO. Despite being from a small gym, Wilkes MMA , in Perth, Western Australia, Erceg’s skills are legit. He is a well-rounded fighter who has proven to be solid in all aspects of cage fighting in his short stint at the UFC. Now, Erceg is putting his 12-1 professional record on the line versus the undisputed king of the UFC’s flyweight division.
It would take much longer than one paragraph to summarize Pantoja’s illustrious UFC career. At 11-3 in the UFC, Pantoja has more trips to the octagon than Erceg has professional bouts. Additionally, before officially joining the UFC, Pantoja earned wins versus Brandon Moreno and Kai Kara-France on the Ultimate Fighter. He began his UFC career with a 6-3 record, but has won his last five, most recently a championship win over Brandon Moreno as a +165 underdog and a title defense versus Brandon Royval as -190 favorite. In the UFC, he has two knockout wins, four via submission, and five via decision. Pantoja has never been finished in his career. He is a fighter who took the long road to the belt, he lost fights but stayed the course and eventually was rewarded.
DraftKings opened this fight with Pantoja as a -245 favorite, with Erceg coming back at +200. According to the UFC betting splits page on VSiN.com, Erceg has only taken 30% of the bets, but 42% of the money making the Australian definitively the sharp side. Pantoja is giving up three inches in height, and an inch in reach. I don’t necessarily think that is going to be a major adjustment for the champion, he has been at a reach disadvantage in four of his last five victories.
There are many reasons I believe the opening line is much more accurate than where the odds currently sit. Strength of schedule is not comparable; Erceg has not faced a single opponent on the level of the guys Pantoja has faced in his last six trips to the octagon. We also do not have evidence that Erceg knows how to deal with a grappler on Pantoja’s level. The challenger does boast a 77% takedown defense rate, but none of his opponents have been fighters who rely on wrestling or BJJ. This fight is also in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, the crowd will be nearly 100% in support of the local champion.
I do not doubt that Erceg is a top-10 UFC flyweight, but my belief is that this fight is happening too soon. Taking the over in this fight is tempting, but not having evidence that Erceg can deal with Pantoja’s grappling is holding me back.
FIGHT WINNER: Alexandre Pantoja
BET: Alexandre Pantoja (-185), Risk 1.85 Units to Win 1
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Co-Main Event
Jonathan “Dragon” Martinez (-142) versus Jose “Junior” Aldo (+154)
Over 2.5 Rounds (-220) | Under 2.5 Rounds (+170)
Martinez entered the UFC in 2018, after an up and down start to his career in the world’s biggest MMA organization, he has turned a corner and won 6 fights in a row, bringing his UFC record to 10-3 (19-4 overall as a professional). He was an underdog in his last two fights, defeating Adrian Yanez via leg kick KO as a -105 dog, and before that edging out a decision as a +190 underdog vs Said Nurmagomedov. At 30 years old, he is rounding into his prime, as evidenced by his last several results. He is an excellent kickboxer and has some of the most devastating leg kicks in the UFC, securing two KO’s via leg kick in his 10 wins in the organization. His fight versus Adrian Yanez lasted 7.5 minutes, and in that time period, Martinez landed 36 significant strikes, 29 of them were leg kicks. He is an opportunistic wrestler who has snuck in takedowns throughout his career, but that is definitively not where his bread is buttered, as over the course of 13 fights he has landed .44 takedowns per 15 minutes in the cage. Conversely, he lands 50% of his significant strikes thrown, hitting the target 4.64 times per minute.
The former UFC featherweight champion, and bantamweight title challenger Jose Aldo has been known for his leg kicks since his time in WEC 15 years ago. I expect to see quite a bit of shin on shin action in this co-main event. But, besides his leg kicks, Aldo is more known for his fluid boxing ability. On his way to winning his UFC title in 2011, he knocked out six of the previous seven opponents. His UFC debut was for the belt, and he won his first seven fights in the organization. Not until facing Conor McGregor at UFC 194 did he taste defeat inside the cage. After Aldo’s momentum was first slowed, his career has been up and down. Strangely, he didn’t outgrow the featherweight division, the division outgrew him, and in 2019 he made a permanent move down to bantamweight. Overall in his “new” weight class, he is 3-3, and has not entered the cage since a decision loss to Merab Dvbalishvili on 08/20/2022. Instead, he has spent the last year and a half going 2-0-1 as a professional boxer for promotions more known for MMA (Shooto Brazil Boxing and GameBred Boxing).
