Week 2 NFL Betting Trends:
The following NFL betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NFL games of Week 2. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s NFL board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top NFL betting trends and systems for this week’s NFL games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
* Week 2 teams who are 0-1 and are now road underdogs in the +1 to +6.5 line range have gone 16-17 SU but 26-6 ATS (81.3%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): WASHINGTON (+4.5 at DAL), INDIANAPOLIS (+6.5 at KC)
* Underdogs are 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS in the Panthers-Falcons NFC South rivalry since the start of the 2020 season
Trend Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (+2.5 vs CAR)
* Since 2012, there have been 36 Thursday Night Football games with a total of 50 or greater and they went Under at a 24-12 rate (66.7%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): DET-BUF (o/u at 54.5)
* Teams that lost close games in Week 1 (5 points or less) are just 10-12 SU and 5-17 ATS (22.7%) when playing at home in a Week 2 game since 2019 (-13.6 units, ROI: -61.8%, Grade 68)
System Matches (FADE ALL): NEW ENGLAND (-5.5 vs PIT), HOUSTON (-3 vs CIN)
* Teams that scored 45 or more points in their prior game have gone 26-15 SU but 13-28 ATS (31.7%) when favored at home by 3 or more points since 2012.
System Match (FADE): CHICAGO (-4.5 vs MIN)
* Since 2021, veteran QBs in their first season with new teams (Geno Smith) have struggled horribly against non-conference opponents, going 17-33 SU and 14-36 ATS (28%).
System Match (FADE): NY JETS (+3.5 vs GB)
* LAS VEGAS is 23-6 Under the total as a divisional road underdog since 2015
* LA CHARGERS are on a 19-7 Under the total streak when playing on normal rest (7 days)
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): LVR-LAC (o/u at 43.5)
#1 UNDERPRICED FAVORITE according to the MAKINEN EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS: SEATTLE -3.5 at ARI (projections have line at SEA -8)
NFL Betting Systems Turn Week 1 Results Into Week 2 Profit
These systems take into account the NFL Week 1 results and use them to build actionable betting concepts for Week 2
NFL best Week 2 teams of late:
Tampa Bay – 9-0 SU and ATS streak!
Buffalo – seven straight outright wins (6-1 ATS)
Green Bay – 6-1-1 SU in the last eight, EIGHT straight ATS covers
Dallas and San Francisco – each 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS in the last eight
NFL worst Week 2 teams of late:
Minnesota – 1-7-1 SU and 2-6-1 ATS in the last nine
Carolina – 1-7 SU and 2-5-1 ATS skid currently
Jacksonville and Cincinnati – each on a 2-8 SU slide since 2016
Small road underdogs have been gold in Week 2 of the NFL of late, as those in the +1 to +6.5 range are 31-32 SU but 44-17 ATS since 2016. Even better are those same small road dogs coming off a loss in Week 1, as they are 16-17 SU but 26-6 ATS (81.3%) in that same span (+19.4 units, ROI: 60.6%, Grade 75)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): DETROIT (+4.5 at BUF), PITTSBURGH (+5.5 at NE), CINCINNATI (+3 at HOU), MINNESOTA (+4.5 at CHI), JACKSONVILLE (+2.5 at DEN), LAS VEGAS (+6.5 at LAC), WASHINGTON (+4.5 at DAL), INDIANAPOLIS (+6.5 at KC)
Teams playing a second straight home game in Week 2 and are favored have gone 15-10 SU but 6-19 ATS (24%) over the last 14 seasons (-14.9 units, ROI: -59.6%, Grade 70)
System Matches (FADE ALL): HOUSTON (-3 vs CIN), LA CHARGERS (-6.5 vs LVR), KANSAS CITY (-6.5 vs IND)
Week 2 teams that scored 30+ points last week and are now playing as favorites of 6 points or less or are underdogs are 21-40 SU and 23-38 ATS (37.7%) since 2012 (-18.8 units, ROI: -30.8%, Grade 66)
System Matches (FADE ALL): CAROLINA (-2.5 vs ATL), JACKSONVILLE (+2.5 at DEN), NEW ORLEANS (+8.5 at BAL)
*WATCH FOR KANSAS CITY vs IND (-6.5 CURRENTLY)*
Teams playing at home that won close games in Week 1 (7 points or less) have really struggled to maintain the momentum in Week 2, going 10-14 SU and 6-15-3 ATS (28.6%) since 2019. (-10.5 units, ROI: -50%, Grade 70)
System Match (FADE): BUFFALO (-4.5 vs DET)
Teams that won even closer games in Week 1 (3 points or less) are 44-23-1 Under (65.7%) the total in Week 2 since 2005 (+17.6 units, ROI: 26.3%, Grade 65)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DET-BUF (o/u at 54.5), PIT-NE (o/u at 41.5), SEA-ARI (o/u at 41.5)
Teams that lost close games in Week 1 (5 points or less) are just 10-12 SU and 5-17 ATS (22.7%) when playing at home in a Week 2 game since 2019 (-13.6 units, ROI: -61.8%, Grade 68)
System Matches (FADE ALL): NEW ENGLAND (-5.5 vs PIT), HOUSTON (-3 vs CIN)
Teams playing a second straight divisional game in Week 2 are an impressive 37-19-1 SU and ATS (66.1%) since 2003 when not facing a similar scheduled team (+16.1 units, ROI: 28.8%, Grade 65)
System Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (+4.5 at CHI)
