After digging through the VSiN NFL Analytics Report Over the last few weeks, I started to realize that the systems data remained strong, but the trend sections of the report were getting smaller, stale, and probably less effective than I would want them to be. I only saw certain NFL team betting trends coming up repeatedly. Knowing that my database can produce much better, and that the matchups pages on the VSiN website offer greater depth, I set out to improve that area of the report this week. Thus, Over the next few days I will be building up the trend analysis we will be following going forward. 

I will do this in a series of three articles: first, NFL team betting trends, then head coach trends, and finally, quarterback trends. By the end of the series, we will have a huge expansion on what you can see and use from here on out each NFL week. 

 

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Right now, the additional trends are simply in team order. For the Analytics Report each week, we will of course be fitting the trends to that week’s games, pointing out each and every time they will apply. I have handpicked all of these angles myself, focusing on only the most dramatic and defining NFL team betting trends that I believe have some foundational value to them. You will see that all of the league’s 32 teams are represented, and many have shown multiple definitive tendencies lately. Enjoy the most up-to-date NFL team betting trends. 

* ARIZONA is 38-18 SU and 35-21 ATS vs. poor teams with winning percentages <=33% since 2012 

* ATLANTA is 55-45 SU but 36-64 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2012
* ATLANTA is on 9-14 SU and 5-18 ATS skid on normal rest (7 days)
* ATLANTA is 19-5 Under the total on short rest (<7 days) since 2012

* BALTIMORE is 13-11 SU and 18-5 ATS vs. elite teams with winning percentages >=66.7% since 2020
* BALTIMORE is 13-14 SU but 21-6 ATS as an underdog since 2018
* BALTIMORE is 24-13 SU but 12-24 ATS as a divisional home favorite since 2010 

* BUFFALO is 18-6 SU and 19-5 ATS vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG since 2018

* CAROLINA is 5-17 SU and 4-18 ATS vs. poor teams with winning percentages <=33% since 2017
* CAROLINA is on 1-12 SU and ATS slide vs. elite teams with PPG differentials >=+4.5 

* CHICAGO is 21-11 SU and 21-10 ATS vs. poor defenses, allowing >=27 PPG since 2015
* CHICAGO is 8-19 SU and 7-20 ATS versus divisional opponents since 2019
* CHICAGO is 17-3 Under the total when coming off an upset win since 2017

* CINCINNATI is on an incredible 15-1 SU and ATS run as a road favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2015
* CINCINNATI is 13-21 SU but 26-9 ATS surge when coming off an outright road loss since 2016
* CINCINNATI is 53-62 SU but 70-42 ATS on the road dating back to 2011 2011
* CINCINNATI is 69-56 SU and 76-49 ATS when playing on normal rest (7 days) since 2012

* CLEVELAND is 5-19 SU and 4-20 ATS when coming off a game having allowed <=14 points since 2014
* CLEVELAND is 14-2 Under the total as a dome dog of +3 to +7 points since 2016

* DALLAS is 17-1 SU and 15-3 ATS as a divisional home favorite since 2017
* DALLAS is 23-7 SU and 21-9 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2020
* DALLAS is 17-18 SU and 10-24 ATS when playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2010 

* DENVER is 12-13 SU but 20-5 ATS bouncing back after a game having scored 14 points or less since 2019
* DENVER is 17-2 Under the total when coming off a double-digit victory since 2017 

* DETROIT is 12-4 SU and 14-2 ATS when coming off a double-digit win since 2018
* DETROIT is 13-6 SU and 17-3 ATS when playing with extra rest (>7 days) since 2019
* DETROIT is on 15-9 SU and 19-5 ATS run vs. teams with a winning record
* DETROIT is 11-0 Over the total when playing as a favorite of less than 3-points since 2017 

* GREEN BAY is 88-19 SU and 67-38 ATS as a home favorite since 2009
* GREEN BAY is 23-9 Over the total as a road favorite since 2015

* HOUSTON is on 16-52 SU and 24-43 ATS slide vs. elite teams with a point differential of >=+4.5 PPG since 2010 

* INDIANAPOLIS is on an impressive run of 14-2 SU and ATS as a favorite of less than 3 points
* INDIANAPOLIS is 16-14 SU and 23-7 ATS vs. elite teams with point differentials of >=+4.5 PPG since 2015
* INDIANAPOLIS is 27-15 SU and 30-10 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss since 2011
* INDIANAPOLIS is 24-20 SU and 32-11 ATS vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG since 2010

* JACKSONVILLE is 8-46 SU and 12-41 ATS versus NFC foes since 2011
* JACKSONVILLE is on a horrific 4-36 SU and 8-32 ATS skid vs. teams with better records since 2011
* JACKSONVILLE is on a 14-1 Under the total surge when coming off a loss to NFC foe 