Strength of schedule matters, and Aldo’s is definitely much better than Martinez’s. But over the past decade, Jose Aldo has not been the unstoppable force that dominated WEC and UFC when he was in his 20s. His last win as a bantamweight was in December of 2021 versus Rob Font (who has since gone 1-3 in the UFC). Aldo is now 37 years old, and looks it. If this first weren’t in Rio de Janeiro, I’m not even sure Aldo would have taken this fight. Maybe “The King of Rio” has one more historic performance before he rides off into the UFC Hall of Fame, or maybe he is collecting a big check in an arena the UFC knows he can fill…
FIGHT WINNER: Jonathan Martinez
BET: Jonathan Martinez (-142), Risk 1.42 Units to Win 1
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Anthony “Lionheart” Smith (+425) versus Vitor “ICÃO” Petrino (-575)
Over 1.5 Rounds (-195) | Under 1.5 Rounds (+150)
Smith has been a very well-respected UFC light heavyweight ever since he unexpectedly got a shot at the belt versus Jon Jones. Smith was +500 underdog in that fight, but managed to go the distance and prove that he deserved a place in the UFC rankings. He has since been a multiple time main event headliner and has had some excellent wins and devastating losses. Overall he is a fighter’s fighter, fighting is his business. He doesn’t duck anyone and knows his job is to put on a show once the cage doors close. Long before his UFC career, he had quite a few losses on his ledger so he has never been a guy afraid to risk his record. Overall, he is 37-19 as a pro and has been on both sides of just about every type of fight that can occur. With 56 pro fights at 35 years old, Smith has been one of the most active fighters on the UFC roster, fighting nine times since 2020, while also having a 10-month break lasting from mid 2022 to early 2023.
Petrino has been methodically working his way up the UFC ladder. With a 4-0 record in the organization and 11-0 record as a pro, it is hard to poke holes in his resume. He has taken care of business at all levels and really has never been in danger in the UFC. Despite being only 26 years old, Petrino has a high fight IQ; he does not take risks and does not put himself in danger. He has two finishes in the UFC, and another KO victory in Contender Series, but none of those results were due to Petrino forcing the finish; they were due to him taking advantage of the openings his opponents presented. Perhaps the biggest risk he has taken so far in his career is calling out Smith, who definitely took the callout personally.
I think this price is a bit out of whack. Smith at +425 gives him implied odds of winning the fight of 19.05%. Personally, I think Smith has at least a 25% chance of winning and would not be opposed to a small moneyline play on the dog. However, Petrino is a smart fighter and he knows Smith is a dangerous opponent. Last time out Petrino faced the powerful Tyson Pedro, he used speed and footwork to stay safe while scoring. Despite being an excellent wrestler with nearly 70% takedown accuracy, Petrino did not attempt a takedown until the second round, and did not fully commit to getting the fight to the ground until the third because he knew closing distance was risky versus someone who hits as hard as Pedro The best way to bet this fight is playing the over because I have respect for Smith, and Petrino has proven to be extremely cautious. The only way I see this fight ending early is if Smith takes a risk and succeeds in finding a finish, or if Petrino finds a way to punish that aggression.
Fight Winner: Vitor Petrino
Bet: Fight Starts Round 3 (-125), Risk 1.25 Units to Win 1
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Michel “Demolidor” Pereira (-625) versus Ihor “Duelist” Poteria (+455)
Over 1.5 Rounds (+124) | Under 1.5 Rounds (-160)
After seeing the judges scorecards in his last four fights at 170 pounds, Pereira has won via finish in his last two bouts after moving up to 185 pounds. He was a freakishly big welterweight, but middleweight is his natural home. He now is healthy in the cage and it has translated to him bringing a new level of power. Overall, Pereira is 8-2 in the UFC, and currently riding a seven-fight winning streak. Additionally, his two losses both have asterisks beside them. He lost to Tristan Connelly via unanimous decision after a tough cut in which he missed weight by a pound. He also lost to Diego Sanchez due to disqualification (illegal knees). Pereira’s career could have a totally different feel to it if he would have started out at 185 instead of punishing his body to reach a weight class he had no business competing in.