Teams that beat their Week 1 point spread by 8 points or more in non-conference games are 22-12-3 Under (64.7%) the total in Week 2 since 2002 (+8.8 units, ROI: 25.9%, Grade 63)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): SEA-ARI (o/u at 41.5)
In Week 2 games between teams that are both 0-1 ATS, underdogs are on a phenomenal run of 22-25 SU but 30-15-2 ATS (66.7%) since 2014 (+14.4 units, ROI: 32%, Grade 63)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): ATLANTA (+2.5 vs CAR), CLEVELAND (+8.5 at TB), TENNESSEE (+7 vs PHI)
Teams playing as underdogs in their second of back-to-back divisional games are 15-19-1 SU but 22-12-1 ATS (64.7%) in Week 2 since 2004 (+8.8 units, ROI: 25.9%, Grade 63)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MINNESOTA (+4.5 at CHI), WASHINGTON (+4.5 at DAL)
Teams that lost by double-digits in Week 1 have responded by going 53-30-3 ATS (63.9%) in Week 2 over the last 14 seasons (+20 units, ROI: 24.1%, Grade 65)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): GREEN BAY (-3.5 at NYJ), CAROLINA (-2.5 at ATL), CLEVELAND (+8.5 at TB), TENNESSEE (+7 at PHI), LA CHARGERS (-6.5 vs LVR), DENVER (-2.5 vs JAX), MIAMI (+13.5 at SF), INDIANAPOLIS (+6.5 at KC), LA RAMS (-7 vs NYG)
Teams that lost by double-digits in Week 1 in a home or neutral game have responded favorably the next week by going 22-15 SU and 28-9 ATS (75.7%) since 2015. (+18.1 units, ROI: 48.9%, Grade 70)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CAROLINA (-2.5 at ATL), TENNESSEE (+7 vs PHI), LA CHARGERS (-6.5 vs LVR), INDIANAPOLIS (+6.5 at KC), LA RAMS (-7 vs NYG)
In Week 2 games between teams that are both 1-0 ATS, underdogs also rule at the betting window, 22-31 SU but 30-22-1 ATS (57.7%) since 2012 (+5.8 units, ROI: 11.5%, Grade 55)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MINNESOTA (+4.5 at CHI), NEW ORLEANS (+8.5 at BAL)
Teams that lost (or tied) as road/neutral favorites in Week 1 have bounced back with a record of 22-12 SU and ATS (64.7%) in Week 2 over the last 14 seasons (+8.8 units, ROI: 25.9%, Grade 60)
System Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-4.5 vs WAS)
Teams whose opponents played in the weeknight season opening games of Thursday and Friday and thus have extra rest are 17-27 SU but 26-17-1 ATS (60.5%) in Week 2 since 2005 (+7.3 units, ROI: 17%, Grade 56)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH (+5.5 at NE), ARIZONA (+3.5 vs SEA), MIAMI (+13.5 at SF), NY GIANTS (+7 at LAR)
Week 2 teams that went Under their Week 1 total by at least 17 points are 29-19 Over (60.4%) the total since 2008 (+9.1 units, ROI: 19%, Grade 56)
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): PIT-NE (o/u at 41.5), SEA-ARI (o/u at 41.5)
Teams that lost on the point spread by more than 14 points in Week 1 divisional games are 16-10 SU and 15-10-1 ATS (60%) in Week 2 since 2007 (+4 units, ROI: 16%, Grade 55)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): GREEN BAY (-3.5 at NYJ), DENVER (-2.5 vs JAX), LA RAMS (-7 vs NYG)
Great offensive performances have triggered solid Week 2 results as well, as teams that score 35 points or more in Week 1 are on a 21-7 SU and 20-8 ATS (71.4%) surge since 2017. (+11.2 units, ROI: 40%, Grade 65)System Matches (PLAY ALL): BUFFALO (-4.5 vs DET), BALTIMORE (-8.5 vs NO), CAROLINA (-2.5 at ATL)
Week 1 favorites of 6 points or more that lost their games have bounced back with a record of 20-6 SU and ATS (76.9%) in Week 2 since 2002 (+13.4 units, ROI: 51.5%, Grade 70)
System Match (PLAY): LA CHARGERS (-6.5 vs LVR)
Teams that recorded big Week 1 divisional wins by 7 points or more are 29-23 SU and 29-19-2 ATS (60.4%) since 2006 in Week 2 (+8.1 units, ROI: 16.9%, Grade 56)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MINNESOTA (+4.5 at CHI), SAN FRANCISCO (-13.5 vs MIA), KANSAS CITY (-6.5 vs IND), NY GIANTS (+7 at LAR)
Teams that win in high-scoring Week 1 games featuring more than 50 total points scored have gone Under the total at a 34-18 (65.4%) rate since 2015. (+14.2 units, ROI: 27.3%, Grade 64)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): DET-BUF (o/u at 54.5), MIN-CHI (o/u at 47.5), CIN-HOU (o/u at 46.5), NO-BAL (o/u at 46.5)
NFL Team/Coach/QB Specific Situational Trends
These are some of the top situational NFL betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:
(103) DETROIT (1-0) at (104) BUFFALO (1-0)
* DETROIT is on 22-15 SU and 24-12-1 ATS run vs. teams with a winning record
* DETROIT’s Jared Goff is 12-14 SU but 19-7 ATS as a single-digit underdog since 2021
Trends Match (PLAY): DETROIT (+4.5 at BUF)
* DETROIT’s Dan Campbell is 16-10 Under the total in games after allowing 30+ points since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): DET-BUF (o/u at 54.5)
(251) GREEN BAY (0-1) at (252) NY JETS (1-0)
* GREEN BAY’s Matt Lafleur is 25-18-1 SU but 16-28 ATS as a single-digit favorite since 2021
Trend Match (FADE): GREEN BAY (-3.5 at NYJ)
