The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Saturday, October 25, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

 

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* Over the total is on a 13-2-1 surge in the last 16 of the OKC-ATL series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): OKC-ATL (o/u at 238.5) 

* NBA teams playing on road in 2 Days Rest scenario are 16-4 Under the total vs. teams in 3rd Home in 4 Days games over the last two seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): CHI-ORL (o/u at 232.5) 

* NBA teams that had a -15 or worse rebounding differential have struggled to tighten up in a back-to-back situation, going Over the total at a 94-60 (61%) rate since 2021, including 39-17 (69.6%) to the Over in the last 56.
System Match (PLAY OVER): IND-MEM (o/u at 237.5)

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures. 

We will be tracking 50 top scheduling situations all season long! 

* NBA teams playing on road in One Day Rest scenario were 40-29 SU and 41-27 ATS vs. teams in head-to-head, back-to-back games last season
System Match (PLAY): INDIANA (+1.5 at MEM) 

* NBA teams playing on road in One Day Rest scenario are 44-36 SU and 47-31 ATS vs. teams in away-to-home, back-to-back games over the last two seasons

* OKLAHOMA CITY is 61-13 SU and 47-24-3 ATS playing in all OneDayRest games since Apr 2024
Trends Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-6.5 at ATL) 

* NBA teams playing on road in One Day Rest scenario are 48-32 Over the total vs. teams in away-to-home back-to-back games over the last two seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): OKC-ATL (o/u at 238.5) 

* NBA teams playing on road in 2 Days Rest scenario are 16-4 Under the total vs. teams in 3rd Home in 4 Days games over the last two seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): CHI-ORL (o/u at 232.5) 

* CHARLOTTE is 3-17 SU and 4-16 ATS playing on the road in the 2 Days Rest scenario since Apr 2022
* CHARLOTTE is 8-30 SU and 12-25-1 ATS playing in 2 Days Rest scenario since Mar 2022
Trends Match (FADE): CHARLOTTE (+4.5 at PHI)

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details five different betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons.

NBA Team Strength Betting System #1:
In games between two teams with 60%+ winning percentages, home teams favored in the -4.5 to -9.5 range are on a 159-61 SU and 131-88-1 ATS (59.8%) run.
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (-4.5 vs CHA) 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #3:
NBA road favorites winning 36% of their games or less are on an impressive surge of 78-30 SU and 66-41-1 ATS (61.7%).
System Match (PLAY): INDIANA (*if they become favored at Memphis, +1.5 currently*) 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #8:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last five seasons, depending on what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 114-93 (55.1%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 225-176 (56.1%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, Over the total was 294-226 (56.5%).
System Match (PLAY OVER): PHX-DEN (spread at -13.5, total at 233.5)

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted.

135 points in a win is a team score to watch for
Teams that won their last game while scoring 135 or more points are on a 252-138 SU but 179-203-8 ATS (46.7%) skid in the follow-up contest when favored.
System Match (FADE): OKLAHOMA CITY (-6.5 at ATL)

Allowing 135+ points in a game is a sign of trouble
NBA teams off a game in which they allowed 135+ points and are now favored have gone 156-94 SU but 113-133-4 ATS (45.9%) in the follow-up contest over the last seven seasons. Included among this is a 93-117 ATS (44.3%) mark when not playing the next day.
System Matches (FADE ALL): OKLAHOMA CITY (-6.5 at ATL), MEMPHIS (-1.5 vs IND), DENVER (-13.5 vs PHX) 

Close wins haven’t provided for momentum going forward
NBA teams that won as favorites by a close margin (1-3 points) have gone 280-147 SU but just 181-233-13 ATS (43.7%) in the next contest when favored again.
System Match (FADE): PHILADELPHIA (-4.5 vs CHA) 

Upset wins over conference opponents leads to next game stumbles versus non-conference
NBA teams coming off an upset win over an intra-conference foe have had problems when facing a non-conference opponent in the next game, going just 152-189 SU and 146-191-4 ATS (43.3%) since late-January 2021.
System Match (FADE): ATLANTA (+6.5 vs OKC)

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams off a game in which they were granted 35 or more free throw attempts trended Under the total the next game, 322-274 (54%) since 2021.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): CHI-ORL (o/u at 232.5), OKC-ATL (o/u at 238.5), IND-MEM (o/u at 237.5) 

Massive rebounding differentials
NBA teams that had a -15 or worse rebounding differential have struggled to tighten up in a back-to-back situation, going Over the total at a 94-60 (61%) rate since 2021, including 39-17 (69.6%) to the Over in the last 56.
System Match (PLAY OVER): IND-MEM (o/u at 237.5) 

High TO games can be significant
NBA teams that committed 20+ turnovers in the previous game have done well in expected-tight matchups (within -4 to +4 line range) in the follow-up game, going 61-45 SU and 63-42-1 ATS (60%) in their last 106 tries.
System Match (PLAY): MEMPHIS (-1.5 vs IND)

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA. 

