Player props have become one of the NBA’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value beyond the standard spread or total. Each night, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board — from points and rebounds to assists and combo lines — using matchup data, recent performance, and betting trends to find edges. Keep reading for the top NBA player prop picks for November 12. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts will be all over the NBA, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
MORE: Check out the VSiN Pro Picks page for more bets from our talented hosts and analysts!
Noteworthy OptaAI Player Prop Edges for Wednesday
Below you’ll find some of the projections that stood out when looking at our OptaAI NBA Player Prop projections. Subscribers have access to hundreds of others on a daily basis!
Cade Cunningham Under 46.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120) vs. Bulls
Bulls at Pistons – 7:00 pm ET
Cunningham has been on an absolute tear for the Pistons, but he took a hard spill on his back the other night. Cunningham is now listed as questionable for Detroit, and OptaAI thinks he’ll struggle if he plays. They have him projected for 42.40 combined points, rebounds, and assists, suggesting the Under on his PRA is worth a shot.
Sam Merrill Over 14.5 Points (-110) vs. Heat
Cavaliers at Heat – 7:30 pm ET
Donovan Mitchell, Darius Garland, and Evan Mobley are out for Cleveland tonight, meaning Merrill will be relied on heavily to produce tonight. Merrill is averaging 14.6 points per game on the year, so it’s not like scoring 15+ would be new to him. That’s what he’ll need to do tonight in order to cash. Well, OptaAI has Merrill scoring 18.74 against the Heat. That’s a pretty big edge to the Over.
P.J. Washington Over 0.5 Blocks (-145) vs. Suns
Suns at Mavericks – 8:30 pm ET
OptaAI projects Washington for 1.3 blocks tonight, giving him an edge of 0.63 to the Over tonight. Washington is averaging 1.3 blocks per game this season, and he does come into this one after having blocked at least one shot in eight consecutive games.
Wednesday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Wednesday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record.
Jalen Suggs Over 11.5 Points (-118) vs. Knicks
Magic at Knicks – 7:00 pm ET
Suggs played a season-high 29 minutes in a loss to the Celtics last game. He’s starting to get healthier, making the Magic a little stronger — on both ends of the floor. Suggs now comes into tonight’s game after having gone for 12+ in each of the last three. I don’t see that streak ending this evening, as this matchup is quite good for him.
Suggs scores 41% of his points on above-the-break 3s, which should play into his hands in a meeting with a Knicks team that is just 28th in the league at guarding that spot on the floor — which is a big one. Solid spot-up shooters and pick-and-roll handlers have also had some success against New York this season, and Suggs kind of operates as both of those things.
Suggs also happened to average 16.7 points per game in three meetings with the Knicks last year, and OptaAI has him going for 14.23 tonight. This total has gone up to 12.5 in some spots, so 11.5 was too hard to pass up when I saw it.
Kon Knueppel Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds (-104) vs. Bucks
Bucks at Hornets – 7:00 pm ET
I was able to grab Knueppel to go Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds at -104 tonight, but that’s up to 24.5 at -115 to the Over now. I’d still play it at that total, as there’s no reason to believe Knueppel is going to slow down. The rookie is averaging 23.3 points per game in games without LaMelo Ball, so he can put a pretty good dent in this total with his scoring alone. However, he’s also averaging 6.4 rebounds per game in the games played without LaMelo, and he’s averaging double-digit rebound chances per game.
This is definitely a bit of a tougher matchup for Knueppel, as the Bucks will be physical with him at the point of attack. But he really should be able to do some big things offensively because of his volume alone. He’s launching away from 3, averaging 9.2 attempts per game in November.
Reed Sheppard Over 11.5 Points (-104) vs. Wizards
Wizards at Rockets – 8:00 pm ET
Sheppard was absolutely roasted for the way he played against the Thunder on Opening Night, but he has quietly started to turn the corner for the Rockets. Sheppard has scored at least 12 points in three consecutive games — and four of the last five. Tonight, he’s going up against a Wizards team that could struggle to guard him. Washington has been lit up by ball handlers that can shoot, ranking right near the bottom of the league in defending above-the-break 3s. Well, Sheppard scores nearly 50% of his points around there, and he should also be able to get himself to the basket a couple of times.
The only thing to worry about here is the spread. The Rockets are favored by 16.5 in tonight’s game. We’re going to need the Wizards to hang around for a little so that we don’t lose yet another prop on a blowout that forces our player into lighter minutes. That’s been a killer to start the year.
Steph Curry Over 23.5 Points (-108) vs. Spurs
Warriors at Spurs – 8:00 pm ET
There’s no guarantee Curry will suit up against the Spurs tonight. The star just missed time with an illness, and the Warriors are coming of a road game against the Thunder last night. However, Curry only played 20 minutes in that game because of foul trouble and a lopsided score. With that in mind, fatigue really shouldn’t be too big of an issue for him. And if he’s out there, I can’t see him struggling too much in this matchup.
San Antonio has a good on-ball defender in Stephon Castle, but the young guard can be guilty of picking up cheap fouls. Don’t be surprised if a savvy older star like Curry tricks him into a few. Also, Curry should be able to cook De’Aaron Fox when he gets his chances to go at him.
Realistically, Curry is averaging 25.0 points per game on 44.2/37.9/93.5 shooting splits this season. Going Over on a total of 23.5 isn’t asking him to do anything he doesn’t normally do. In fact, he had scored at least 24 points in three straight before last night’s stinker.
Added Best Bets
Nikola Vucevic Over 1.5 Made 3s (-121) & Alt 3+ Made 3s (+240 – 0.25 units) vs. Pistons
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (+100) vs. Cavaliers
Derik Queen Over 17.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-104) vs. Blazers
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2025-26 Player Props: 32-37 (-7.55 units)
