Today’s NBA Betting Trends:
The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Monday, February 2, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
* Road teams are 8-1 ATS in the last nine of the Timberwolves-Grizzlies series
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (-7.5 at MEM)
* PHILADELPHIA is 22-7 Over the total playing on the road in One Day Rest games since November 2024
System/Trend Match (PLAY OVER): PHI-LAC (o/u at 220.5)
#1 TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the MAKINEN BETTOR RATINGS: NOP-CHA OVER 230.5 (projections have total at 235.6)
Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping
The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures.
* CHARLOTTE is 148-107 Under the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since March 2021
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NOP-CHA (o/u at 230.5)
* NBA teams playing on the road in One Day Rest scenario are 56-49 SU and 60-43 ATS vs. teams in back-to-back away/home games over the last two seasons
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (+1.5 at LAC)
* NBA teams playing on the road in One Day Rest scenario are 57-48 Over the total vs. teams in back-to-back away/home games over the last two seasons
* PHILADELPHIA is 22-7 Over the total playing on the road in One Day Rest games since November 2024
System/Trend Match (PLAY OVER): PHI-LAC (o/u at 220.5)
* HOUSTON is 121-100 Over the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since December 2021
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): HOU-IND (o/u at 219.5)
Top Daily Head-to-Head Series NBA Betting Trends
Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games:
(551) NEW ORLEANS at (552) CHARLOTTE
* Home teams are 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in the NOP-CHA non-conference set since the start of 2023
Trend Match (PLAY): CHARLOTTE (-6.5 vs NOP)
(553) HOUSTON at (554) INDIANA
* Over the total is 4-1-1 in the last six of the Rockets-Pacers series since the start of 2023
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): HOU-IND (o/u at 219.5)
(555) MINNESOTA at (556) MEMPHIS
* Road teams are 8-1 ATS in the last nine of the MIN-MEM series
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (-7.5 at MEM)
(557) PHILADELPHIA at (558) LA CLIPPERS
* PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 ATS in the last nine trips to Los Angeles to play the Clippers
Trend Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (+1.5 at LAC)
NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems
These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted.
Rout wins are a warning sign for the next contest for the hosts
NBA home teams coming off any game in which they beat the point spread by 20-points or more are 333-253 SU but 268-303-15 ATS (46.9%) over the last seven seasons.
System Match (FADE ATS): LA CLIPPERS (-1.5 vs PHI)
Upset wins over conference opponents lead to next game stumbles versus non-conference opponents
NBA teams coming off an upset win over an intra-conference foe have had problems when facing a non-conference opponent in the next game, going just 172-215 SU and 166-217-4 ATS (43.3%) since late-January 2021.
System Matches (FADE ALL): INDIANA (+6.5 vs HOU), LA CLIPPERS (-1.5 vs PHI)
Unusual defensive performances
NBA teams that hold an opponent to 36% or less field goal percentage in any given game have produced well in the next contest as well, going 175-114 SU and 164-118-7 ATS (58.2%) since 2021.
System Match (PLAY): LA CLIPPERS (-1.5 vs PHI)
NBA Streak Systems
The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA.
NBA Streak Betting System #2:
Teams having won their last four games or more have been a solid wager when playing as large road favorites of 7.5 points or more, going 89-23 SU and 60-49-3 ATS (55%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (-7.5 at MEM)
NBA Streak Betting System #10:
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been a solid wager when they are a capable offensive team, as those scoring 114 PPG or more are on a 107-117 SU but 128-94-3 ATS (57.7%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): MEMPHIS (+7.5 vs MIN)
NBA Streak Betting System #13:
When teams on alternate streaks of at least 4 games go head-to-head, the teams on the losing streaks have gone 37-85 SU but 67-55 ATS (54.9%) over the last five seasons.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): MEMPHIS (+7.5 vs MIN)
Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data
One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:30 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage.
To summarize the findings from the first half data of the 2025-26 season, the sample contained 633 games, and for the most part, majority bettors have lost on all six point spread, money line, and total categories. In fact, this has been the worst half-season they have endured since I started studying this subject a few years ago. Here are the results:
– Majority handle on point spreads: 291-335 ATS (46.5%), -77.5 units – ROI: -12.4%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 287-323 ATS (47%), -68.3 units – ROI: -11.2%
– Majority handle on money lines: 379-247 (60.5%). -123.2 units – ROI: -20.2%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 404-227 (64%). -113.7 units – ROI: -18%
– Majority handle on totals: 306-310 (49.7%). -35 units – ROI: -5.7%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 307-318 (49.1%), -42.8 units – ROI: -6.8%
DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 868-785 ATS (52.5%) over the last 3+ seasons. This has produced a profit of +4.5 units and an ROI of 0.3%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. However, it is down over 20 units so far in ’25-26 so perhaps tread lightly. Even still, remember that handle is the total amount of money on a game and is generally considered sharper. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): MINNESOTA
DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-Conference games (East versus West) of the last 3+ seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been mildly successful, as they are 461-417 ATS (52.5%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed just over a 50% success rate, they were about 2.5% improved on these more-rare contests. This simple angle has produced +2.3 units of profit and an ROI of 0.3%.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): CHARLOTTE
DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 3+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 579-508 ATS record, good for 54.2%. This is over a 4% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +20.2 units of profit and an ROI of 1.9%.
System Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA
DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last 3+ seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 484-393, good for 55.2%, +51.7 units, and an ROI of +5.9% since January ’23.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): NOP-CHA, HOU-IND, MIN-MEM
DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: The average NBA game total since January of 2023 has been a bit more than 228. In NBA games with “low” totals, or those less than 220, majority handle bettors have gone an impressive 408-345 (54.2%).
System Match (PLAY): UNDER – HOU-IND
DK NBA Betting Splits system #14: Majority handle Under bettors have been successful when sticking to their guns despite DraftKings raising total off of its opening number. These Under majorities have gone 200-153 (56.7%) since January 2023 by not getting baited into this totals trap. This has been the most profitable angle of all in terms of ROI, producing +31.7 units of profit for 9%.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): HOU-IND, MIN-MEM
Today’s NBA Strength Ratings
The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).
Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MEMPHIS +7.5 (+3.0)
2. INDIANA +6.5 (+2.7)
3. NEW ORLEANS +6.5 (+0.5)
Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: LA CLIPPERS -1.5 (+1.0)
Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MEMPHIS +7.5 (+1.9)
2. NEW ORLEANS +6.5 (+0.9)
Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. LA CLIPPERS -1.5 (+0.8)
2. HOUSTON -6.5 (+0.6)
Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. NOP-CHA OVER 230.5 (+4.9)
2. PHI-LAC OVER 220.5 (+0.8)
Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MIN-MEM UNDER 229.5 (-2.6)
2. HOU-IND UNDER 219.5 (-0.6)
Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. INDIANA +6.5 (+3.6)
2. MEMPHIS +7.5 (+2.7)
3. NEW ORLEANS +6.5 (+0.3)
Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: LA CLIPPERS -1.5 (+1.3)
Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. NOP-CHA OVER 230.5 (+5.1)
2. PHI-LAC OVER 220.5 (+1.7)
3. HOU-IND OVER 219.5 (+0.8)
Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: MIN-MEM UNDER 229.5 (-2.7)
