NFL best bets for Week 8 from Wes Reynolds

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Best bets for Week 8 of the NFL season

Wes Reynolds is on VSiN Tonight (9 p.m.-12 a.m. ET / 6-9 p.m. PT) and will be posting his weekly college football and NFL best bets for us. He is also one of the hosts of our Long Shots golf betting podcast. He also writes weekly golf previews.

 

Top NFL Resources:

NFL Odds | NFL Betting Splits | NFL Power Ratings | Week 2 NFL Hub

(odds as of October 27, 11:30 p.m. PT)

 

Eagles (-7; 43.5) at Commanders

Philadelphia held the league’s No. 1 offense to just 244 yards in a 31-17 victory over Miami. On the other side, Washington was held to only 7 points and 273 yards by a then 1-5 Giants club. On paper, these disparate results make this game look like a mismatch. However, this is a week-to-week league, and oftentimes, you have to short-term sell good teams and short-term buy mediocre to bad teams, which looks to be the case here.

In Week 4, Washington lost at Philadelphia, 34-31, as +8.5 underdogs. The Commanders scored with 0:02 left, but "Riverboat Ron" Rivera became "Paddleboat Ron" and did not elect to go for 2 at the end of regulation. Instead, he elected to go into overtime. Washington won the toss, went three and out, and then allowed the Eagles to drive down for the winning field goal.

The Eagles have Dallas on deck, then a bye week, and then a trip to Kansas City for a Super Bowl LVII rematch, with big games vs. Buffalo and an NFC Championship Game rematch vs. San Francisco to complete the month of November. Although this week is a road divisional game, this feels like a flat spot for an Eagles team at the top of the betting market against a Commanders club that has lost four of its last five and is in the crossroads game of its season.

Bet: Commanders +7

Vikings (-1.5; 41.5) at Packers

Minnesota is off its biggest victory of the season, having just defeated San Francisco on Monday Night Football. Meanwhile, Green Bay lost its fourth game of its last five at 1-win Denver, 19-17. Three of the Packers’ four losses have been by four points or less.

In those three losses by a combined seven points, Green Bay led in the fourth quarter at one point in all three games.

The Packers have not had much good news this season but got some on Friday as all members of the 53-man active roster practiced in some form this week, including RB Aaron Jones, who is now in his second game back from a hamstring injury, CB Jaire Alexander, who missed last week at Denver and is the team’s best cover-corner to go against the NFL’s touchdown pass leader Kirk Cousins, TE Luke Musgrave, LB De’Vondre Campbell, DT Devonte Wyatt, OLB Preston Smith, C Josh Myers, and G Elgton Jenkins.

This looks like a good time to sell Minnesota here.

Bet: Packers +1.5 (Play to PK)

 

TEASER OF THE WEEK

Chargers -2.5/Titans +8.5

 

TOTAL OF THE WEEK

Texans/Panthers OV 43.5