Poteria is a veteran of five UFC fights. The results have not always gone his way, but every time he steps into the cage, an entertaining bout ensues. He has a 2-3 record in the UFC, with only one of his trips to the cage reaching the judges’ scorecards. Poteria has not always had great defense or cardio, but he does hit hard, with the pinnacle of his career being a knockout of Shogun Rua. He also won his last fight via decision versus Robert Bryczek, however Poteria came in 1.5 pounds over the weight limit. An additional wrinkle in this fight is that Poteria was not originally scheduled to be on this card, instead, he was supposed to fight in June, however Makhmud Muradov had to withdraw due to infection which meant Pereira drew a new opponent.
My gut says Pereira wins via knockout, and I think -150 is a decent price. That said, I am not rushing to bet on it. The fight is very unlikely to go the distance, and it is very unlikely that Pereira loses.
FIGHT WINNER: Michel Pereira
BET: Pass
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Paul “BearJew” Craig (+440) versus Caio “The Natural” Borralho (-600)
Over 1.5 Rounds (-200) | Under 1.5 Rounds (+154)
Craig fights usually go one of two ways; he gets hit in the face a lot versus a more polished striker and loses a fight where he never has much of a chance, or he gets hit in the face a lot but finds a way to the ground and manages to secure an advantageous BJJ position which he can use to submit or TKO his opponent. Craig has a 9-7-1 record in the UFC, only one of his fights has made it to the final bell, a decision loss to Volkan Oezdemir. Craig brings a striking accuracy rate of 46%, and a striking defense rate of 45%, striking is not his forte. He tries to get the takedown at all costs, and as a result his takedown accuracy rate is just 22%. However, his numbers have improved slightly in his last two fights. After 15 fights at light heavyweight, Craig has moved down to middleweight and gone 1-1 versus solid competition.
Since winning his UFC debut as a +100 underdog, Borralho has been a favorite of -210 or more in his subsequent four fights. He has taken care of business at every turn, often fighting safely and not putting himself at risk. He only has one finish in the UFC, a submission versus the kickboxing specialist Michal Oleksejczuk. He has fought good fighters, but no one is sniffing a title shot anytime soon.
Overall this fight is a tricky handicap. Borralho’s price is a bit high, but Craig’s physical limitations, age, and general inconsistency from fight to fight make him a tough fighter to back. He has won fights as an underdog at longer odds than this bout, but has also been dispatched in the first round multiple times in fights lined around a PK. If I had to play anything, I would look at the under because I think Craig realizes that in this environment his best shot is to take some risks early.
FIGHT WINNER: Caio Borralho
BET: Pass
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Joanderson “TUBARÃO” Brito (-175) versus Jack “Tank” Shore (+145)
Over 1.5 Rounds (-210) | Under 1.5 Rounds (+160)
Brito is a physical freak in an organization full of physical freaks. When opponents feel his power, his grip, and his explosiveness their expression visibly changes inside the cage. Despite only being in the UFC for five fights, he still has a very impressive resume. He beat rising star Diego Lopes in Contender series, and before that he knocked out Chepe Mariscal in the first round while fighting in LFA. He lost his UFC debut versus Bill Algeo via decision, but after that, he has righted the ship, finishing all four of his opponents (three in the first round).
Overall, Brito is 16-3-1 as a professional. He has only seen the judges scorecards four times in 20 fights. Six of his victories are via KO, 8 are via submission, but given he has won via KO in two of his four UFC victories, it appears he is becoming more comfortable with his hands. There is a real possibility that Brito’s name is mentioned for a title shot in the next year if he takes care of business vs. Shore.
Shore is also a highly-touted prospect. He entered the UFC five years ago as an undefeated Cage Warriors Champion and did not really miss a beat when joining the sport’s top organization. He won his first five UFC bouts before finally facing defeat versus a prime Ricky Simon in July of 2022. Since defeat, Shore fought Makwan Amirkani in March 2023 (win via submission) but has otherwise been inactive. Shore benefitted from facing a fairly weak strength of schedule both overseas and in the UFC which allowed his record to get to a gaudy 16-0 before his first loss.