* NY JETS are 12-29 ATS (29.3%) when coming off a SU win since 2017
* NY JETS are 14-33 ATS (29.8%) vs. non-conference foes since 2015
* NY JETS’ Geno Smith is just 13-12 SU and 8-16-1 ATS in the last 25 starts vs. teams with lesser records
Trends Match (FADE): NY JETS (+3.5 vs GB)
* GREEN BAY is 30-12 Over the total as a road favorite since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): GB-NYJ (o/u at 44.5)
(253) MINNESOTA (1-0) at (254) CHICAGO (1-0)
* MINNESOTA boasts an impressive 86-62 SU and 92-55-1 ATS record when playing on normal rest (7 days) since 2011
* MINNESOTA is 5-24 SU and 9-21 ATS as a divisional road underdog since 2010
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of MINNESOTA (+4.5 at CHI)
* CHICAGO is 12-28 SU and 14-26 ATS versus divisional opponents since 2019
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO (-4.5 vs MIN)
* MINNESOTA’s Kevin O’Connell is 18-12 Over the total vs. teams with a winning record since 2022
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MIN-CHI (o/u at 47.5)
(255) PITTSBURGH (1-0) at (256) NEW ENGLAND (0-1)
* PITTSBURGH is 41-24-1 ATS (63.1%) as an underdog since 2018
* PITTSBURGH is 32-20 SU but 15-35 ATS vs. poor offenses scoring <19 PPG since 2011
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of PITTSBURGH (+5.5 at NE)
* PITTSBURGH is 111-79 Under the total (58.4%) since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): PIT-NE (o/u at 41.5)
(257) CAROLINA (0-1) at (258) ATLANTA (0-1)
* CAROLINA is 10-20 SU and 9-21 ATS vs. poor teams with winning percentages <=33% since 2017
* CAROLINA is 16-35 ATS (31.4%) as a favorite since 2016 (including twelve straight SU losses as a favorite)
Trends Match (FADE): CAROLINA (-2.5 at ATL)
* ATLANTA is 23-41 ATS (35.9%) at home since 2018
* ATLANTA is on a 13-26 SU and 11-28 ATS skid on normal rest (7 days)
Trends Match (FADE): ATLANTA (+2.5 vs CAR)
* ATLANTA’s Kevin Stefanski is 19-12 Under the total vs. teams with a losing record since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): CAR-ATL (o/u at 43.5)
(259) CLEVELAND (0-1) at (260) TAMPA BAY (0-1)
* TAMPA BAY is 31-42 ATS (42.5%) when coming off a SU loss since 2016
* TAMPA BAY is 39-58 ATS (40.2%) at home since 2014
* TAMPA BAY is 39-58 ATS (40.2%) as a favorite since 2014
Trends Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (-8.5 vs CLE)
(261) CINCINNATI (1-0) at (262) HOUSTON (0-1)
* CINCINNATI’s Joe Burrow is on 9-11 SU but 18-2 ATS run as an underdog of +3 to 7 points
* CINCINNATI’s Joe Burrow is 10-9 SU and 16-3 ATS in his last 19 starts vs. elite offenses scoring >=27 PPG
* CINCINNATI is 59-69 SU but 77-48 ATS on the road dating back to 2011
* CINCINNATI is 75-62 SU and 83-54 ATS when playing on normal rest (7 days) since 2012
* HOUSTON is on 20-59 SU and 29-49 ATS slide vs. elite teams with point differential of >=+4.5 PPG since 2010
Trends Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (+3 at HOU)
* CINCINNATI’s Joe Burrow is 13-9 UNDER the total versus non-divisional AFC foes since 2022
* HOUSTON’s DeMeco Ryans is on a 12-4 Under the total streak as a home favorite
* HOUSTON’s DeMeco Ryans is on a 21-7 Under the total surge vs. teams with a winning record
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): CIN-HOU (o/u at 46.5)
(263) NEW ORLEANS (0-1) at (264) BALTIMORE (1-0)
* NEW ORLEANS is 43-26 ATS (62.3%) in road/neutral games since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+8.5 at BAL)
* BALTIMORE’s Lamar Jackson is 33-12 SU and 28-16 ATS in a game following up scoring 30+ points since 2018
* BALTIMORE’s Lamar Jackson is on runs of 8-4 SU and 8-3 ATS vs. elite offenses scoring >=27 PPG
* BALTIMORE’s Lamar Jackson is 26-15 SU but 13-27 ATS as a single-digit home favorite since 2018
* BALTIMORE’s Lamar Jackson is 14-6 SU but 6-14 ATS in his last 20 games vs. poor teams with winning percentage <=33%
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 2 FADES of BALTIMORE (-8.5 vs NO)
(265) PHILADELPHIA (1-0) at (266) TENNESSEE (0-1)
* PHILADELPHIA’s Nick Sirianni is 15-5 SU but 6-13 ATS vs. poor teams being outscored by 4.5 PPG or more since 2022
Trend Match (FADE): PHILADELPHIA (-7 at TEN)
* TENNESSEE is 22-19 SU and 24-16 ATS when coming off a home loss since 2015
* TENNESSEE is on a 10-43 SU and 14-38-1 ATS skid in Sunday games
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of TENNESSEE (+7 vs PHI)
* PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 Over the total when coming off a home win since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): PHI-TEN (o/u at 39.5)
(267) LAS VEGAS (1-0) at (268) LA CHARGERS (0-1)
* LAS VEGAS is 7-8 SU but 11-4 ATS when coming off a game allowing <=14 points since 2020
* LAS VEGAS is 11-20 SU and 8-23 ATS vs. poor teams with point differentials of <=-4.5 PPG since 2018
* LAS VEGAS is 28-19 ATS (59.6%) vs. divisional opponents since 2018
* LAS VEGAS is 39-55 ATS (41.5%) in road/neutral games since 2015
