Another less-than-memorable NBA All-Star Weekend has come and gone, and players get back to work on Wednesday and Thursday, with about one-third of the regular season remaining. There is still a lot to be decided regarding divisional races and which teams will or will not qualify for the postseason. At this point, with over 50 games in the books, we know a lot about the teams, specifically what scheduling situations they have been best or worst at in the 2024-25 season. With that in mind, I’ll share 25 of the most definitive performance records in various scheduling situations and where these angles will apply the rest of the way.

 

Keep these upcoming games lists handy and hit ’em when they come around. This is as simple of an actionable list as you can get. Don’t fret if you forget because they are always a big part of our NBA Analytics Report each day.

25 Top NBA Situational Records from 2024-25 season

ATLANTA went into the All-Star break on a 4-3 SU and 7-0 ATS (100%) surge

The Hawks are tied for the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference and could have a leg up on their nearest competitors if they can keep up the play level they went into the break with, a seven-game ATS winning streak, scoring 126.3 PPG. The Hawks’ next five games are: 

2/20: vs. Orlando
2/23: vs. Detroit
2/24: vs. Miami
2/26: at Miami
2/28: vs. Oklahoma City

BOSTON is 4-2 SU and 0-6 ATS when playing on two days’ rest this season

The Celtics have done a lot of things well this season but one area they have struggled to live up to expectations for bettors schedule-wise has been in the 2 Days Rest scenario. Fortunately, this is not the most common scheduling situation, and teams that underperform here generally aren’t affected that greatly overall. Bettors might want to fade Boston in these games the rest of the way: 

2/23: vs. New York
3/5: vs. Portland
3/18: vs. Brooklyn
3/21: at Utah
3/29: at San Antonio

BROOKLYN is 11-17 SU but 18-9-1 ATS (66.7%) in road games

This trend is an obvious one that bettors should take note of. The Nets have been ravaged by injuries all season long, but they’ve also received a lot of credit for it from oddsmakers. They are also putting up 5.9 PPG more on the road than at home, so it allows them to be more competitive, point spread-wise. Here are the Nets’ remaining road games:

2/22: at Philadelphia
2/24: at Washington
3/1: at Detroit
3/4: at San Antonio
3/8: at Charlotte
3/11: at Cleveland
3/13: at Chicago
3/18: at Boston
3/20: at Indiana
3/22: at Indiana
3/29: at Washington
3/31: at Dallas
4/11: at Minnesota

CHARLOTTE is 27-11 Under the total (71.1%) when playing on one day rest or the second of back-to-back games this season

A more rested Charlotte team is playing games that produce around 8.0 more PPG than when playing on shorter rest. That is quite a significant margin and provides plenty of reason why this Under trend in short rest spots should continue the rest of the way in these games:

2/20: at Denver
2/22: at Portland
2/24: at Sacramento
2/25: at Golden State
2/27: at Dallas
3/1: vs. Washington
3/3: vs. Golden State
3/5: vs. Minnesota
3/7: vs. Cleveland
3/8: vs. Brooklyn
3/10: at Miami
3/12: at Atlanta
3/14: at San Antonio
3/20: vs. New York
3/21: at Oklahoma City
3/23: at Miami
3/25: vs. Orlando
3/30: at New Orleans
3/31: vs. Utah
4/2: at Indiana
4/4: vs. Sacramento
4/6: vs. Chicago
4/8: vs. Memphis
4/9: at Toronto
4/11: at Boston
4/13: at Boston

CHICAGO has struggled mightily in the back end of back-to-back games, going 2-8 SU and ATS (20%)

The Bulls have been a massive disappointment this season. It doesn’t figure to get any better the rest of the way as it appears they have opted to tank … er, “play for the future.” One of the worst spots for them has been in the second of back-to-back games. I would expect them to continue to flounder in the latter part of the season in these such games:

3/13: vs. Brooklyn
3/20: at Sacramento
4/1: vs. Toronto
4/9: vs. Miami

CLEVELAND has been an exceptional wager for bettors in nearly every situation, going 35-19 ATS (64.8%) overall

This Cleveland team has not commanded the respect that several overrated Eastern Conference teams like Indiana, Miami, Milwaukee and Philadelphia have. As a result, the Cavs have been able to fly somewhat under the radar when it comes to point spread success. Here are their remaining games:

2/20: at Brooklyn
2/21: vs. New York
2/23: vs. Memphis
2/25: at Orlando
2/28: at Boston
3/2: vs. Portland
3/4: at Chicago
3/5: vs. Miami
3/7: at Charlotte
3/9: at Milwaukee
3/11: vs. Brooklyn
3/14: at Memphis
3/16: vs. Orlando
3/18: at LA Clippers
3/19: at Sacramento
3/21: at Phoenix
3/23: at Utah
3/25: at Portland
3/27: vs. San Antonio
3/28: at Detroit
3/30: vs. LA Clippers
4/2: vs. New York
4/4: at San Antonio
4/6: vs. Sacramento
4/8: vs. Chicago
4/10: at Indiana
4/11: at New York
4/13: vs. Indiana

DALLAS boasts a 9-1 Over the total record when playing in the second of back-to-back games.

