Every night of the 2026-27 NBA season gives us a fresh set of games and numbers to pick apart. This daily column digs into the best sides and totals on the board, using in-depth basketball analysis, betting trends, and our VSiN NBA betting splits to spot value. We’ll also be tackling these slates relentlessly on our live VSiN programming, which is why basketball fans should really consider a VSiN Pro subscription. Below you’ll find some NBA picks and predictions for Friday, November 6.
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NBA Best Bets Today – Friday, November 6
Bucks +7.5 (-115) vs. Raptors
Raptors at Bucks – 8:00 pm ET
I didn’t think I’d be running to back the Bucks in a meeting with the Raptors, but it’s an Emirates NBA Cup night, and we’re getting a little nuts. Of course, the fact that the Raptors are playing without Kawhi Leonard is big. However, this is more about the Bucks than anything.
Milwaukee might be 1-7 on the season, but this team is very competitive. In fact, the five-man unit of Ryan Rollins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kyle Kuzma, and Myles Turner has an efficiency differential of +18.3. That unit is also in the 86th percentile in points scored per 100 possessions (120.7) and the 71st percentile in points allowed per 100 possessions (102.4).
Meanwhile, Toronto’s current starting five — Immanuel Quickley, Ja’Kobe Walter, RJ Barrett, Scottie Barnes, and Jakob Poeltl — has an efficiency differential of -20.5 across 57 possessions. That’s a small sample, but it gives the Bucks some hope. If Brayden Burries, who is currently starting at shooting guard for Milwaukee, doesn’t have it going early, Taylor Jenkins can turn to Rollins and let his best five players attack a weak unit.
I also think Milwaukee is in a unique position to make Toronto pay for its weak center rotation. If Turner is knocking down his threes, Poeltl won’t be able to protect the rim. That’s when the Raptors’ overall lack of size could really hurt them, as the Bucks will have opportunities to attack the cup.
Toronto could opt to downsize, with Collin Murray-Boyles giving the team a good option as a small-ball five. However, the 21-year-old will need to make shots for the Raptors to really dominate his minutes. I have some doubts there.
There’s also a legitimate chance Barnes misses this game. He’s listed as questionable with adductor/groin tightness. I like the Bucks to cover no matter what, but they’ll have a chance to win outright if Barnes can’t go.
Spurs vs. Kings OVER 228.5 (-115)
Spurs at Kings – 10:00 pm ET
I mostly play Unders when betting NBA totals these days, but I’m playing the Over in this one. The Kings are currently playing at the sixth-fastest pace in basketball (102.4), despite ranking 27th in adjusted offensive rating (108.9) and 28th in adjusted defensive rating (115.3).
Sacramento doesn’t scare anyone with its ability to push the pace offensively, as the team is absurdly inefficient at scoring the basketball. However, that style of play, combined with miserable defense, makes it incredibly easy for opponents to generate good offense. That invites high-scoring affairs, which is what I believe we’ll get tonight.
I have very little faith in the Kings finding a way to defend Victor Wembanyama, and I might have even less faith in them staying in front of the three-headed monster of De’Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, and Stephon Castle. The Spurs should be able to hang a huge number tonight, and we’ll just need the Kings to help out a little.
I’ll also add that this is a good opportunity for the Spurs to do some damage in West Group C. If San Antonio wins by a wide margin, the team will be in good shape if a tiebreaker is needed. That means the Spurs have an incentive to push, push, and push some more late in this game.
Added Plays (Late Picks, Parlays, Teasers, Futures)
PARLAY: Thunder ML vs. Grizzlies & Pelicans Alt +10.5 vs. Timberwolves (+119): I’m obviously extremely high on the Grizzlies this year, but I do think the Thunder can win this game with their ability to apply intense ball pressure at the point of attack. Oklahoma City can force Ty Jerome to get rid of the ball quickly, leaving Memphis’ secondary pieces to create. That’s not something they’ve proven they’re ready for.
In the other game, I think there’s a good chance New Orleans covers, but a little extra cushion should help against a team as explosive as Minnesota.
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