The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Thursday, October 23, 2025. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board. 

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following NBA betting trends are an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures. 

 

We will be tracking 50 top scheduling situations all season long! 

* NBA teams playing on the road in One Day Rest scenario are 38-78 SU and 43-71-2 ATS vs. teams in 3+ Days Rest games over the last four seasons

* NBA teams playing on 3+ Days Rest scenario are 73-48 SU and 72-48-1 ATS vs. teams in One Day Rest games over the last three seasons

* NBA teams playing at home in 3+ Days Rest scenario are 78-38 SU and 71-43-2 ATS vs. teams in One Day Rest games over the last four seasons

Systems Match (PLAY): INDIANA (+7.5 vs OKC)

* NBA teams playing on 3+ Days Rest scenario are 73-48 SU and 72-48-1 ATS vs. teams in One Day Rest games over the last three seasons

Systems Match (PLAY): DENVER (+2.5 at GSW)

The following are 40 of the top team-specific trends that have developed in the NBA over the last few seasons when considering scheduling situations. Like the league-wide systems introduced earlier, naturally, there are reasons that certain teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based upon the schedule pressures. 

* GOLDEN STATE is 25-28 SU and 16-34 ATS playing home games in the One Day Rest scenario since Nov 2023
Trend Match (FADE): GOLDEN STATE (-2.5 vs DEN) 

* GOLDEN STATE is 115-88 Over the total playing in the One Day Rest scenario since Dec 2021
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DEN-GSW (o/u at 233.5) 

* OKLAHOMA CITY is 60-13 SU and 47-23-3 ATS playing in all One Day Rest games since Apr 2024
Trend Match (PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY (-7.5 at DEN)

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games:

Thursday, October 23, 2025

(529) OKLAHOMA CITY at (530) INDIANA
* Home teams have covered five of the last six between 2025 NBA Finals Foes Oklahoma City and Indiana
Trend Match (PLAY): INDIANA (+7.5 vs OKC)

* Under the total is 4-1 in the last five of the OKC-IND series
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): OKC-IND (o/u at 231.5) 

(531) DENVER at (532) GOLDEN STATE
* Underdogs are 5-7 SU but 10-2 ATS in the last 12 of the Nuggets-Warriors set
Trend Match (PLAY): DENVER (+2.5 at GSW)

* Under the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the DEN-GSW series
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): DEN-GSW (o/u at 233.5)

NBA Extreme Stats Next Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted. 

Close wins haven’t provided for momentum going forward
NBA teams that won as favorites by a close margin (1-3 points) have gone 279-147 SU but just 181-232-13 ATS (43.8%) in the next contest when favored again.
System Match (FADE): OKLAHOMA CITY (-7.5 at IND)

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA.

NO QUALIFYING STREAK PLAYS YET THIS SEASON

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money & ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:00 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the full 2024-25 season, the sample contained 1321 games, and for the most part, to summarize, majority handle bettors were much more successful than majority number of bets groups on point spreads & totals, while both struggled on money lines. The full season performance by the majority handle on totals last year in the NBA was better than any other sport I have covered. In fact, these were the results: 

–  Majority handle on point spreads: 660-614 ATS (51.8%), -15.4 UNITS – ROI: -1.2%
–  Majority number of bets on point spreads: 618-645 ATS (48.9%), -91.5 UNITS – ROI: -7.2%
–   Majority handle on money lines: 842-458 (64.8%). -123.18 UNITS – ROI: -9.5%
–  Majority number of bets on money lines: 886-421 (67.8%). -137.95 UNITS – ROI: -10.6%
–  Majority handle on totals: 708-594 (54.4%). +54.6 UNITS – ROI: +4.2%
–  Majority number of bets on totals: 670-621 (51.9%), -13.1 UNITS – ROI: -1% 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 748-665 ATS (52.9%) over the last three seasons. This has produced a profit of +16.5 units and an ROI of 1.2%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. Remember, handle is the total amount of money on a game. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OKLAHOMA CITY, DENVER 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #4: In another somewhat rare situation, when there was a majority handle backing the team with fewer wins on the season in the NBA over the last 2+ seasons, that group produced a 352-298 ATS record (54.2%), good for +24.2 units of profit and an ROI of 3.7%. This lot of 650 games was only around 20% of the total sample size.
System Match (PLAY): DENVER 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #6: In NBA non-conference games (East versus West) of the last three seasons, DK super majority handle groups of 62% or greater have been successful, as they are 395-348 ATS (53.2%). If you consider that the overall majority numbers showed a 51.2% success rate, they were about 2% improved on these more-rare contests. This simple angle has produced +12.2 units of profit and an ROI of 1.6%.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): OKLAHOMA CITY 

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 2+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 494-413 ATS record, good for 54.5%. This is over a 3% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +39.7 units of profit and an ROI of 4.4%.
System Match (PLAY): DENVER 

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DENVER +2.5 (+3.4)
2. INDIANA +7.5 (+1.2) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DENVER +2.5 (+5.4)
2. INDIANA +7.5 (+2.3) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. OKC-IND UNDER 231.5 (-1.8)
2. DEN-GSW UNDER 233.5 (-0.8) 

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DENVER +2.5 (+3.2)
2. INDIANA +7.5 (+0.7) 

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DEN-GSW UNDER 233.5 (-3.2)
2. OKC-IND UNDER 231.5 (-1.8)

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