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 2 FADES of LAS VEGAS (+6.5 at LAC)
* LA CHARGERS are 41-54-1 ATS (43.2%) at home since 2014
* LA CHARGERS’ Jim Harbaugh owns a solid 34-12 SU and 30-14 ATS NFL mark as a favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2011
* LA CHARGERS’ Justin Herbert is 10-2 SU and 9-2-1 ATS with his team coming off a double-digit loss since 2021
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of LA CHARGERS (-6.5 vs LVR)
* LAS VEGAS is 23-6 Under the total as a divisional road underdog since 2015
* LA CHARGERS are on 33-15 Under the total surge in Sunday games
* LA CHARGERS are 13-3 Under the total as a divisional home favorite since 2018
* LA CHARGERS are on a 19-7 Under the total streak when playing on normal rest (7 days)
* LA CHARGERS Jim Harbaugh is on a 13-2 Under the total surge vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): LVR-LAC (o/u at 43.5)
(269) JACKSONVILLE (1-0) at (270) DENVER (0-1)
* JACKSONVILLE’s Trevor Lawrence is on 2-6 SU and ATS skid vs. teams with poor defenses allowing >=27 PPG
Trend Match (FADE): JACKSONVILLE (+2.5 at DEN)
* DENVER is 15-14 SU but 23-6 ATS bouncing back after a game having scored 14 points or less since 2019
* DENVER’s Sean Payton is 18-10 SU and 21-6 ATS in the last 28 games when coming off an outright road loss
* DENVER is 28-42 ATS (40%) as a favorite since 2017
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of DENVER (-2.5 vs JAX)
* DENVER is 110-75 Under the total (59.5%) since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): JAX-DEN (o/u at 45.5)
(271) WASHINGTON (0-1) at (272) DALLAS (0-1)
* WASHINGTON is 25-40 ATS (38.5%) when coming off a SU loss since 2019
* WASHINGTON is 21-34 ATS (38.2%) vs. divisional opponents since 2017
* WASHINGTON’s Dan Quinn is 13-7 SU and ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2019
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of WASHINGTON (+4.5 at DAL)
* DALLAS is 20-1 SU and 17-4 ATS as a divisional home favorite since 2017
* DALLAS is 29-13 SU and 25-17 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2020
Trends Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-4.5 vs WAS)
(273) SEATTLE (1-0) at (274) ARIZONA (1-0)
* ARIZONA is 28-37 ATS (43.1%) at home since 2018
* ARIZONA is 13-24 ATS (35.1%) vs. divisional opponents since 2020
* ARIZONA is 36-27 ATS (57.1%) as an underdog since 2021
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of ARIZONA (+3.5 vs SEA)
(275) MIAMI (0-1) at (276) SAN FRANCISCO (1-0)
* MIAMI is 32-20 ATS (61.5%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
* MIAMI is 56-46 ATS (54.9%) as an underdog since 2014
Trends Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+13.5 at SF)
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Kyle Shanahan is 17-3 SU and ATS in its last 20 games vs. poor offensive teams scoring <19 PPG
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Brock Purdy is just 14-8 SU but 10-12 ATS in the last 22 vs. teams with lesser records
* SAN FRANCISCO is 22-30 ATS (42.3%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of SAN FRANCISCO (-13.5 vs MIA)
(277) INDIANAPOLIS (0-1) at (278) KANSAS CITY (1-0)
* INDIANAPOLIS is 17-23 SU but 27-13 ATS vs. elite teams with point differentials of >=+4.5 PPG since 2015
* INDIANAPOLIS is 32-16 SU and 33-13 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss since 2011
* INDIANAPOLIS is 26-25 SU and 36-14 ATS vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG since 2010
* INDIANAPOLIS’s Daniel Jones is 9-11 SU but 15-5 ATS as a road underdog of +3 to +7 points since 2019
* INDIANAPOLIS’s Daniel Jones is 2-12 SU and 3-11 ATS vs. teams with elite offenses scoring >=27 PPG since 2020
Trends Match: 4 PLAYS, 1 FADE of INDIANAPOLIS (+6.5 at KC)
* KANSAS CITY is 22-11 SU but 8-23 ATS when coming off a game of scoring 30+ points since 2020
Trend Match (FADE): KANSAS CITY (-6.5 vs IND)
* INDIANAPOLIS’s Daniel Jones is 34-16 Under the total as an underdog since 2020
* KANSAS CITY is 81-40 Under the total as a home favorite since 2010
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): IND-KC (o/u at 46.5)
(279) NY GIANTS (1-0) at (280) LA RAMS (0-1)
* NY GIANTS’ John Harbaugh is 15-16 SU but 23-8 ATS as an underdog since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): NY GIANTS (+7 at LAR)
* LA RAMS are 29-16 ATS (64.4%) when coming off a SU loss since 2019
* LA RAMS’ Sean McVay is 11-7 SU but 6-11 ATS when his team plays with extra rest since 2022
* LA RAMS’ Matthew Stafford is 40-67 SU and 40-65 ATS vs. teams with winning records since 2011
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of LA RAMS (-7 vs NYG)
* NY GIANTS are 61-40 Under the total (60.4%) since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-LAR (o/u at 47.5)
NFL Extreme Stats Next Game Systems
These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NFL games and detail the results of the follow-up game for these teams.