NO QUALIFYING STREAK PLAYS YET THIS SEASON

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:15 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage.

To summarize the findings from the full 2024-25 season, the sample contained 1321 games, and for the most part, to summarize, majority handle bettors were much more successful than majority number of bets groups on point spreads and totals, while both struggled on money lines. The full season performance by the majority handle on totals last year in the NBA was better than any other sports I have covered. In fact, these were the results: 

– Majority handle on point spreads: 660-614 ATS (51.8%), -15.4 units – ROI: -1.2%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 618-645 ATS (48.9%), -91.5 units – ROI: -7.2%
– Majority handle on money lines: 842-458 (64.8%). -123.18 units – ROI: -9.5%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 886-421 (67.8%). -137.95 units – ROI: -10.6%
– Majority handle on totals: 708-594 (54.4%). +54.6 units – ROI: +4.2%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 670-621 (51.9%), -13.1 units – ROI: -1%

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 748-665 ATS (52.9%) over the last three seasons. This has produced a profit of +16.5 units and an ROI of 1.2%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. Remember, handle is the total amount of money on a game. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Match (PLAY): CHARLOTTE 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation, when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 2+ seasons, that group produced a 352-298 ATS record (54.2%), good for +24.2 units of profit and a ROI of 3.7%. This lot of 650 games was only around 20% of the total sample size.
System Match (PLAY): DENVER 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-conference games (East versus West) of the last three seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been successful, as they are 395-348 ATS (53.2%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed a 51.2% success rate, they were about 2% improved on these more-rare contests. This simple angle has produced +12.2 units of profit and an ROI of 1.6%.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 2+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 494-413 ATS record, good for 54.5%. This is over a 3% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +39.7 units of profit and an ROI of 4.4%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): ORLANDO, DENVER 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #9: There has been a massive disparity of success levels for majority groups on handle when they back the home or road team on money line wagers. On home teams, these majorities have gone 1252-561 over the last three seasons but for -220.99 units and an ROI of -12.2%. On road teams, these majorities have gone 943-612 but for just -6.38 units and a ROI of -0.4%. This 11.8% disparity warrants fading ML majorities on home teams and at least considering ML majorities when they opt for road teams until something definitively changes.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ORLANDO ML, DENVER ML 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #11: One of the best, simplest, and most frequent angles I have been able to uncover is when a majority of handle bettors were backing the Under in an NBA game. It is generally believed that most NBA bettors prefer taking Overs. When any majority number have favored the Under option over the last three seasons, the results have been strong, with Under the total on these games going 434-351, good for 55.3%, +47.9 units, and an ROI of +6.1% since January 2023.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): IND-MEM

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s Top 2 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. CHARLOTTE +4.5 (+0.9)
2. PHOENIX +13.5 (+0.7) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ORLANDO -5.5 (+2.4)
2. MEMPHIS -1.5 (+1.3)
3. OKLAHOMA CITY -6.5 (+0.2) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ATLANTA +6.5 (+3.2) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MEMPHIS -1.5 (+4.3)
2. ORLANDO -5.5 (+0.8)
3. PHILADELPHIA -4.5 (+0.5) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. CHI-ORL UNDER 232.5 (-6.0)
2. CHA-PHI UNDER 236.5 (-5.1)
3. OKC-ATL UNDER 238.5 (-2.4) 

Today’s Top 2 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. PHOENIX +13.5 (+1.4)
2. CHARLOTTE +4.5 (+0.7) 

Today’s Top 3 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ORLANDO -5.5 (+4.1)
2. MEMPHIS -1.5 (+1.6)
3. OKLAHOMA CITY -6.5 (+0.3) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTION FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: PHX-DEN OVER 233.5 (+1.6) 

Today’s Top 3 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. CHA-PHI UNDER 236.5 (-7.0)
2. CHI-ORL UNDER 232.5 (-6.9)
3. OKC-ATL UNDER 238.5 (-4.2) 

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games:

(557) CHICAGO (1-0) at (558) ORLANDO (1-1)
* Over the total is 4-1 in the last five of the Bulls-Magic series at Orlando
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CHI-ORL (o/u at 232.5) 

(559) OKLAHOMA CITY (2-0) at (560) ATLANTA (1-1)
* Over the total is on a 13-2-1 surge in the last 16 of the OKC-ATL series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): OKC-ATL (o/u at 238.5) 

(561) CHARLOTTE (1-0) at (562) PHILADELPHIA (1-0)
* Road teams have covered four straight ATS in the CHA-PHI series
Trend Match (PLAY): CHARLOTTE (+4.5 at PHI)

(563) INDIANA (0-1) at (564) MEMPHIS (1-1)
* MEMPHIS has won four straight SU and ATS when hosting Indiana
Trend Match (PLAY): MEMPHIS (-1.5 vs IND) 

(565) PHOENIX (1-1) at (566) DENVER (0-1)
* PHOENIX is 3-1 ATS in the last four trips to Denver
Trend Match (PLAY): PHOENIX (+13.5 at DEN)

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