Week 9 NFL Betting Trends:
The following NFL betting trends are a collection of analytical data, betting systems and strength ratings featured on VSiN and qualified for the NFL games of Week 9. This report is meant to emulate the process that Steve Makinen and other members of the VSiN Analytics team undergo when handicapping each week’s NFL board.
AJ’s Angles
These are the top NFL betting trends and systems for this week’s NFL games, handpicked by VSiN Analyst AJ Makinen.
* Teams that get shut out in a game have been solid bounce back teams in the next outing, going 32-38 SU but 44-24-2 ATS (64.7%) since 2012.
System Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (+3 vs CIN)
* Play on any team heading into their bye week when facing a divisional opponent, assuming the opponent is not in the same situation. (Record: 59-28-1 ATS since 2013, 67.8%, +28.3 Units, 32.5% ROI, Grade 72)
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (+3.5 vs NYG)
* SEATTLE is 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in the last 10 games with divisional foe Arizona
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-8.5 vs ARI)
In the later months of the regular season (November-January), higher scoring (>= 26 PPG) ROAD UNDERDOGS facing a solid defense (<= 20.5 PAPG) have gone 25-25 SU but 36-13-1 ATS (73.5%) since 2018.
System Match (PLAY): LAS VEGAS (+10 at SF)
* KANSAS CITY’s Andy Reid is 37-11 Under the total as a home favorite of 7 points or more since 2011
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NYJ-KC (o/u at 47.5)
* GREEN BAY’s Matt Lafleur boasts an impressive record of 13-8 SU and 16-4-1 ATS as an underdog of +3 to +7 points since 2019
Trend Match (PLAY): GREEN BAY (+3 at NE)
* In Monday Night Football games pitting non-conference opponents (AFC vs. NFC), home teams are 32-33 SU but 21-42-2 ATS (33.3%) in the L65.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (+3.5 vs BUF)
#1 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOG according to the MAKINEN POWER RATINGS: INDIANAPOLIS +5.5 vs DAL (projections have line at IND +1.5)
NFL Team/Coach/QB Specific Situational Trends
These are some of the top situational NFL betting trends that have developed with teams in recent years of action:
(311) JACKSONVILLE (5-2) at (312) BALTIMORE (4-4)
* BALTIMORE is 15-15 SU and 20-9 ATS vs. elite teams with winning percentages >=66.7% since 2020
* BALTIMORE is 15-18 SU but 23-10 ATS as an underdog since 2018
Trends Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (+10 vs JAX)
(451) CINCINNATI (5-2) at (452) ATLANTA (3-5)
* CINCINNATI is 78-64 SU and 84-58 ATS when playing on normal rest (7 days) since 2012
* CINCINNATI is 62-37 ATS (62.6%) in road/neutral games since 2015
* CINCINNATI’s Zac Taylor boasts a 26-7 SU and 23-8 ATS record as a favorite of -3 to -7 points since 2022
* ATLANTA is 18-37 ATS (32.7%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
* ATLANTA is on a 14-29 SU and 12-31 ATS skid on normal rest (7 days)
Trends Match (PLAY): CINCINNATI (-3 at ATL)
* ATLANTA’s Kevin Stefanski is 26-18 Over the total vs. teams with a winning record since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CIN-ATL (o/u at 52.5)
(453) CLEVELAND (5-3) at (454) NEW ORLEANS (2-5)
* NEW ORLEANS is 27-50 ATS (35.1%) at home since 2017
Trend Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (-3 vs CLE)
* CLEVELAND is 15-2 UNDER the total as a dome dog of +3 to +7 points since 2016
* NEW ORLEANS is on a 17-2 Under the total run when playing with extra rest (>7 days)
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): CLE-NO (o/u at 42.5)
(455) DETROIT (5-2) at (456) MIAMI (1-6)
* MIAMI is 66-36 ATS (64.7%) at home since 2014
* MIAMI is 33-21 ATS (61.1%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
* MIAMI is 60-48 ATS (55.6%) as an underdog since 2014
Trends Match (PLAY): MIAMI (+7 vs DET)
(457) LA RAMS (4-4) at (458) WASHINGTON (2-4)
* LA RAMS’ Sean McVay is just 14-16 SU and 10-18 ATS in its L29 November games