BIG TIME OFFENSIVE PERFORMANCES
Teams that scored 45 or more points in their prior game have gone 26-15 SU but 13-28 ATS (31.7%) when favored at home by 3 or more points since 2012.
System Match (FADE): CHICAGO (-4.5 vs MIN)
TNF, SNF, and MNF Team Trends and Systems for the NFL
The following trends and systems come from a log of all the Thursday night (TNF), Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night (MNF) games since the start of the 2019 season. Only Thursday night games were included in the TNF study, not the day games played on Thanksgiving. The Sunday night games only included those games played on Sunday night, not all of the games covered by the NBC SNF crew, which also included some Wednesday and Saturday contests. The games analyzed were only regular season games.
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
In the first half of the season, or Weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 30-24 SU but 19-33-2 ATS (36.5%) in the last 54.
System Match (FADE): BUFFALO (-4.5 vs DET)
More on totals, there have been 36 TNF games since 2012 with a total of 50 or greater, they went Under at a 24-12 rate (66.7%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): DET-BUF (o/u at 54.5)
SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Home favorites of less than a TD on SNF have historically been solid, going 61-44-2 ATS (58.1%) in their last 107.
System Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (-6.5 vs IND)
SNF teams coming off of losses have proven not ready for the big time, as they have gone just 16-32 SU and 18-30 ATS (37.5%) in their last 48 tries against teams off a win.
System Match (FADE): INDIANAPOLIS (+6.5 at KC)
Momentum has been big for hosts overall, as home teams on SNF coming off a loss in their last games are just 17-27-1 SU and 19-25-1 ATS (43.2%) in their last 45, but those coming off a win are on a current 32-11 SU and 25-18 ATS (58.1%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (-6.5 vs IND)
Strangely, the league’s highest-scoring teams have not fared well on SNF of late, as those scoring 30+ PPG are 14-12 SU but 6-20 ATS (23.1%) in their last 26 tries against teams not scoring that much.
System Match (FADE): KANSAS CITY (-6.5 vs IND)
More on unusual stat angles: the best defensive teams in the league, or those allowing less than 19 PPG, have gone just 20-27-1 SU and 21-27 ATS (43.8%) against worse defenses on SNF since 2019.
System Match (FADE): KANSAS CITY (-6.5 vs IND)
Over the total SNF Team Trends
Indianapolis 11-2 Over since 2013
Kansas City 15-11 Over since 2016, combined avg. 50.5 PPG
Trends Match (PLAY OVER): IND-KC (o/u at 46.5)
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Laying 7 points or more has long not been a good strategy on MNF, as favorites of 7 points or more are 51-16 SU but just 26-39-2 ATS (40%) since 2012.
System Match (FADE): LA RAMS (-7 vs NYG)
In non-divisional conference matchups on MNF, hosts are on a 26-23 SU and 30-19 ATS (61.2%) surge since 2019.
System Match (PLAY): LA RAMS (-7 vs NYG)
In concert with the theme of big underdogs faring well on MNF, teams scoring 17.5 PPG or less at the time have gone 11-17 SU and 16-12 ATS (57.1%) in their last 28 tries against teams scoring higher than that.
System Match (PLAY): LA RAMS (-7 vs NYG)
Won/lost records have mattered on MNF, as teams with the better record are 51-43 SU but just 38-54-2 ATS (41.3%) in the last 94 MNF games not matching teams with identical records.
System Match (FADE): NY GIANTS (+7 at LAR)
Bad MNF Team Trends
NY Giants 1-10 SU and 4-7 ATS
Trend Match (FADE): NY GIANTS (+7 at LAR)
If you’ve picked up from each of the team trends sections that certain teams are consistently doing well or poorly, or are going Over or Under regularly, you’re right. Here are some overall primetime game trends that you’re going to want to consider:
Good PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Buffalo 19-10 SU primetime run
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO ML (-230 vs DET)
Bad PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
NY Giants 6-26 SU in L32 (14-18 ATS)
Trend Match (FADE): NY GIANTS (+7 at LAR)
Under the total PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
LA Rams 18-9 UNDER surge
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-LAR (o/u at 47.5)
Top NFL Head-to-Head Series Trends
These are the top head-to-head series NFL betting trends between teams from recent years’ action:
(103) DETROIT at (104) BUFFALO
* Underdogs are 3-4 SU but 6-1 ATS in the last seven of the Lions-Bills non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY): DETROIT (+4.5 at BUF)
* Under the total is 7-1 in the last eight of the series as well, although it flew over the total last time in 2024
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): DET-BUF (o/u at 54.5)
(251) GREEN BAY at (252) NY JETS
* Road teams are 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in the GB-NYJ set since 2000
Trend Match (PLAY): GREEN BAY (-3.5 at NYJ)
(253) MINNESOTA at (254) CHICAGO
* Road teams are 9-3 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in the Vikings-Bears NFC North rivalry since the start of the 2020 season
Trend Match (PLAY): MINNESOTA (+4.5 at CHI)
(255) PITTSBURGH at (256) NEW ENGLAND
* Under the total has converted in five of the last six matchups between Pittsburgh and New England
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): PIT-NE (o/u at 41.5)
(257) CAROLINA at (258) ATLANTA