On paper, Shore is slightly better in both significant strikes landed per minute and striking accuracy. He also has better defensive metrics. Both fighters land virtually the same amount of takedowns per 15 minutes in the cage, but Brito’s takedown accuracy is much higher, and Shore’s takedown defense rate is significantly higher. But the strength of schedule really matters here – five of Shore’s previous UFC opponents are no longer in the organization. This is one of my favorite bets of the year so far. Joanderson Brito is a bargain at -175. I also think there is a high chance he wins inside the distance. Ricky Simon manhandled Shore and Brito is in an entirely different category physically than Simon.
FIGHT WINNER: Joanderson Brito
BET: Joanderson Brito (-175), Risk 1.75 Units to Win 1
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Iasmin Lucindo (-410) versus Karolina Kowalkiewicz (+320)
Over 2.5 Rounds (-220) | Under 2.5 Rounds (+170)
Kowalkiewicz has the rare opportunity to go 0-5 and 5-0 in the UFC over consecutive five-fight periods. From 2018 through 2021 she faced the elite of the women’s flyweight division and was unable to win once. However, since 2022, she is 4-0, and now is experiencing a career renaissance at age 38. Overall, she is 9-7 in the UFC and 16-7 overall as a professional fighter. Back in 2016, she faced Joanna Jerdzejczyk for the women’s strawweight title but lost via unanimous decision.
Iasmin Lucindo is stepping into the UFC octagon for the fourth time. She has a 2-1 record in the organization, with the one loss being her debut vs. Yazmin Juaregui via decision. As a pro, she is 15-5 with 8 KOs, 3 Subs, and 4 wins via decision. She was an underdog in that fight, but was a favorite and took care of business in her subsequent two bouts.
On paper, Lucindo’s striking offense is not very pretty, but her defense compensates for this deficiency. Additionally, she is a competent grappler, with 66% takedown accuracy. Kowalkiewicz is the much more active striker, landing 2.4 more significant strikes per minute than Lucindo. Furthermore, Kowalkiewicz has a 74% takedown defense rate which is quite impressive given the quality of opposition she has faced.
This is another fight where the line on the favorite is much too expensive. If Kowalkiewicz is able to execute her gameplan of scoring a ton on the feet while avoiding being taken down, she will win this fight. Additionally, this fight has an insane 16-year age discrepancy. Lucindo is 22, Kowalkiewicz is 38. The younger fighter is yet to reach her prime, the veteran is over the hill but in the midst of a career resurgence. Generally speaking, fighters over the age of 35 are not good underdog bets, but Lucindo is so young that her age may not be as much of an advantage as it seems.
FIGHT WINNER: Karolina Kowalkiewicz
BET: Karolina Kowalkiewicz (+320), Risk 1 Unit to Win 3.2
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Elves Brener (+210) versus Myktybek Orolbai (-258)
Over 2.5 Rounds (-145) | Under 2.5 Rounds (+114)
Brener has fought three times in the UFC and the organization did not make his transition to the big stage easy. When he made his debut as a late replacement opponent for Zubaira Turkhubov, Tukhogov missed weight by 1.5 pounds and Brener was a +470 underdog. The Brazilian debutant underdog was able to win via split decision. In his second fight in the organization, Brener was a +475 underdog versus Guram Kuteladze. In the third round he gave Kuteladze, the first KO loss of his career. For his third fight in the UFC, Brener was finally a favorite versus the 15-1 prospect Kaynan Kruschewsky, Brener won via first-round KO. It goes without saying, Brener has represented the legendary Chute Boxe gym well. Like his teammate Charles Oliveira, it didn’t seem like his UFC career was destined for greatness, but he has managed to do great things anyway.