The Mavericks’ games this season have produced 229.2 PPG on average. However, when playing the second of back-to-back games, that average balloons to 241.6 PPG, including 122.9 PPG on offense. That latter mark is over an 8.0 PPG improvement. It’s odd because you would think the team would be more fatigued in this spot. Keep an eye on these games going forward:

3/10: at San Antonio
3/25: at New York
4/5: at LA Clippers

DENVER has gone 16-5 Over the total (76.2%) versus Eastern Conference opponents this season.

Overall, the Nuggets are 13 games above .500 when it comes to Overs on totals. Much of that stems from this trend in non-conference action. It doesn’t seem random either, as these games have produced a staggering 245.3 PPG. Here are the remaining games to consider:

2/20: vs. Charlotte
2/24: at Indiana
2/27: at Milwaukee
2/28: at Detroit
3/2: at Boston
3/15: vs. Washington
3/24: vs. Chicago
3/26: vs. Milwaukee
4/6: vs. Indiana

GOLDEN STATE is 1-10 SU and ATS (9.1%) versus divisional foes this season

This is an absolutely brutal trend for a franchise that considers itself a contender, not only in the Pacific Division but for the Western Conference title. Obviously, that isn’t happening if this angle doesn’t do a 180-degree turn. It’s not a fluke either that the Warriors are being outscored by 9.7 PPG in these games. There are the Warriors’ remaining divisional games:

2/21: at Sacramento
3/13: vs. Sacramento
4/3: at LA Lakers
4/8: at Phoenix
4/13: vs. LA Clippers

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS boast a 19-10 SU and 20-9 ATS (69%) record at home. 

The Clippers have opened their shiny new facility with a strong run in 2024-25. Perhaps it’s a honeymoon period or perhaps the optics of the massive backdrop behind one of the baskets is wreaking havoc for opponents. Either way, Los Angeles is taking full advantage of its new digs. Here are the remaining home games:

3/5: vs. Detroit
3/7: vs. New York
3/9: vs. Sacramento
3/16: vs. Washington
3/18: vs. Cleveland
3/21: vs. Memphis
3/23: vs. Oklahoma City
4/2: vs. New Orleans
4/4: vs. Dallas
4/5: vs. Dallas
4/8: vs. San Antonio
4/9: vs. Houston

LOS ANGELES LAKERS own a 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS (83.3%) mark versus their Pacific Division rivals.

This trend alone is the most significant reason the Lakers went into the All-Star break with a two-game division lead. It won’t be easy to hold off what looks to be a healthy Clippers team, but if this divisional success holds up, I certainly wouldn’t bet against it. These are the Lakers’ remaining divisional games:

2/28: vs. LA Clippers
3/2: vs. LA Clippers
3/16: vs. Phoenix
4/3: vs. Golden State

MEMPHIS boasts a 16-4 SU and ATS record versus Eastern Conference opponents this season and is also 17-3 Over the total in such spots

Eastern Conference teams have been no match for the Grizzlies this season as Memphis is outscoring those foes by a 127.5-116.3 margin on average in 20 games. That is as decisive of a trend as it gets in the NBA. Here are the remaining games:

2/20: at Indiana
2/21: at Orlando
2/23: at Cleveland
2/28: vs. New York
3/3: vs. Atlanta
3/5: vs. Oklahoma City
3/14: vs. Cleveland
3/15: vs. Miami
3/31: vs. Boston
4/3: at Miami
4/5: at Detroit
4/8: at Charlotte

MIAMI is 14-16 SU and 11-19 ATS (36.7%) versus Eastern Conference teams

The Heat have been one of the bigger underachievers this season and from the sounds of it, things have been a mess internally as well. Certainly, those things could be related. Miami, tied for eighth in the East, will have to improve this trend if it expects to be a playoff factor. Here are the 22 remaining conference games:

2/21: at Toronto
2/23: at Milwaukee
2/24: at Atlanta
2/26: vs. Atlanta
2/28: vs. Indiana
3/2: vs. New York
3/3: vs. Washington
3/5: at Cleveland
3/8: vs. Chicago
3/10: vs. Charlotte
3/14: vs. Boston
3/17: at New York
3/19: vs. Detroit
3/23: vs. Charlotte
3/27: vs. Atlanta
3/29: at Philadelphia
3/31: at Washington
4/2: at Boston
4/5: vs. Milwaukee
4/7: vs. Philadelphia
4/9: at Chicago
4/13: vs. Washington

MINNESOTA is 16-13 SU but 9-19-1 ATS (32.1%) at home this season

In my NBA true home/road performance article, it was found that the Timberwolves’ true home-court advantage over the last 2 1/2 seasons has been 1.4 points, which is nearly a point less than the average NBA team. They are winning more often than not, but oddsmakers are giving them too much credit when they host games. The result has been a 9-19-1 ATS mark thus far. These are the rest of the games this season in which bettors will be able to take advantage:

2/23: vs. Oklahoma City
3/4: vs. Philadelphia
3/9: vs. San Antonio
3/14: vs. Orlando
3/16: vs. Utah
3/17: vs. Indiana
3/19: vs. New Orleans
3/21: vs. New Orleans
3/28: vs. Phoenix
3/30: vs. Detroit
4/11: vs. Brooklyn
4/13: vs. Utah

NEW ORLEANS has gone just 4-23 SU and 8-19 ATS on the road

At the start of the season, it could have been argued that the Pelicans had one of the most coveted young rosters in the NBA. They have been absolutely ravaged by injuries and now after some key trades, the future doesn’t look nearly as bright. With a 13-42 overall record, perhaps it was time for change. These are the remaining road games:

2/21: at Dallas
2/27: at Phoenix
2/28: at Phoenix
3/2: at Utah
3/4: at LA Lakers
3/8: at Houston
3/15: at San Antonio
3/19: at Minnesota
3/21: at Minnesota
3/23: at Detroit
4/2: at LA Clippers
4/4: at LA Lakers
4/8: at Brooklyn
4/9: at Milwaukee

NEW YORK went into the All-Star break on a 9-0 Over the total surge

The Knicks’ nine most recent games before the All-Star break were explosive beyond belief. The games produced an average of 248.8 PPG. The lowest output in that span was 234 points. These are not your mid-’90s Knicks who played to scores in the high 80s. Until oddsmakers fully adjust, ride these totals. Here are the Knicks’ next five games:

2/20: vs. Chicago
2/21: at Cleveland
2/23: at Boston
2/26: vs. Philadelphia
2/28: at Memphis

OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-5 SU and 20-8-3 ATS (71.4%) in the standard one full day rest scenario 

With one day rest being the NBA’s most common game-to-game scheduling scenario, typically the team that performs best in that spot is among the league’s top teams. Case in point the Thunder this season. They have thrived in the routine of NBA play and it gives great hope for an upcoming playoff run. Consider backing the Thunder in these remaining outings: 

2/23: at Minnesota
2/26: at Brooklyn
2/28: at Atlanta
3/2: at San Antonio
3/5: at Memphis
3/7: vs. Portland
3/9: vs. Denver
3/12: at Boston
3/21: vs. Charlotte
3/23: at LA Clippers
3/25: at Sacramento
3/27: vs. Memphis
3/29: vs. Indiana
3/31: vs. Chicago
4/2: vs. Detroit
4/4: at Houston
4/6: vs. LA Lakers
4/8: vs. LA Lakers
4/11: at Utah
4/13: at New Orleans

ORLANDO is just 6-13 SU and ATS as well as 14-5 Under the total versus Western Conference opponents this season

Orlando is another team that has dealt with lingering key injuries all season long and while the Magic are 27-29 and in the seventh seed of the East playoff picture, they could easily jump up in the ranks if they can start playing better against the West. Orlando has scored just 100.6 PPG in this situation this season. Here are the remaining games versus the West: 

2/21: vs. Memphis
2/27: vs. Golden State
3/10: at Houston
3/14: at Minnesota
3/17: at San Antonio
3/19: vs. Houston
3/24: vs. LA Lakers
3/27: vs. Dallas
3/29: vs. Sacramento
3/31: vs. LA Clippers
4/6: at New Orleans

PHILADELPHIA went into the All-Star break on losing streaks of five games outright and six games ATS