* Underdogs are 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS in the Panthers-Falcons NFC South rivalry since the start of the 2020 season
Trend Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (+2.5 vs CAR)
(259) CLEVELAND at (260) TAMPA BAY
* Under the total is a perfect 7-0 in meetings between Cleveland and Tampa Bay since 1995
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): CLE-TB (o/u at 41.5)
(261) CINCINNATI at (262) HOUSTON
* Road teams/underdogs have gone 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in the last six of the CIN-HOU set
Trend Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (+3 at HOU)
(263) NEW ORLEANS at (264) BALTIMORE
* Road teams are on 5-1 SU and ATS run in the Saints-Ravens non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY): NEW ORLEANS (+8.5 at BAL)
(265) PHILADELPHIA at (266) TENNESSEE
* Home teams are 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in the PHI-TEN set since 1994
Trend Match (PLAY): TENNESSEE (+7 vs PHI)
(267) LAS VEGAS at (268) LA CHARGERS
* Favorites are on an 8-0 SU and 7-0-1 ATS run in the Raiders-Chargers AFC West series
Trend Match (PLAY): LA CHARGERS (-6.5 vs LVR)
(269) JACKSONVILLE at (270) DENVER
* Road teams are 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in the last nine non-neutral matchups between Jacksonville and Denver
Trend Match (PLAY): JACKSONVILLE (+2.5 at DEN)
* Over the total is 8-1 in the last nine of the series in Denver as well
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): JAX-DEN (o/u at 45.5)
(271) WASHINGTON at (272) DALLAS
* DALLAS is 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in their last nine instances hosting Washington
Trend Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-4.5 vs WAS)
* Over the total is on a current 5-1 surge in the last three seasons of head-to-head series as well
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DAL-WAS (o/u at 50.5)
(273) SEATTLE at (274) ARIZONA
* SEATTLE has dominated Arizona recently, going 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS in the last nine of the NFC West rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-3.5 at ARI)
(275) MIAMI at (276) SAN FRANCISCO
* Over the total is 5-0 in the Dolphins-49ers cross-country series since 2012
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): MIA-SF (o/u at 45.5)
(277) INDIANAPOLIS at (278) KANSAS CITY
* Under the total is 10-2 in the last 12 of the Colts-Chiefs set
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): IND-KC (o/u at 46.5)
(279) NY GIANTS at (280) LA RAMS
* NY GIANTS are 7-5 SU and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 h2h with the Rams
Trend Match (PLAY): NY GIANTS (+7 at LAR)
NFL Rookie/Retread Coaching Systems
This material is from the VSiN piece entitled Analyzing the New NFL Head Coaches for 2026, detailing systems that apply to rookie coaches Mike LaFleur (Arizona), Jesse Minter (Baltimore), Joe Brady (Buffalo), Todd Monken (Cleveland), Klint Kubiak (Las Vegas), and Jeff Hafley (Miami), as well as retread coaches Kevin Stefanski (Atlanta), John Harbaugh (NY Giants), Mike McCarthy (Pittsburgh), and Robert Saleh (Tennessee).
Rookie Coach Systems
(Games this week: DET-BUF(-4.5), NO-BAL(-8.5), CLE(+8.5)-TB, LVR(+6.5)-LAC, SEA-ARI(+3.5), MIA(+13.5)-SF)
– Rookie head coaches have been far more proficient at covering point spreads on the road over the last decade. Here is the breakdown: Home games – 167-186-10 ATS (47.3%). Road/Neutral games – 192-175-6 ATS (52.3%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): BUFFALO, BALTIMORE, ARIZONA
– Rookie head coaches have won as big favorites. In fact, as favorites of 4.5 points or more since 2016, rookie head coaches are 76-12 SU, good for 86.4% outright, and have gone just 44-42-2 ATS, a covering rate of 51.1%.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BUFFALO ML, BALTIMORE ML
– Rookie head coaches have also struggled in the large underdog role, going 47-167-1 SU (21.7%) and 103-110-2 ATS (48.4%) when catching 6 points or more since 2016.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CLEVELAND, LAS VEGAS, MIAMI
– In a trend that seems to make sense as far as familiarity is concerned, the more familiar the opponent, the less successful rookie head coaches have been. Take a look at these ATS winning percentages by opponent type since 2016: Divisional games 125-136-4 ATS (47.9%), Non-Conference games 100-91-7 ATS (52.4%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): LAS VEGAS, ARIZONA
– Among the key challenges new head coaches face is stringing wins together and keeping the team galvanized after losses. When coming off of losses, rookie head coaches own a record of 99-110-1 ATS (47.4%) since December 2020. After wins, they’ve done reasonably worse in that same time frame, 67-83-6 ATS (44.7%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): BUFFALO, BALTIMORE, LAS VEGAS, ARIZONA
Retread Coach Systems
(Games this week: CAR-ATL(+2.5), PIT(+5.5)-NE, PHI-TEN(+7), NYG(+7)-LAR)
– Unlike the rookie head coaches, retread head coaches have been more proficient at covering point spreads at home since 2020. Here is the breakdown: Home games – 61-53 ATS (53.5%). Road/Neutral games – 57-61 ATS (48.3%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): ATLANTA, TENNESSEE
– The ATS results by game type are similar for the Division (49.2%) and Conference (47.3%) scenarios for retread coaches in terms of opponents. However, in non-conference games, they have really struggled, going 38-56 ATS (40.4%) over the last decade, including 20-36 ATS (35.7%) over the L4 seasons.