* WASHINGTON is 26-18-1 ATS (59.1%) when coming off a SU win since 2019
Trends Match (PLAY): WASHINGTON (+5.5 vs LAR)
(459) DALLAS (3-5) at (460) INDIANAPOLIS (2-6)
* DALLAS is 32-15 SU and 28-19 ATS vs. teams with a losing record since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): DALLAS (-5.5 at IND)
* INDIANAPOLIS is 32-18 SU and 34-14 ATS when coming off a double-digit loss since 2011
* INDIANAPOLIS’s Daniel Jones is 2-13 SU and 4-11 ATS vs. teams with elite offenses scoring >=27 PPG since 2020
* INDIANAPOLIS’ Daniel Jones is 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS in the last eight following up a game in which his team scored <=14 points
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of INDIANAPOLIS (+5.5 vs DAL)
* INDIANAPOLIS’ Daniel Jones is 36-19 Under the total as an underdog since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): DAL-IND (o/u at 51.5)
(461) NY GIANTS (4-2) at (462) PHILADELPHIA (2-6)
* PHILADELPHIA is 15-22 SU and 9-26 ATS when coming off a divisional loss since 2012
* PHILADELPHIA is 18-34 ATS (34.6%) when coming off SU loss since 2018
Trends Match (FADE): PHILADELPHIA (+3.5 vs NYG)
* NY GIANTS are 63-44 Under the total (58.9%) since 2020
* NY GIANTS are 14-2 Under the total when coming off a win over an AFC foe 2016
* PHILADELPHIA’s Nick Sirianni is 18-6 Under the total in the last 24 games when coming off an outright loss
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-PHI (o/u at 38.5)
(463) NY JETS (2-6) at (464) KANSAS CITY (5-2)
* NY JETS own ugly 13-56 SU and 23-43-1 ATS record as road underdogs since 2016
* NY JETS are on a 9-25 SU and 9-24 ATS skid when coming off an upset loss since 2011
Trends Match (FADE): NY JETS (+10 at KC)
* KANSAS CITY’s Patrick Mahomes is 38-2 SU but 16-23-1 ATS (41%) in his last 40 games as a favorite of more than 7 points. The
average line was -10.7, Team average PF: 27.6
Trend Match (FADE): KANSAS CITY (-10 vs NYJ)
* KANSAS CITY is 82-41 Under the total as a home favorite since 2010
* KANSAS CITY’s Andy Reid is 37-11 Under the total as a home favorite of 7 points or more since 2011
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): NYJ-KC (o/u at 47.5)
(465) DENVER (6-2) at (466) CAROLINA (3-4)
* DENVER is 32-42 ATS (43.2%) as a favorite since 2017
Trend Match (FADE): DENVER (-2.5 at CAR)
* DENVER is 114-78 Under the total (59.4%) since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): DEN-CAR (o/u at 44.5)
* CAROLINA is 25-34 ATS (42.4%) at home since 2019
Trend Match (FADE): CAROLINA (+2.5 vs DEN)
(467) LAS VEGAS (4-4) at (468) SAN FRANCISCO (6-1)
* LAS VEGAS is 42-56 ATS (42.9%) in road/neutral games since 2015
Trend Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS (+10 at SF)
* SAN FRANCISCO is 24-30 ATS (44.4%) vs. non-conference foes since 2014
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Brock Purdy is just 19-9 SU but 13-15 ATS in the last 28 vs. teams with lesser records
* SAN FRANCISCO’s Brock Purdy is 12-0 SU and 8-4 ATS in his last 12 starts as a double-digit favorite
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 2 FADES of SAN FRANCISCO (-10 vs LVR)
(469) HOUSTON (2-5) at (470) LA CHARGERS (0-7)
* LA CHARGERS are 41-56-1 ATS (42.3%) at home since 2014
* LA CHARGERS’ Justin Herbert is 10-5 SU and 9-5-1 ATS with his team coming off a double-digit loss since 2021
Trends Match: 1 PLAY, 1 FADE of LA CHARGERS (+4.5 vs HOU)
* LA CHARGERS are on 38-16 Under the total surge in Sunday games
* LA CHARGERS are on a 23-8 Under the total streak when playing on normal rest (7 days)
Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): HOU-LAC (o/u at 40.5)
(471) GREEN BAY (5-3) at (472) NEW ENGLAND (5-3)
* GREEN BAY is 27-14-1 ATS (65.9%) as an underdog since 2019
* GREEN BAY’s Matt Lafleur boasts an impressive record of 13-8 SU and 16-4-1 ATS as an underdog of +3 to +7 points since 2019
Trends Match (PLAY): GREEN BAY (+3 at NE)
