Best Bets on Today’s NBA Player Props Market
If you’re looking for some plays for the Wednesday, March 22nd NBA slate, we have you covered in every way possible. As always, we’ll have best bets to give you some ideas of what to back when it comes to moneylines, spreads and totals. However, we’re tackling player props here, and we’re targeting Monte Morris, Bam Adebayo and De’Andre Hunter tonight. Keep reading to find out how we’re betting on each of them.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on March 22
Here are our favorite NBA prop bets for Wednesday, March 22 (odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook):
Denver Nuggets (-7, 228) at Washington Wizards
Tonight, Monte Morris gets to face his former team for the second time this season. The first meeting was back on December 14th, when Morris had 20 points and seven assists in 28 minutes of action. We’re hoping that he can dish out at least six assists in this spot, and we do love the fact that he is coming off an eight-assist game against the Orlando Magic last night.
Morris is the definition of a pass-first point guard, so we don’t have to worry about him not looking to set up his teammates. And this is the perfect matchup for him to exploit, as he knows his former teammates like the back of his hand. He should also be familiar with the team’s defensive coverages, and it’s just hard to see him not finding a way to take advantage of that — like he did in the first meeting.
Morris is also averaging 8.8 potential assists per game this season, which is a good number. And being that this could be a high-scoring game against a Nuggets team that allows more assists per game than all but one team in the entire NBA, we just love his chances of putting up big numbers as a playmaker.
Bet: Morris Over 5.5 Assists (-105)
New York Knicks at Miami Heat (-2, 224.5)
Bam Adebayo is one of the best interior defenders in basketball, but that hasn’t translated into good numbers in the blocks column. However, Adebayo can normally be counted on to step up in big games, and this qualifies as that. This season, Adebayo is averaging 1.5 blocks per game in two meetings with the Knicks. And Adebayo is also averaging 1.3 blocks per game in the month of March.
With that in mind, we find it hard to believe that you can get these odds on Adebayo to simply block one shot against New York — even if you do have to lay a little juice. Adebayo has also gotten at least one block in 39 of the 68 games he has played this year, which means that this play has a 57.4% hit rate.
We’re keeping this one simple and looking to get just one block out of a guy that has had two three-block games in the last seven days.
Bet: Adebayo Over 0.5 Blocks (-160)
Atlanta Hawks at Minnesota Timberwolves (-4.5, 241.5)
It might be easy to forget that the Timberwolves were struggling defensively when Karl-Anthony Towns and Rudy Gobert played together. After all, we haven’t seen Towns play for Minnesota in quite some time. However, the big man is making his return from a torn calf in tonight’s meeting with the Hawks, which is exciting news for the Timberwolves. But it’s also exciting news for bettors, as we can now go back to targeting Minnesota on the player props market.
Tonight, we’re rolling with De’Andre Hunter to score at least 16 points. Hunter is only averaging 15.0 points per game in the month of March, but this is a guy that can shoot the basketball. And he’s going to see some minutes as a small-ball four, which should mean there will be some minutes in which Towns is defending him. If that’s the case, look for Hunter to get some great looks at the basket, as Towns struggled to close out on stretch bigs early in the year.
This play is ultimately going to come down to whether Hunter can knock down some open triples. But the quality of these looks should be better than what he has gotten all year, and this also happens to be a guy that shoots better on the road. He’s hitting 36.9% of his 3s away from home this season, but he makes just 34.6% at home.
According to our Daily Prop Analyzer, the over is 34-27-1 on Hunter’s point total in 62 games started this year.
Bet: Hunter Over 15.5 Points (-110)
Did you know that you can parlay these three picks together at +505 odds? Try out our VSiN Parlay Calculator HERE!
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