* KANSAS CITY is 15-3 SU and 17-1 ATS in its last 18 games as a road underdog
* KANSAS CITY is 27-7 SU and 24-10 ATS when riding a three-game or more ATS winning streak since 2014
* KANSAS CITY is 18-10 SU but 6-20 ATS when coming off a game of scoring 30+ points since 2020
* KANSAS CITY is 70-37 Under the total as a home favorite since 2010 

* LA CHARGERS are 60-27 Under the total when coming off an outright win since 2013
* LA CHARGERS are on 21-6 Under the total surge in Sunday games
* LA CHARGERS are 12-1 Under the total as a divisional home favorite  since 2018
* LA CHARGERS are on 12-0 Under the total streak when playing on normal rest (7 days)

* LA RAMS are 13-5 SU and 14-3 ATS when playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2018
* LA RAMS are on 17-7 SU and 19-5 ATS December run since 2018

* LAS VEGAS is 6-4 SU and 10-0 ATS when coming off a game allowing <=14 points since 2020
* LAS VEGAS is 9-16 SU and 6-19 ATS vs. poor teams with point differentials of <=-4.5 PPG since 2018
* LAS VEGAS has struggled to an 8-13 SU and 4-16 ATS mark as a road favorite since 2012
* LAS VEGAS is 27-8 Over the total vs. elite defenses, allowing <19 PPG since 2013
* LAS VEGAS is 20-5 Under the total as a divisional road underdog since 2015

* MIAMI is on 28-16 SU and 28-15 ATS surge vs. teams with a losing record since 2019 

* MINNESOTA is 27-17 SU and 29-13 ATS versus AFC opponents since 2014
* MINNESOTA boasts an impressive 75-55 SU and 84-46 ATS record when playing on normal rest (7 days) since 2011
* MINNESOTA is 4-22 SU and 8-19 ATS as a divisional road underdog since 2010
* MINNESOTA is 17-11 SU but only 7-21 ATS in its last 28 games as a home favorite

* NEW ENGLAND is 28-6 SU and 26-8 ATS when riding a three-game or more outright winning streak since 2016 

* NEW ORLEANS is 22-10 SU and 21-11 ATS when riding a three-game or more ATS winning streak since ‘11
* NEW ORLEANS is on 14-1 Under the total run when playing with extra rest (>7 days) 

* NY GIANTS are 11-7 SU and 14-3 ATS when coming off an upset loss since 2012
* NY GIANTS are 15-24 SU but 24-13 ATS when playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2011
* NY GIANTS are 22-3 Under the total as home underdogs since 2020
* NY GIANTS are 12-0 Under the total when coming off a win over an AFC foe since 2016 

* NY JETS own ugly 11-44 SU and 17-36 ATS records as road underdogs since 2016
* NY JETS are 7-25 SU and 9-21 ATS when playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2012
* NY JETS are on 7-20 SU and 5-21 ATS skid when coming off an upset loss since 2011

* PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 SU and 14-3 ATS vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG since 2020
* PHILADELPHIA is 13-19 SU and 7-23 ATS when coming off a divisional loss since 2012
* PHILADELPHIA is 17-4 Over the total when coming off a home win since 2021
* PHILADELPHIA is 18-3 Under the total in January games since 2011

* PITTSBURGH is 23-5 SU and 22-6 ATS, coming off a game allowing 30+ points since 2013
* PITTSBURGH is 17-7 SU and 18-6 ATS vs. teams with better records since 2013
* PITTSBURGH is 29-16 SU but 12-31 ATS vs. poor offenses scoring <19 PPG since 2011
* PITTSBURGH is 34-11 Under the total vs. poor teams with point differentials <=-4.5 PPG since 2013
* PITTSBURGH is 30-7 Under the total as a road favorite since 2014
* PITTSBURGH is 18-4 Under the total as a double-digit favorite since 2011

* SAN FRANCISCO is on 13-1 Over the total surge as a home favorite of -3 to -7 points 

* SEATTLE is 19-6 Over the total vs. teams with a better record since 2011
* SEATTLE is 19-3 Under the total as a road favorite vs. non-divisional NFC foes since 2013 

* TAMPA BAY is on 24-8 Over the total surge as a single-digit road underdog 

* TENNESSEE is 20-10 SU and 20-9 ATS when coming off a home loss since 2015
* TENNESSEE is on 5-20 SU and 6-19 ATS skid in Sunday games
* TENNESSEE is 10-0 Under the total when coming off an upset win since 2022

* WASHINGTON is 12-11 SU and 17-5 ATS when coming off an upset win since 2018
* WASHINGTON is 26-9 Over the total when playing on short rest (<7 days) since 2011

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