The Week 9 Monday Night Football game features the Dallas Cowboys hosting the Arizona Cardinals at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. We’ll be diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 9 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.
MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!
How To Watch Cardinals vs. Cowboys
When: Monday, November 3 at 8:15 pm ET
Where: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas
Channel: ABC / ESPN
Cardinals vs. Cowboys Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Sunday, November 2. Look around for the best prices!
Moneyline: Cowboys -180, Cardinals +150
Spread: Cowboys -3.5 (-105), Cardinals +3.5 (-115)
Total: Over 53.5 (-110), Under 53.5 (-110)
Cardinals vs. Cowboys Analysis
This has the potential to be one of the most lopsided games of the year when looking at tickets and handle. The Cowboys, one of the biggest brands in sports, are hosting a 2-5 Cardinals team that is currently without starting quarterback Kyler Murray. Our VSiN betting splits pages show that the public is loading up on America’s team, with nearly 90% of the bets and handle at DraftKings Sportsbook coming in on Dallas. The Circa Sports splits reveal a similar ticket count with the Cowboys, but there’s a little more handle with the Cardinals — though it’s still right around 20%.
It’s dangerous to back this trendy of a favorite in a primetime game, and that’s especially true with a unit as bad as the Dallas defense. It’s also true with Arizona coming off a bye week. That’s why I’m grabbing the 3.5 with the road team.
The Cardinals aren’t in bad shape with Jacoby Brissett at quarterback. He’s one of the better backups in the league, and he’s averaging just about 300 passing yards per game with a total of four touchdowns and only one pick over the last two contests. There’s just no reason he can’t turn in another good performance against a Cowboys team that is last in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (0.178) thanks to a league-worst passing defense (0.256 Dropback EPA per play allowed). Brissett has some weapons at his disposal in Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trey McBride, and he has had two weeks to look at how he wants to attack this disaster of a Dallas secondary.
Arizona is also a much better defensive team than Dallas. That might not be saying much, but the Cardinals are 20th in the NFL in EPA per play allowed (0.037), and the extra time to rest and prepare will only make the gap between the two units larger. Of course, the Cowboys have been one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league this year. But this is a game in which both offenses will have plenty of success, and the difference could be an extra stop or two. Well, Jonathan Gannon’s defense feels a little more likely to get that stop.
This is also a game with some betting systems that favor the road team. Since 2016, road teams that commit 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game and are coming off back-to-back games of forcing one or fewer turnovers are 100-65 straight-up when facing defenses that force 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game. Also, since 1983, road teams in games with lines of +3 to -3 are 36-7 against the spread in the second half of the season when coming off a cover in a game they lost.
Cardinals vs. Cowboys Player Props
Marvin Harrison Jr. Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Harrison had two catches for 58 yards against the Packers last game, and he left some yards on the table. The talented second-year wideout was targeted six times in that game, and he should be able to produce a little more if he’s a bit more efficient this week. Well, against this defense, it’s hard to imagine Harrison not being a bit better in every aspect of the game. Our OptaAI player prop projections have Harrison going for 60.54 receiving yards in this one, and our WR-CB Matchup Tool has his matchup with Trikweze Bridges as one of the week’s biggest mismatches (+0.72 Matchup, 1.43 Advantage). This should be a big night.
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Cardinals vs. Cowboys Pick
This really feels like the perfect time to back Arizona. The Murray situation is a little awkward, but these players are all going to rally around Brissett. He’s feeding all of the mouths in this offense, and he’s going to make sure all of the pass-catchers are happy against this miserable defense. That said, I’m playing Arizona to cover the 3.5. I’m also taking some moneyline, plus I’m putting my money where my mouth is with Harrison.
Bet: Cardinals +3.5 (-115 – 1.5 units) & Cardinals ML (+150 – 0.5 units) & Harrison Jr. Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