* GREEN BAY’s Jordan Love is on a 19-12 Over the total surge when his team is coming off a win
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): GB-NE (o/u at 46.5)
(473) ARIZONA (3-5) at (474) SEATTLE (4-4)
* ARIZONA is 15-25 ATS (37.5%) vs. divisional opponents since 2020
* ARIZONA is 39-27 ATS (59.1%) in road/neutral games since 2019
* ARIZONA is 39-30 ATS (56.5%) as an underdog since 2021
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of ARIZONA (+8.5 at SEA)
* SEATTLE is 38-27-1 ATS (58.5%) when coming off a SU loss since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-8.5 vs ARI)
(475) TAMPA BAY (3-5) at (476) CHICAGO (6-2)
* TAMPA BAY’s Baker Mayfield is 12-21 SU but 20-13 ATS as a road underdog since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY): TAMPA BAY (+6 at CHI)
* TAMPA BAY is on a 30-12 Over the total surge as a single-digit road underdog
* TAMPA BAY’s Todd Bowles is 16-12 Over the total vs. teams with a better record since 2017
* CHICAGO is 19-7 Under the total when coming off an upset win since 2017
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER in TB-CHI (o/u at 47.5)
(477) BUFFALO (6-1) at (478) MINNESOTA (6-1)
* BUFFALO is 23-10 SU and 24-9 ATS vs. elite defenses allowing <19 PPG since 2018
* BUFFALO is 37-30 ATS (55.2%) in road/neutral games since 2019
Trends Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-3.5 at MIN)
* MINNESOTA is 34-20 SU and 33-19 ATS versus AFC opponents since 2014
* MINNESOTA is 35-29 ATS (54.7%) when coming off a SU loss since 2014
* MINNESOTA is 22-31 ATS (41.5%) at home since 2020
Trends Match: 2 PLAYS, 1 FADE of MINNESOTA (+3.5 vs BUF)
* BUFFALO’s Josh Allen is 40-28 Under the total on the road since 2018
* MINNESOTA’s Kevin O’Connell is 18-14 Over the total vs. teams with a winning record since 2022
Trends Match: 1 PLAY OVER, 1 PLAY UNDER in BUF-MIN (o/u at 45.5)
NFL Extreme Stats Next Game Systems
These systems search for extreme statistical performances in NFL games and detail the results of the follow-up game for these teams.
HUGE UPSETS
Teams coming off an outright win as a large underdog (+7 or more) and are favored in their next game have had totals go Under at a 20-10 (66.7%) rate since the start of the 2020 season.
System Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-PHI (o/u at 38.5
SHUTOUTS ARE EXTREMES
Teams that get shut out in a game have been solid bounce back teams in the next outing, going 32-38 SU but 44-24-2 ATS (64.7%) since 2012.
System Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (+3 vs CIN)
Teams off of a home shutout win have actually been bad in the next outing recently in the NFL, going 20-21 SU and 17-23-1 ATS (42.5%) in their last 41 games following up that extremely good defensive performance.
System Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (+6 at CHI)
BLOWOUT GAMES ARE RED FLAGS
Teams coming off a blowout loss (>= 20 points) have been bad bets as non-conference underdogs in the next contest, going 18-52-1 SU and 29-41-1 ATS (41.4%) since the start of the 2019 season.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CLEVELAND (+3 at NO), INDIANAPOLIS (+5.5 vs DAL)
CRAZY LOW-SCORING GAMES COMMAND ATTENTION
Teams that scored poorly (<= 10 points) in their previous game loss have been phenomenal as divisional underdogs in the next contest, going 38-68 SU but 67-36-3 ATS (65%) since the start of the 2020 season.
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (+3.5 vs NYG)
DON’T DISMISS TEAMS OFF DREADFUL OFFENSIVE OUTINGS
NFL teams that lost, scored 7 points or fewer, and had 10 or less first downs in a game have performed admirably as underdogs in the next contest, 24-43 SU but 44-23 ATS (65.7%) over the last decade-plus.
System Match (PLAY): ATLANTA (+3 vs CIN)
WINNING BUT OUTGAINED IN YARDS
NFL teams that won their LG but got outgained by 100 yards or more are horrible as large underdogs (+7 or more) in the next contest, going 0-15 SU and 3-12 ATS (20%) in their last 15 tries.
System Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS (+10 at SF)
NFL teams that won their last game but got outgained by 100 yards or more are also bad as non-conference favorites in the next contest, going 6-8 SU and 1-12-1 ATS (7.7%) in their last 14 tries.
System Match (FADE): DENVER (-2.5 at CAR)
NFL Team Strength Systems
The following handicapping information details betting systems for NFL teams based on various team strength indicators or line scenarios.
NFL Team Strength Betting System #2:
Road favorites facing a great run defense (<= 100 RYAPG) have not been good bets in lower-totaled games (o/u <= 47), going just 81-73 SU but 60-89-5 ATS (40.3%) since the start of the 2015 season.
System Match (FADE): NONE YET BUT WATCH FOR LA RAMS at WSH (spread LAR -5.5, o/u at 47.5)
NFL Team Strength Betting System #3:
In games between two teams with 35% or less winning percentages, and totals <= 41, underdogs are 36-32 SU and 45-22-1 ATS (67.2%) since the start of the 2015 season.
System Match (PLAY): LA CHARGERS (+4.5 vs HOU (o/u at 40.5))
NFL Team Strength Betting System #5:
Having a minimum of four games under their belt for the season, favorites sporting a win percentage that is at least 25% worse than their opponent have a 37-43-2 SU and 29-51-2 ATS (36.3%) record since the start of the 2015 season.
System Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (-3 vs CLE)
NFL Team Strength Betting System #7:
Road/Neutral teams scoring more than 31 PPG are just 38-48 SU and 31-54 ATS (36.5%) since 2020.
System Match (FADE): BUFFALO (-3.5 at MIN)
NFL Team Strength Betting System #13:
Road teams averaging 8.0 or more yards per pass attempt have been dangerous, 156-107 SU and 146-113-4 ATS (56.4%) since 2015.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NY JETS (+10 at KC), BUFFALO (-3.5 at MIN)
NFL Team Strength Betting System #14:
Teams playing with point differential of 7 points or worse on the season as home favoriets are 63-63-1 SU and 49-75-3 ATS (39.5%) since 2016.
System Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (-3 vs CLE)
NFL Team Strength Betting System #17:
Oddsmakers set a pretty good path for whether or not real bad teams have a chance to compete, as those with -10 PPG differentials are 117-122 SU but 143-92-4 ATS (60.9%) so long as they are not a TD underdog or bigger (+7 or more) in the last 239 games.
System Match (PLAY): LA CHARGERS (+4.5 vs HOU)
NFL Team Strength Betting System #19:
In the later months of the regular season (November-January), higher scoring (>= 26 PPG) road underdogs facing a solid defense (<= 20.5 PAPG) have gone 25-25 SU but 36-13-1 ATS (73.5%) since 2018.
System Match (PLAY): LAS VEGAS (+10 at SF)
TNF, SNF, and MNF Team Trends and Systems for the NFL
The following trends and systems come from a log of all the Thursday night (TNF), Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night (MNF) games since the start of the 2019 season. Only Thursday night games were included in the TNF study, not the day games played on Thanksgiving. The Sunday night games only included those games played on Sunday night, not all of the games covered by the NBC SNF crew, which also included some Wednesday and Saturday contests. The games analyzed were only regular season games.
THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
In the first half of the season, or weeks 1-8, home teams have gone 35-26 SU but 24-35-2 ATS (40.7%) in the last 61. Going back even further, since 2016, TNF home teams in Weeks 9 and later are 49-31 SU and 46-31-3 ATS (59.7%). There seems to be a fundamental edge to playing at home with less rest late in the season.
System Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (+10 vs JAX)
Home underdogs on TNF have really struggled of late, going 11-24 SU and 16-19 ATS (45.7%) in their last 35, scoring just 16.6 PPG. In terms of totals, 22 of the last 33 (66.7%) TNF games featuring a home dog went Under.
System Match (FADE): BALTIMORE (+10 vs JAX)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): JAX-BAL (o/u at 39.5)
Unfortunately, home cooking has not solved the ills for Thursday home teams coming off a loss in their most recent game, as they have been a brutal bet over the last five seasons, going 32-36 SU and 29-38-1 ATS (43.3%).
System Match (FADE): BALTIMORE (+10 vs JAX)
SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Home favorites of less than a TD on SNF have historically been solid, going 64-46-2 ATS (58.2%) in their last 112.