Orolbai had a phenomenal performance his last time out in his UFC debut. He submitted Uros Medic in the second round as a late replacement fighter. Orolbai is 12-1-1 as a pro with six KOs, six submissions, and one win via decision. His one loss was via decision in his seventh fight as a pro vs Khalid Satuev (currently 13-0 and fighting in ACA). Orolbai is a very exciting prospect and is single handedly putting Kyrgyzstan on the MMA map. That said, I don’t necessarily believe in Orolbai’s strength of schedule. His LFA bouts before signing with the UFC were against guys nowhere near reaching roster spots with major promotions. Medic is very good, but he was preparing to fight another striker, Orolbai’s grappling style was a matchup nightmare for the way Medic had been preparing in his camp.
Brener did have a tough weight cut, he shared videos on social media that showed just how much he was struggling. That said, he made weight, coming in at 156 pounds, and there has not been any meaningful line movement at DraftKings since the weight struggles were first shared. I still have a lot of questions about Orolbai. I am confident he can be very successful in UFC, but I am not sure his run to the top starts now.
FIGHT WINNER: Elves Brener
BET: Elves Brener (+210), Risk 1 Unit to Win 2.1
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Joaquim “Netto BJJ” Silva (+164) versus Drakkar Klose (-198)
Over 1.5 Rounds (-260) | Under 1.5 Rounds (+195)
Combining for 15 years in the UFC and 20 trips to the octagon, Silva vs. Klose is a matchup featuring two of the more experienced fighters on the UFC 301 card. Silva is 6-4 in the organization, with three of his wins coming as an underdog. Last time out, he beat Clay Guida in a grueling three-round decision. Silva is a guy who definitely deserves to be on the UFC roster, but will never near the top of the division.
Klose is 8-2 in the UFC and 14-2-1 overall as a pro. He is 6-0 in the UFC as a betting favorite. He has fought some great competition and keeps showing up in big spots. He seems to be comfortable with his place on the roster, somewhere outside the top 15 but far above the middle of the division.
Klose lands more significant strikes per minute, is more accurate, and gets hit less. He also lands more takedowns and has better takedown defense. Silva is the more likely fighter to attempt a submission, but if the opportunity presents itself in this fight it will likely be from the full guard and not likely to end the fight.
FIGHT WINNER: Drakkar Klose
BET: Drakkar Klose (-198), Risk 1.98 Units to Win 1
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Mauricio “One Shot” Ruffy (-238) versus Jamie Mullarkey (+180)
Over 1.5 Rounds (-150) | Under 1.5 Rounds (+120)
Ruffy is a hungry, up-and-coming fighter who only participates in action-packed fights. He is 9-1, with all nine wins coming via KO, and his one loss also coming via KO. The only fight in his career that has seen a third round was his contender series matchup where he was a +180 underdog, winning in the final 15 seconds. His strength of schedule leaves a lot to be desired, but he has beaten a fighter with UFC experience in Ronys Torres. In the Contender Series his striking prowess proved to be real as he was very accurate and displayed extremely good head strike defense versus a game opponent in Raimond Magomedaliev.
Mullarkey is the much more experienced fighter with a 5-5 UFC record, and 17-7 record overall. He has solid wins versus promotional veterans John Makdessi and Michael Johnson, and puzzling KO losses versus Muhammad Naimov as a -450 favorite and Nasrat Haqparast, who is much more of a decision fighter than knockout artist.
Mullarkey has been around the organization long enough to be a notable name. He is a tough fighter who does his best work when he has a full fight camp to prepare for a specific opponent. He has also been knocked out twice since June 2023. This fight feels like a spot for the Brazilian fighter to excite the crowd versus an opponent with a compromised chin. If Mullarkey can get Ruffy to the ground and keep him there, he may have a chance, but I don’t think that scenario playing out is very likely.
FIGHT WINNER: Mauricio Ruffy
BET: Mauricio Ruffy to win in Round 1 or 2 (+110), Risk 1 Unit to Win 1.1
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Dione “The Witch” Barbosa (-238) versus Ernesta “Heavy-Handed” Kareckaite (+195)
Over 2.5 Rounds (-200) | Under 2.5 Rounds (+154)
Both of these fighters are relative newbies to MMA. Barbosa is 6-2 overall with a Contender Series win under her belt. Her losses are to Josiane Nunes who is now securely on the UFC roster, and Jena Bishop who is now a burgeoning star in PFL. Three of her wins are via submission, three are via decision. She lost to Nunes via KO, and lost via decision versus Bishop.
