Player props have become one of the NBA’s most entertaining ways to bet, offering value beyond the standard spread or total. Each night, this column highlights the best opportunities on the board using matchup data, recent performances, and betting trends to find edges. Keep reading for some of the top OptaAI player prop projections for Wednesday, October 21. Then, right below those, you’ll see the player props I’m personally taking. Also, make sure you check out our live VSiN programming for more. Our hosts and analysts should be all over the NBA, which is why it pays to be a VSiN Pro subscriber.
Noteworthy Wednesday OptaAI Player Prop Edges
Check out the OptaAI Player Props NBA pages for more of these! VSiN Pro subscribers can find 50+ player prop ideas on a daily basis! We’ll list the top edges in some of the biggest markets below, but there will always be a lot more to uncover on the pages themselves.
Cedric Coward Over 13.5 Points (-117) vs. Jazz
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 17.04 points, suggesting these odds should be -405 — a +26.3% edge to the Over.
Daniel Gafford Over 6.5 Rebounds (-130) vs. Rockets
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 8.95 rebounds, suggesting these odds should be -374 — a +22.4% edge to the Over.
Desmond Bane Over 3.5 Assists (+125) vs. Hawks
Our OptaAI player prop projections have him finishing with 4.41 assists, suggesting these odds should be -179 — a +19.8%% edge to the Over.
Wednesday Player Prop Best Bets
Below you’ll find my official plays on the player prop market for Wednesday. These are the ones that make the VSiN Pro Picks page and count towards my season-long record.
Tristan da Silva Over 1.5 Made Threes (-125) vs. Hawks
Hawks at Magic – 7:00 pm ET
I don’t want to get too carried away with what I saw in preseason, but it sure seems like Sean Sweeney likes da Silva’s game and wants him to be more aggressive. Da Silva actually attempted 9.3 triples per game in four preseason games, and he knocked down 3.5 per game. Sweeney knows that Orlando needs improved spacing this year, and perhaps a jump in volume from da Silva can help. Well, I’m banking on da Silva’s willingness to shoot to carry over into the regular season. I know this isn’t the greatest matchup in the world, but if da Silva launches enough shots then he should connect on two. I also like that da Silva shot 39.9% at home last year. He’s more comfortable in this building.
Scottie Barnes Over 7.5 Rebounds (-103) vs. Bulls
Bulls at Raptors – 7:30 pm ET
Last year, when Barnes went up against top-five teams in pace and bottom-10 teams in defensive rating, he averaged 8.6 rebounds per game. He also had at least eight boards in five of his final six matchups like that, and four of those games featured Barnes pulling down at least 11 rebounds. Well, this year’s Bulls team has a different man patrolling the sidelines, as Tiago Splitter is in for Billy Donovan at head coach. However, Chicago still profiles as an uptempo team. Also, not much was done to address the Bulls defense. That said, this seems like a matchup in which both teams will be flying up and down the floor, and I expect Barnes to gobble up boards on both ends of the court.
Yves Missi Over 6.5 Points (-116) vs. Pacers
Pacers at Pelicans – 8:00 pm ET
Missi seems to be the unquestioned starting center for New Orleans, which makes sense considering he’s a toolsy defense-first player and he’s now playing for a defensive-minded coach in Jamahl Mosley. Well, with a solidified role should come decent minutes, and that’s what’s interesting to me looking at this game. Last season, in the 15 games in which Missi played at least 25 minutes, the big man went Over 6.5 points 10 times and averaged 8.7 points per game. Well, that’s good enough for me to take a flier on the Over. Indiana is going to be a team that plays with some real tempo, and the group was just 27th in the NBA defending at the basket last year. That should improve with a full year of Ivica Zubac, but let’s see it first.
More NBA Content
Check out the Harwood Handicappers YouTube channel! I’ll likely be dishing out more player props every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday when I go LIVE on YouTube to run through each slate.