The 76ers’ season, and perhaps the franchise’s future has been an absolute mess this season. To say they have been afflicted with injuries and other player availability problems would be a massive understatement. Fortunately, Philly fans can revel in the fact that their team recently won a Super Bowl. Here are the next five games out of the break: 

2/20: vs. Boston
2/22: vs. Brooklyn
2/24: vs. Chicago
2/26: at New York
3/1: vs. Golden State

PHOENIX is just 9-11 SU and 4-15-1 ATS (21.1%) versus Eastern Conference opponents this season

Phoenix is another team that has generally underachieved this season. The Suns have talent but are clearly not all on the same page. They have struggled in a variety of scheduling spots this season, at home and one day rest among them, but the SU and ATS marks versus the East need to improve if this team wants in on the postseason. Here are the remaining games versus the East: 

2/22: at Chicago
2/23: at Toronto
3/17: vs. Toronto
3/19: vs. Chicago
3/21: vs. Cleveland
3/24: vs. Milwaukee
3/26: vs. Boston
4/1: at Milwaukee
4/4: at Boston
4/6: at New York

PORTLAND is 5-4 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back games this season

If Portland were to play all back ends of consecutive games, they would be in the playoff hunt in the West. Instead, the Trail Blazers trail the 10th spot by five games. They are also 7-2 Under the total on this angle, and, yes, they have been a good defensive team in the spot, yielding just 104.7 PPG, more than 10 points below the season average. Consider backing Portland in these games:

3/3: at Philadelphia
3/10: at Golden State
3/19: vs. Memphis
4/4: at Chicago

SACRAMENTO is 19-18 SU but just 12-23-2 ATS (34.3%) versus conference opponents this season 

A team that is over .500 outright but 13 games under .500 against the spread would have to be best considered overrated by those setting the numbers. Sacramento is having a ton of trouble living up to the expectations of oddsmakers yet is still in the hunt to make things happen this season. The Kings’ worst spot, at least for bettors, has been against the rest of the West. They’ll have to improve in that area if they want to make a postseason surge. Here are their remaining games versus the West:

2/21: vs. Golden State
2/26: at Utah
3/1: at Houston
3/3: at Dallas
3/5: at Denver
3/7: vs. San Antonio
3/9: at LA Clippers
3/13: at Golden State
3/14: at Phoenix
3/17: vs. Memphis
3/25: vs. Oklahoma City
3/27: vs. Portland
4/9: vs. Denver
4/11: vs. LA Clippers
4/13: vs. Phoenix

SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS, as well as 8-2 Over the total, when playing on longer than one day rest

A rested San Antonio team has been a very good team this season, particularly offensively. Considering that the Spurs are six games under .500 overall, look how far down they would be had all their games been played in short-rest scenarios. Unfortunately, the rest of the season is jam-packed into less than two months, and these will be the only games we can take advantage of these trends the rest of the way:

2/20: vs. Phoenix
3/1: at Memphis
3/7: at Sacramento
4/2: at Denver

TORONTO is 13-19 SU but  21-11 ATS (65.6%) in the standard one full day rest scenario

I mentioned it earlier with OKC, but one day rest is the most common game-to-game scheduling scenario in the NBA. Toronto hasn’t been as proficient at winning games in that scenario as the Thunder, but the Raptors have proved to be a lot better than usual when playing in a routine. Bettors have been handsomely rewarded with this team in the one day rest spot. Consider backing them in these remaining outings:

2/23: vs. Phoenix
2/25: vs. Boston
2/28: at Chicago
3/2: at Orlando
3/4: at Orlando
3/10: vs. Washington
3/12: vs. Philadelphia
3/14: at Utah
3/16: at Portland
3/19: at Golden State
3/26: at Brooklyn
3/28: vs. Charlotte
3/30: at Philadelphia
4/1: at Chicago
4/3: vs. Portland
4/6: at Brooklyn
4/11: at Dallas
4/13: at San Antonio

UTAH is 19-10 OVER the total (65.5%) in road games this season

Utah’s road games this season have produced 234.1 PPG, a lofty figure even by today’s ridiculous standards. The Jazz have been a reliable Over team nearly all season long and went into the All-Star break on a six-game Over streak, a stretch in which they allowed 127.3 PPG. Don’t expect a renewed defensive effort with the team 14.5 games out of the last playoff spot. Here are their remaining road games:

3/5: at Washington
3/7: at Toronto
3/9: at Philadelphia
3/10: at Boston
3/12: at Memphis
3/16: at Minnesota
3/28: at Denver
3/31: at Charlotte
4/2: at Houston
4/4: at Indiana
4/6: at Atlanta
4/13: at Minnesota

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