Kareckaite is 5-0-1 and 25 years old. She won her Contender Series fight via split decision as a +140 underdog. Beyond MMA, she has professional wins in boxing and kickboxing. She has a knack for doing just enough to get her hand raised with three of her five victories coming via split decision.
These fighters are too new in the organization for me to have a strong opinion. Kareckaite will have a significant five inch reach advantage and projects to be the more potent striker. She was able to fend off all four of her Contender Series opponent’s takedown attempts and threw over 400 significant strikes, landing 184. If she can avoid the takedown she has a shot.
FIGHT WINNER: Dione Barbosa
BET: Pass
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Ismael “Marreta” Bonfim (-550) versus Vinc “From Hell” Pichel (+410)
Over 1.5 Rounds (-238) | Under 1.5 Rounds (+180)
Bonfim was shocked in an upset in his last fight versus Benoit Saint-Denis. He was a -320 favorite and lost via rear naked choke in the first round. Before that he was on a 13-fight winning streak and seemed destined to make noise in the UFC lightweight title conversation. Hindsight is 2020- but his price versus Saint-Denis was much too high. Looking into his 13-fight winning streak, most of his opponents were tomato cans. When he moved up to LFA prior to entering the UFC, he started going to decisions, and he also went the distance in his Contender Series win. His UFC debut was versus Terrance McKinney, he won via flying knee in the 2nd round.
Pichel was initially slated to face Bonfim on November 4th of 2023, but Bonfim missed weight by 3.5 pounds and the bout was delayed. Pichel is 7-3 in the UFC and 14-3 as a pro. He debuted in the organization after a stint on The Ultimate Fighter. Six of Pinchel’s seven UFC victories have come via decision. He has one loss via KO, one via submission, and one via decision. Pichel is 41 years old, he has had a solid career in the UFC, but fighters over 40 in this weight class rarely fare well.
Fight Winner: Ismael Bonfim
Bet: Pass
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Alessandro “Nono” Costa (-118) versus Kevin “El Gallo Negro” Borjas (-102)
Over 2.5 Rounds (-120) | Under 2.5 Rounds (-110)
Costa is 1-2 in the UFC. He has lost twice as a big underdog versus Steve Erceg and Amir Albazi, and won as a solid favorite versus Jimmy Flick. He has a 13-4 record overall as a professional fighter; five of his fights have gone the distance. He won a Contender Series fight via split decision as a -235 favorite and was not immediately signed by the organization. He was given an opportunity in the UFC as a late replacement fighter in his debut versus Albazi. His fight versus Flick was regularly scheduled, but he was once again a late replacement in the Erceg fight.
Borjas is 0-1 in the UFC with the loss coming via decision as a +190 underdog versus Joshua Van. Before that he won his Contender Series fight via decision as a +300 underdog. He is 9-2 overall, and the two UFC affiliated fights are his only bouts to go the distance. Prior to that he was a KO machine, knocking out eight of his nine prior opponents.
This should be a very competitive fight with Costa having much more experience in the spotlight. I think he will win, but Borjas sample size versus quality competition is so short, it is hard to completely write him off.
Fight Winner: Alessandro Costa
Bet: Pass
Best Bets Recap
Alexandre Pantoja (-185) vs Steve Erceg, Risk 1.85 Units to Win 1
Jonathan Martinez (-142) vs Jose Aldo, Risk 1.42 Units to Win 1
Petrino vs Smith: Fight Starts Round 3 (-125), Risk 1.25 Units to Win 1
Joanderson Brito (-175) vs Jack Shore, Risk 1.75 Units to Win 1
Karolina Kowalkiewicz (+320) vs Iasmin Lucindo, Risk 1 Unit to Win 3.2
Elves Brener (+210) vs Myktybek Orolbai, Risk 1 Unit to Win 2.1
Drakkar Klose (-198) vs Joaquim Silva, Risk 1.98 Units to Win 1
Mauricio Ruffy to win in R1 or R2 vs Jamie Mullarkey (+110), Risk 1 Unit to Win 1.1
*ALL ODDS VIA DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
