It’s time for Week 7 of the 2026 NFL season. I strongly suggest you check out the Week 7 NFL Betting Hub, where you’ll find all of the features and picks from my talented co-workers. On top of that, we never stop pumping out good NFL content on our live shows. That’s the beauty of being a subscriber. As a company, we’re relentless in our effort to get you prepared for these games. With that out of the way, let’s get into the fun stuff. Keep reading for my Week 7 NFL best bets and Week 7 NFL player props.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for NFL best bets from all of our analysts
New York Giants at Houston Texans – 1:00 pm ET
JJ McCarthy will get the start for New York after having shown some major signs of life in the second half of last week’s loss to New Orleans. However, that’s a Saints defense that ranks 23rd in the NFL in Dropback EPA/Play Allowed (-0.003), and New Orleans wasn’t giving that game everything after having opened up a 24-point lead. McCarthy will be up against an entirely different beast as he takes on a good Houston defense — and does so on the road. Considering how much the Giants are struggling to run the ball, this just feels like one in which the Texans defense could completely dominate.
I also like the way CJ Stroud and the Houston passing game looks. Stroud currently has the fifth-highest Pro Football Focus grade (85.7) in the league, and New York’s passing defense isn’t exactly reliable.
It’s also hard not to expect an awesome effort from the Texans. Under DeMeco Ryans, Houston is 5-0 both straight-up and against the spread after playing back-to-back division games, and the team is also 9-1 SU and 7-2-1 ATS after allowing 30 or more points in it previous game.
Bet: Texans -9.5 (-122)
Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans – 1:00 pm ET
I’m a little nervous about how much I like this one. I fully understand that things are never as easy as they look, and this could be a game in which Cleveland is a very popular side. However, I have such a big gap between these teams that I have to aggressively play it.
The Browns aren’t a good team offensively, but their -0.077 EPA/Play is better than the Titans’ -0.133. Then, the major difference between the two is on the defensive side of the ball. Cleveland is just outside the Top 10 in EPA/Play Allowed (-0.030), while Tennessee is ranked 23rd with an EPA/Play Allowed of 0.026.
Cleveland is just playing better on both sides of the ball, the team has a more experienced quarterback, and the group has far more to play for as it currently sits in a three-way tie atop the AFC North standings.
I’ll also add that the Titans had a strange situation unfold with Jordan Elliott this week, and that could serve as a distraction. And I’m not sure Robert Saleh knows how to deal with distractions, as he’s bad enough without them. In his coaching career, his teams are 5-13 as home underdogs of 7 or fewer points. That includes an 0-3 mark this season.
Bet: Browns ML (-120 – 2 units)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers – 1:00 pm ET
I didn’t hit my Bucky Irving prop last week, but I’m going back to him with another here. While I liked Irving to find the end zone last week — and also think he’ll do so this week — I’m taking him to have at least 60 rushing yards. Irving has had at least 60 rushing yards in three of the last five games, with two of the performances seeing him easily clear that mark. Irving now has a golden matchup with the Panthers.
Carolina is currently last in the NFL in yards per carry allowed to opposing running backs, last in stuff rate against opposing running backs, and 30th in rushing touchdowns allowed to running backs. There’s just not much preventing Irving from finding some gaps here. Also, if we do see Baker Mayfield return, that’ll be even better. If the Panthers can’t load up the box, that’ll make it easier on Irving to go off.
Bet: Irving Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-122 – 1.5 units) & Anytime TD (+110 – 0.5 units)
Additional Week 7 Best Bets
Patriots +3 (-105 – 1.5 units), Patriots ML (+138 – 0.5 units), Drake Maye Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-115) – Check out my Thursday Night Football Preview!
PARLAY: Vikings ML vs. Colts & Packers Alt +8.5 vs. Lions (-103 – 1.5 units)
Week 6 Picks
Broncos ML (+130 – 1.5 units) vs. Seahawks
Waddle Over 46.5 Receiving Yards (-115) vs. Seahawks
Jaguars -2.5 (+100) vs. Texans
Falcons ML (+140) vs. Bears
Winston Over 2.5 Passing TDs (+116) vs. Saints
Tate Over 20.5 Longest Receptions (-112) vs. Colts
Irving Anytime TD (+220 – 0.5 units) vs. Steelers
PARLAY: Browns Alt +10.5 vs. Ravens & Patriots ML vs. Jets (-127) – 1.5 units
Panthers ML (-115 – 1.5 units) vs. Eagles
Lloyd Over 40.5 Rushing Yards (-112) vs. Cowboys
Lloyd Anytime TD (+194 – 0.5 units) vs. Cowboys
Commanders-49ers Over 51.5 (-109)
2026 NFL Record: 34-34 (+6.54 units)
