Best Bets on Today’s NBA Player Props Market
The NBA schedule for Tuesday, March 14th is one we’re excited about, and we have all of our basketball bettors covered from every angle. As always, we’ll have best bets to give you some ideas of what to back when it comes to moneylines, spreads and totals. However, we’re tackling player props here, and we’re targeting Caris LeVert, O.G. Anunoby and Markelle Fultz tonight. Keep reading to find out how we’re betting on each of them.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on March 14
Here are our favorite NBA prop bets for Tuesday, March 14 (odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook):
Cleveland Cavaliers (-5.5, 218.5) at Charlotte Hornets
According to our Daily Prop Analyzer, LeVert has gone Over the 10.5-point total in 20 of the 27 games we have tracked at that number. That’s a hit rate of 74.1% and it’s just hard to envision a scenario in which the 28-year-old doesn’t score at least 11 points against this Hornets team.
LeVert is coming off a game in which he had 15 points against this exact opponent, and he has now scored 15.5 points per game over his last two contests. LeVert has seen 36.5 minutes per game over the last two games, which isn’t something you can rely on every night. But Jarrett Allen is out for Cleveland, and the team has responded by turning to small-ball lineups. That means more opportunities for LeVert.
The Hornets also happen to play at one of the fastest paces in basketball, which means there will be extra possessions for LeVert to take some shots. And Charlotte is a miserable defensive team, so he should get a lot of good looks. It’s almost frightening how low this number is, but we’re taking the bait.
Bet: LeVert Over 10.5 Points (-130)
Denver Nuggets at Toronto Raptors (-1, 226.5)
The Nuggets have one of the highest turnover percentages in basketball, as only seven teams are coughing it up as often as they are. That’s not exactly great news when you consider that the Raptors are averaging 9.3 steals per game, which is more than any other team in the NBA. And O.G. Anunoby is the catalyst for Toronto’s chaos-inducing defense, as he’s averaging 2.0 steals per game.
Tonight, we like Anunoby to have at least two takeaways in a meeting with the Nuggets. The forward didn’t have any steals against the Nuggets when the two met on March 6th, but that only makes him more likely to rack up a few tonight. He’s simply too disruptive as a defender to have two quiet games in a row against the same team.
Anunoby has also recorded eight steals over his last two games, and he had five of them against the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday. Look for the 25-year-old to be all over the court in this one, and don’t be surprised if this thing is wrapped up by the midway point of the third quarter.
Bet: Anunoby Over 1.5 Steals (-110)
Orlando Magic (-5, 233) at San Antonio Spurs
This season, Markelle Fultz is averaging 5.5 assists per game, but his total is up at 6.5 for tonight’s meeting with the Spurs. That should tell you that the oddsmakers are worried about him putting a big number in the assist column. And we tend to think he’ll flirt with 10 assists in this meeting with the Spurs.
Fultz is averaging 10.2 potential assists per game this season, which means his assist numbers would be a bit higher if his teammates held up their end of the bargain. But even if they don’t cash in on every opportunity, there simply should be far too many opportunities in tonight’s meeting with the Spurs. San Antonio is allowing 26.4 assists per game this season, which is tied for the most in basketball. That means that this is a very exploitable defense, and Fultz should be living in the paint in this one — which will then give him the opportunity to find some open looks for his teammates.
With all of that said, we’d be absolutely stunned if Fultz doesn’t dish out at least seven assists in this one. And we wouldn’t hate a small sprinkle on Fultz to have 10+ assists at +500 odds. He had eight dimes against the Spurs back on Dec. 23, but he played only 24 minutes in that game. He should play at least 30 here.
Bet: Fultz Over 6.5 Assists (-115)
Did you know that you can parlay these three picks together at +531 odds? Try out our VSiN Parlay Calculator HERE!
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