System Matches (FADE ALL): TENNESSEE, NY GIANTS
– Retread head coaches have shown a tendency to start very slow at their new franchises and finish their first seasons quite successfully when it comes to covering point spreads. Since 2016, in games #1-#8 of their first seasons, they’ve combined to go 64-102 ATS (38.6%), while in Weeks 9 and later, they’ve gone 97-86 ATS (53%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): ATLANTA, PITTSBURGH, TENNESSEE, NY GIANTS
– There seems to be a noteworthy trend of momentum that comes with these re-tread head coaches. Since 2015, when coming off a win or tie, these coaches have posted a respectable 90-81 ATS (52.6%) record in their first seasons, including 40-30 ATS (57.1%) since mid-2022. When coming off a loss, the record has been an ugly 144-181 ATS (44.3%) in that same time span.
System Matches (FADE ALL): ATLANTA, TENNESSEE
NFL Veteran Quarterback Leading New Team Systems
These systems take into account veteran quarterback records in their first season with a new team. They include game logs for different veteran QBs since 2004 who have played at least eight years in the NFL and started extensively on a previous team. This week, there are two QBs finding themselves in a new place: Kirk Cousins (Las Vegas) and Geno Smith (NY Jets).
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #1 – Veteran quarterbacks start slow for their new teams
It takes a little time for these veteran quarterbacks to find their footing with their new franchises. In fact, dating back to 2006, in the month of September, these guys have gone 47-33-1 Under the total (58.8%), averaging about 1.5 PPG less than usual offensively. Since 2017, the ATS record in September is 23-27 ATS (46%).
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): GB-NYJ (o/u at 44.5), LVR-LAC (o/u at 43.5)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #5 – Veteran quarterbacks are trending extremely negatively on the road
The results since 2021 of veteran quarterbacks playing with their new teams on the road have been brutal, as they are just 28-54 SU and 32-50 ATS (39%).
System Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS (+6.5 at LAC)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #7 – Non-conference matchups have been an absolute struggle for veteran starting quarterbacks in their first season with new teams over the last five years
Since 2021, veteran QBs in their first season with new teams have struggled horribly against non-conference opponents, going 17-33 SU and 14-36 ATS (28%).
System Match (FADE): NY JETS (+3.5 vs GB)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #8 –Veteran QB’s have shown an inability to strong win streaks together recently
In their last 67 starts with their new teams coming off outright victories, new incoming veteran QB’s have gone just 32-35 SU and 26-40-1 ATS (39.4%). This trend dates back to 2021.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY JETS (+3.5 vs GB), LAS VEGAS (+6.5 at LAC)
Strategies Using NFL DraftKings Betting Splits Data
One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us, detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals.
In an article published in the 2026 VSiN NFL Betting Guide, Steve Makinen outlined 12 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that were developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Wednesday at 4:30 p.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage.
Here is a quick tabulation on how DK bettors performed in the 2025 season:
– Majority handle on point spreads: 141-138 ATS (50.5%)
– Majority number of bets on point spreads: 133-145 ATS (47.8%)
– Majority handle on totals: 143-135 (51.4%)
– Majority number of bets on totals: 139-142 (49.5%)
The most interesting observation from last year’s bettors’ performances in the categories is that the majority handle groups were plus .500, while the majority number of bets groups were sub-.500. Many pro bettors believe that handle represents a slightly sharper opinion, while number of bets measures the public masses and thus is perhaps less sharp.
NFL DK Betting Splits system #1: Over the past two seasons, when more than 68% of the handle has been on a road side of an ATS wager, this majority group boasts a 70-50 ATS (58.3%) record for +15 units and an ROI of +12.5%! There has been a lot of debate in recent years in regards to the true value of home field advantage and it seems when bettors put less stock in it, they win.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PHILADELPHIA, NY GIANTS
NFL DK Betting Splits system #2: In NFL divisional games since the start of the 2022 season, DK majority handle bettors have been awful, as this majority group is just 215-256 ATS (45.6%) for -66.6 units. With the obvious generality that public bettors love favorites, it’s clear that they don’t’ value the stakes of these rivalry games and what they mean for the competitors.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CHICAGO, CAROLINA, LAS VEGAS, WASHINGTON, SEATTLE
NFL DK Betting Splits system #3: Similar to #2 above, in that same time span, when the majority number of bets staked its side in a NFL divisional game, this majority group is just 214-260 ATS (45.1%) for -72.0 units.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CHICAGO, CAROLINA, LAS VEGAS, WASHINGTON, SEATTLE
NFL DK Betting Splits system #4: In NFL non-conference games since the start of the 2023 season, DK majority handle groups have been quite sharp, going 122-104 ATS (54%). This is obviously quite the opposite performance level of #2 above, and unfortunately for bettors, there are two fewer non-conference tilts than divisional contests for each team on the schedule every year.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BUFFALO, NY JETS, NEW ORLEANS, PHILADELPHIA, TAMPA BAY, SAN FRANCISCO
NFL DK Betting Splits system #5: Since the start of the 2023 season, when the majority number of bets have backed a team in non-divisional conference tilts with smaller lines (6.5-points favorites or less), these groups have produced an outstanding 138-109 ATS (55.9%) record for +18.1 units. We will be tracking this one for the first time this season, as it has some sense to it, with bettors winning more when avoiding the larger spread games.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH, CINCINNATI, JACKSONVILLE, KANSAS CITY
NFL DK Betting Splits system #6: What is the definition of a “big public favorite” that savvy bettors should be willing to fade? Well, over the last three years when a “super-majority” handle of 77% or higher got behind an NFL favored team of 6.5 points or more, these groups have gone just 13-25 ATS (34.2%) for -14.5 units and an ROI of -38.2%. These are typically the heavy favorites that either look too obvious or are in a difficult situation that limits the motivation they are playing with.
