The following NBA betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NBA games of Tuesday, February 10, 2026. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each day’s NBA board.

AJ’s Angles

These are the top NBA betting trends and systems for today’s games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen. 

* NBA teams coming off back-to-back losses in which they scored 115+ points offensively have bounced back extremely well in the next outing when installed as underdogs, going 112-69-1 ATS (61.9%) since the start of the 2018-2019 season.
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS (+8.5 at PHX)

* NBA home teams coming off any game in which they beat the point spread by 20 points or more are 335-255 SU but 268-307-15 ATS (46.6%) over the last seven seasons.
System Match (FADE ATS): NEW YORK (-12.5 vs IND)

* NBA teams playing on the road in the 2 Days Rest scenario are 26-7 Under the total vs. teams in 3rd Home in 4 Days games over the last two seasons
System Match (PLAY UNDER): SAS-LAL (o/u at 227.5)

Schedule Situations Crucial for NBA Handicapping

The following is an expanded version of the article published in this year’s VSiN NBA Betting Guide, detailing scheduling situations in which teams have shown definitive patterns over the last few seasons. Typically, there are reasons that teams perform at varying levels based upon their schedules, whether that be from the amount of rest they’ve gotten before a game, how fatigued they are from a string of games, or how they deal with injuries/workloads based on the schedule pressures. 

* NBA teams playing on the road in the One Day Rest scenario are 217-272 SU but 274-207-8 ATS vs. teams in 2 Days Rest games over the last four seasons
System Match (PLAY): LA CLIPPERS (+7.5 at HOU)

* NBA teams playing at home in the 2 Days Rest scenario were 51-25 Over the total vs. teams in 3rd Straight Road games since the start of last season
System Match (PLAY OVER): LAC-HOU (o/u at 211.5)

* NBA teams playing on the road in the 2 Days Rest scenario are 26-7 Under the total vs. teams in 3rd Home in 4 Days games over the last two seasons
System Match (PLAY UNDER): SAS-LAL (o/u at 227.5)

Here are the top head-to-head series NBA betting trends in play for all of today’s games: 

(521) INDIANA at (522) NEW YORK
* Home teams are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings between IND and NYK since Eastern Conference finals Game 5 last year
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW YORK (-12.5 vs IND)

(523) LA CLIPPERS at (524) HOUSTON
* OVER the total is 5-0-1 in L6 of Clippers-Rockets series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): LAC-HOU (o/u at 211.5)

(525) DALLAS at (526) PHOENIX
* Road teams are 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS in the last 13 of DAL-PHX set
Trend Match (PLAY): DALLAS (+8.5 at PHX)

(527) SAN ANTONIO at (528) LA LAKERS
* San Antonio and the LA Lakers met four times at Crypto.com Arena in 2025, and all four meetings went Over the total
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): SAS-LAL (o/u at 227.5)

NBA Team Strength Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios. Unless noted, these are from the last five NBA seasons. 

NBA Team Strength Betting System #7:
Double-digit NBA games have produced some definitive results on totals over the last five seasons, depending on what type of matchup it was. In divisional games featuring double-digit lines, Under the total has gone 135-106 (56%). In non-conference games, Over the total was 247-208 (54.3%). And finally, in non-divisional conference games, OVER the total was 332-263 (55.8%).
System Match (PLAY): OVER – IND-NYK (o/u at 224.5)

NBA Extreme Stats Next-Game Systems

These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NBA games and detail the results of the follow-up game for the teams. These systems are from the last five seasons unless noted. 

Back-to-back scoring outbursts could be the beginning of a trend
NBA teams coming off back-to-back wins in which they scored 130+ points in each outing have gone 95-65 SU and 85-73-2 ATS (53.8%) in the follow-up game since 2018.
System Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-8.5 at LAL)

Teams losing despite scoring well are dangerous
NBA teams coming off back-to-back losses in which they scored 115+ points offensively have bounced back extremely well in the next outing when installed as underdogs, going 112-69-1 ATS (61.9%) since the start of the 2018-2019 season.
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS (+8.5 at PHX)

Rout wins are a warning sign for the next contest for hosts
NBA home teams coming off any game in which they beat the point spread by 20 points or more are 335-255 SU but 268-307-15 ATS (46.6%) over the last seven seasons.
System Match (FADE ATS): NEW YORK (-12.5 vs IND)

Unusual shooting performance systems
NBA teams that have made 50% or more of their 3-point field goal attempts in a game have responded the next time out by going just 338-348 SU and 310-368-8 ATS (45.7%) in the next game over the last five seasons.
System Match (FADE): LA CLIPPERS (+7.5 at HOU)

NBA Streak Systems

The following handicapping information details betting systems for teams on winning or losing streaks of at least four games in the NBA. 

