Player props have become one of the NBA’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value beyond the standard spread or total. Each night, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board using matchup data, recent performances, and betting trends to find edges. Keep reading for some of the top OptaAI player prop projections for Monday, November 9. Then, right below those, you’ll see the player props I’m personally taking. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts should be all over the NBA, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
Noteworthy Monday OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the OptaAI Player Props NBA pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
CJ McCollum Over 12.5 Points (-119) vs. Lakers
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 18.10 points, suggesting these odds should be -1035 — a +36.9% edge to the Over.
Onyeka Okongwu Over 7.5 Rebounds (+108) vs. Lakers
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 9.03 rebounds, suggesting these odds should be -212 — a +19.9% edge to the Over.
Derik Queen Over 2.5 Assists (+134) vs. Warriors
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 4.08 assists, suggesting these odds should be -341 — a +24.1% edge to the Over.
Monday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Monday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record.
Grayson Allen Over 3.5 Rebounds (+118) vs. Cavaliers
Cavaliers at Hornets – 7:00 pm ET
Allen is averaging 4.0 rebounds when playing at least 30 minutes this season, and he has gone Over 3.5 boards in two of those three contests. Well, at least 30 minutes seems almost unavoidable tonight. Charlotte will be without Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller, and Dennis Schroder, leaving plenty of minutes for Allen at shooting guard or on the wing.
The Cavaliers also rank just 21st in the NBA in offensive rebounding rate (30.3), which could give Allen some opportunities to clean up on the defensive glass.
Allen simply should be able to fill up the stat sheet a bit tonight, and I’m banking on him grabbing four boards at plus-money odds.
Ziaire Williams Over 7.5 Points (-129) & Alt Points 10+ (+150 – 0.5 units) vs. Hawks
Lakers at Hawks – 7:00 pm ET
Williams continues to be priced as a complete non-factor, but he keeps knocking down shots. The big wing has made at least two triples in five of his last six games, and there should be plenty of minutes for him as long as he’s doing that.
The Lakers added Williams and Matisse Thybulle to surround Luka Doncic with the wing defense he needs. The hope was that both could at least be in the ballpark of average offensively. So far, Williams has been the more reliable shot-maker, and he’s coming off a 17-point performance against the Pistons.
As long as Williams keeps playing with confidence, more double-digit scoring games should be in his future. I can see him having one tonight. Atlanta is a good defensive team, but the Hawks should be willing to give him some room to pay closer attention to Doncic and Austin Reaves.
Jeremiah Fears Over 3.5 Assists (+105 – 1.5 units) & Alt Assists 5+ (+220 – 0.5 units) & Alt Assists 6+ (+456 – 0.1 units) vs. Warriors
Pelicans at Warriors – 10:00 pm ET
I’m having a hard time understanding why Fears’ assist total is still sitting at 3.5 with plus-money odds — or close to them — on the Over. Fears is averaging 6.5 assists in games in which he has played at least 25 minutes, and he has cleared 3.5 in five of those six contests.
Fears is quickly becoming the engine of this New Orleans offense. He’s an effortless off-the-dribble attacker who can knock down threes, and he uses his speed extremely well to create for himself and his teammates.
Tonight brings a tougher matchup against a Warriors team with a defensive rating of 107.9 during its current seven-game winning streak. Still, Fears’ speed should allow him to create opportunities even against a defense like this.
He’s also averaging 8.0 adjusted assists over his last six games, suggesting his passing numbers could look even better with more consistent shot-making from his teammates.
Late Additions
P.J. Washington Over 13.5 Points (-108 – 1.5 units) & Alt Points 18+ (+236 – 0.5 units) & Alt Points 21+ (+450 – 0.25 units) & Alt Points 24+ (+900 – 0.1 units) vs. Pacers
Stephon Castle Over 1.5 Made Threes (-113) vs. Suns
More NBA Content
Check out the Harwood Handicappers YouTube channel! I’ll likely be dishing out more player props every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday when I go LIVE on YouTube to run through each slate.