System Matches (FADE ALL): PHILADELPHIA, TAMPA BAY, SAN FRANCISCO
NFL DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority handle and number of bets have backed a team in an ATS wager in the higher-profile, non-Sunday afternoon games over the last three seasons, these majority groups are just 138-153 ATS (47.4%) and 137-151 ATS (47.6%), respectively. This set of games includes all the Wednesday, Thursday, Saturday, Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night contests.
System Matches (FADE ALL): BUFFALO, KANSAS CITY, NY GIANTS
NFL DK Betting Splits system #8: NUMBER of bets majority groups have been very sharp judging games when there is exactly a one-game win difference between two teams in a matchup. The teams they have gotten behind boast an amazing 141-102 ATS (58%) record for +28.8 units over the last three seasons. The highlight of the one-win separation games has been when bettors back the road team, as these majority groups have gone 82-52 ATS for 61.2% and +24.8 units of profit.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PITTSBURGH, NY JETS, BALTIMORE, CINCINNATI, PHILADELPHIA, JACKSONVILLE, LAS VEGAS, SAN FRANCISCO, KANSAS CITY, NY GIANTS
DK Betting Splits system #9: The average NFL total in 2023 was 43.0. Over the last two years, it ballooned back up to 44.8. In games where the totals reached 46.5 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, majority number of bettors have gauged these games incredibly well the last three years, going 160-123 ATS (56.5%)!
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – DET-BUF, NO-BAL, CIN-HOU, MIN-CHI, WAS-DAL, NYG-LAR
UNDER – IND-KC
DK Betting Splits system #10: When 56% or more of the number of bets has been on the Under in an NFL game total over the last three seasons, this majority group has been quite sharp, 64-56 ATS (53.3%). This number for a “super-majority” in the NFL is quite low, evidence of how rarely the betting public bets the low side of a total.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): PIT-NE
DK Betting Splits system #11: The magic mark for super-majority on handle for betting Overs was 74% or higher, and this group performed miserably in 2023 and 2024 with a record of 84-107 (43.9%) for -33.7 units (1-0 for +1.0 unit in 2026). To me, this has been a long-standing belief, but when the Over looks too obvious, it usually loses.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL INSTEAD): MIN-CHI, CAR-ATL, CLE-TB, JAX-DEN, WAS-DAL
DK Betting Splits system #12: Call this one the Over trap, but when a super-majority (>=64%) of handle has been on the Over, but DraftKings moved the opening total lower throughout the week, this majority group has lost regularly, going just 108-121 (47.2%) for -25.1 units over the past three seasons. Almost as if they were trying to bait more people into taking the Over.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL INSTEAD): CLE-TB, WAS-DAL
This Week’s NFL Strength Ratings
The following are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. ATLANTA +2.5 (+3.3)
2. LAS VEGAS +6.5 (+2.5)
3(tie). CLEVELAND +8.5 (+1.9)
WASHINGTON +4.5 (+1.9)
5. MINNESOTA +4.5 (+0.8)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SEATTLE -3.5 (+2.4)
2(tie). KANSAS CITY -6.5 (+1.8)
LA RAMS -7 (+1.8)
4. BALTIMORE -8.5 (+1.1)
5. DENVER 2.5 (+1.0)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. MINNESOTA +4.5 (+2.6)
2. NY GIANTS +7 (+2.5)
3. ATLANTA +2.5 (+1.8)
4. WASHINGTON +4.5 (+1.7)
5. CLEVELAND +8.5 (+0.8)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. SEATTLE -3.5 (+4.5)
2. GREEN BAY -3.5 (+2.3)
3. PHILADELPHIA -7 (+2.2)
4. KANSAS CITY -6.5 (+1.4)
5. LA CHARGERS -6.5 (+0.9)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. CIN-HOU OVER 46.5 (+4.4)
2. NO-BAL OVER 46.5 (+1.9)
3. CLE-TB OVER 41.5 (+1.5)
4. NYG-LAR OVER 47.5 (+1.0)
5. IND-KC OVER 46.5 (+0.7)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. LVR-LAC UNDER 43.5 (-1.4)
2(tie). GB-NYJ UNDER 44.5 (-1.2)
PIT-NE UNDER 41.5 (-1.2)
4. DET-BUF UNDER 54.5 (-1.0)
5. JAX-DEN UNDER 45.5 (-0.5)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. LAS VEGAS +6.5 (+4.4)
2(tie). MIAMI +13.5 (+1.9)
WASHINGTON +4.5 (+1.9)
4. CLEVELAND +8.5 (+1.8)
5. CINCINNATI +3 (+1.7)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BALTIMORE -8.5 (+3.9)
2. DENVER -2.5 (+2.6)
3. LA RAMS -7 (+2.4)
4. SEATTLE -3.5 (+1.8)
5. KANSAS CITY -6.5 (+0.7)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. CIN-HOU OVER 46.5 (+3.2)
2. PHI-TEN OVER 39.5 (+1.9)
3. JAX-DEN OVER 45.5 (+1.4)
4. IND-KC OVER 46.5 (+1.3)
5. WAS-DAL OVER 50.5 (+0.8)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. LVR-LAC UNDER 43.5 (-3.8)
2. GB-NYJ UNDER 44.5 (-2.3)
3. CAR-ATL UNDER 43.5 (-1.8)
4. CLE-TB UNDER 41.5 (-1.4)
5. SEA-ARI UNDER 41.5 (-0.6)
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