NBA Streak Betting System #2:
Teams having won their last four games or more have been a solid wager when playing as large road favorites of 7.5 points or more, going 90-24 SU and 61-50-3 ATS (55%) since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY): SAN ANTONIO (-8.5 at LAL)

NBA Streak Betting System #7:
Teams that have lost at least their last four games and are facing an opponent on 2+ Days Rest have had their games go Over the total at a 136-98-2 (58.1%) rate since the start of the 2020-21 season.
System Match (PLAY OVER): DAL-PHX (o/u at 228.5)

NBA Streak Betting System #10:
Teams having lost their last four games or more have been a solid wager when they are a capable offensive team, as those scoring 114 PPG or more are on a 110-121 SU but 131-98-3 ATS (57.2%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS (+8.5 at PHX)

NBA Streak Betting System #14:
Teams reaching winning OR losing streaks of 7 games or more become play-against teams in general, going 298-339-4 ATS (46.8%) in the next outing since 2020, and in particular, teams on losing streaks of 7 games or more have been terrible in road games, going 37-152 SU and 83-100-6 ATS (45.4%).
System Match (FADE): DALLAS (+8.5 at PHX)

Strategies Using NBA DraftKings Betting Splits Data

One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals. 

In an article published on the VSiN.com website on opening day, Steve Makinen outlined 14 systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for today’s games as of 11:00 a.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until tip-off for best usage. 

To summarize the findings from the first half data of the 2025-26 season, the sample contained 633 games, and for the most part, majority bettors have lost on all six point spread, money line, and total categories. In fact, this has been the worst half-season they have endured since I started studying this subject a few years ago. Here are the results: 

– Majority handle on point spreads: 291-335 ATS (46.5%), -77.5 units – ROI: -12.4%
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 287-323 ATS (47%), -68.3 units – ROI: -11.2%
– Majority handle on money lines: 379-247 (60.5%). -123.2 units – ROI: -20.2%
– Majority number of bets on money lines: 404-227 (64%). -113.7 units – ROI: -18%
– Majority handle on totals: 306-310 (49.7%). -35 units – ROI: -5.7%
– Majority number of bets on totals: 307-318 (49.1%), -42.8 units – ROI: -6.8%

DK NBA Betting Splits system #2: When 59% or more of the handle has been on the road side of an ATS wager, this “super” majority group has gone 868-785 ATS (52.5%) over the last 3+ seasons. This has produced a profit of +4.5 units and an ROI of 0.3%. This has been a very consistent system since I first found it, and for its simplicity, fairly successful. However, it is down over 20 units so far in 2025-26, so perhaps tread lightly. Still, remember that handle is the total amount of money on a game and is generally considered sharper. When a good portion of the overall money is on a road team in the NBA, it wins more often than not.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): SAN ANTONIO

DK NBA Betting Splits system #7: The number 63% or higher has been a key super-majority number in non-divisional conference games over the last 3+ seasons, with handle groups of that size boasting a 579-508 ATS record, good for 54.2%. This is over a 4% improvement on the overall majority figures and has netted +20.2 units of profit and an ROI of 1.9%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NEW YORK, HOUSTON, SAN ANTONIO

DK NBA Betting Splits system #9: There has been a massive disparity of success levels for majority groups on handle when they back the home or road team on money line wagers. On home teams, these majorities have gone 1454-663 over the last 3+ seasons but for -277.83 units and an ROI of -13.1%. On road teams, these majorities have gone 1113-757 but for -72.73 units and an ROI of -3.9%. This 9.2% disparity warrants outright fading ML majorities on home teams until something definitively changes.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NEW YORK ML, HOUSTON ML, PHOENIX ML

DK NBA Betting Splits system #13: The average NBA game total since January of 2023 has been a bit more than 228. In NBA games with “low” totals, or those less than 220, majority handle bettors have gone an impressive 408-345 (54.2%), while majority number of bets groups are a bit less at 398-359 (52.6%). Both groups have proven profitable regardless of which side of the total they have chosen.
System Match (PLAY): OVER – LAC-HOU

Today’s NBA Strength Ratings

The following NBA betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NBA tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses). 

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DALLAS +8.5 (+2.5)
2. LA LAKERS +8.5 (+2.2)
3. LA CLIPPERS +7.5 (+0.1)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: NEW YORK -12.5 (+0.2)

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: LA LAKERS +8.5 (+0.2)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. NEW YORK -12.5 (+1.8)
2. HOUSTON -7.5 (+0.9)
3. PHOENIX -8.5 (+0.5)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. SAS-LAL OVER 227.5 (+3.7)
2. DAL-PHX OVER 228.5 (+0.8)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. IND-NYK UNDER 224.5 (-2.0)
2. LAC-HOU UNDER 212.5 (-1.7)

Today’s UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. DALLAS +8.5 (+2.3)
2. LA LAKERS +8.5 (+1.8)
3. INDIANA +12.5 (+0.1)

Today’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Match: HOUSTON -7.5 (+0.1)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. SAS-LAL OVER 227.5 (+3.9)
2. DAL-PHX OVER 228.5 (+1.1)

Today’s TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches:
1. IND-NYK UNDER 224.5 (-1.6)
2. LAC-HOU UNDER 212.5 (-1.2)

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