System Match (PLAY): CHICAGO (-6 vs TB)
Momentum has been big for hosts overall, as home teams on SNF coming off a loss in their last games are just 20-27-1 SU and 22-25-1 ATS (46.8%) in their last 48, but those coming off a win are on a current 35-12 SU and 27-20 ATS (57.4%) surge.
System Match (PLAY): CHICAGO (-6 vs TB)
More on unusual stat angles, the best defensive teams in the league, or those allowing less than 19 PPG, have gone just 21-29-1 SU and 21-30 ATS (41.2%) against worse defenses on SNF since 2019.
System Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (+6 at CHI)
SNF Team Trends
Chicago 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS in the last nine, seven losses by double-digits
Trend Match (FADE): CHICAGO (-6 vs TB)
Tampa Bay 8-2 Under stretch
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): TB-CHI (o/u at 47.5)
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
NFL home underdogs on Monday Night are on a run of 19-22 SU but 22-18-1 ATS (55%) dating back to September 2021. The last 39 of these games have seen Under the total go 25-12-2 (67.6%) as well, games producing just 41.6 PPG.
System Match (SLIGHT PLAY): MINNESOTA (+3.5 vs BUF)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BUF-MIN (o/u at 45.5)
In MNF games pitting non-conference opponents (AFC vs. NFC), home teams are 32-33 SU but 21-42-2 ATS (33.3%) in the L65.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (+3.5 vs BUF)
Blowout wins have been great momentum builders for road MNF teams, as those coming off wins by 20 points or more have gone 11-6 SU and ATS (64.7%) in their last 17 tries.
System Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-3.5 at MIN)
MNF Team Trend
Minnesota 14-3 Under in the last 17
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): BUF-MIN (o/u at 45.5)
If you’ve picked up from each of the team trends sections that certain teams are consistently doing well or poorly, or are going Over or Under regularly, you’re right. Here are some overall primetime game trends that you’re going to want to consider:
Good PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Baltimore 30-17 SU and 27-19-1 ATS in the last 47
Trend Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (+10 vs JAX)
Buffalo 21-10 SU primetime run
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO ML (-180 at MIN)
Bad PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Tampa Bay 12-23 SU and 10-25 ATS in the last 35
Trend Match (FADE): TAMPA BAY (+6 at CHI)
Under the total PRIMETIME (TNF, SNF, and MNF) Team Trends
Minnesota 26-15 Under primetime record since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): BUF-MIN (o/u at 45.5)
NFL Streaks Provide Some Advantages for Bettors
The following betting systems focus on winning and losing streaks. Below are the ones that have qualifying plays for this week’s action.
NFL Streaks Betting System #4: NFL teams that have won their last three games ATS with a point margin of +10 or less in that stretch have gone just 18-52 SU and 20-46-4 ATS (30.3%) in game #4 since 2003.
System Match (FADE): MIAMI (+7 vs DET)
NFL Streaks Betting System #5: NFL teams that have won their last four games outright while outscoring opponents by fewer than 30 total points in that span have gone 68-17 SU and 52-31-2 ATS (62.7%) in the next game when favored.
System Match (PLAY): DENVER (-2.5 at CAR)
Pre-Bye Week Systems and Trends
The following systems and trends are from the long-running article series detailing pre-bye week performance in the NFL. These records are from only in-season bye weeks and do not include playoffs or preseason.
Pre-bye week system #1:
Play on any team heading into their bye week when facing a divisional opponent, assuming the opponent is not in the same situation. (Record: 59-28-1 ATS since 2013, 67.8%, +28.3 Units, 32.5% ROI, Grade 72)
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (+3.5 vs NYG)
Pre-bye week system #2:
Play Under the total on any team heading into their bye week when facing a divisional opponent, assuming the opponent is not in the same situation. (Record: 42-18-2 since 2013, 70%, +22.2 Units, 37% ROI, Grade 72)
System Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-PHI (o/u at 38.5)
Pre-bye week system #4
Play on home teams in their pre-bye week game when it comes Week 8 or later on the NFL annual schedule. (Record: 80-41-2 ATS since 2010, 66.1%, +34.9 Units, 28.8% ROI, Grade 68)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): PHILADELPHIA (+3.5 vs NYG), CHICAGO (-6 vs TB)
Pre-bye week system #5
Play on home underdogs heading into their bye week. (Record: 41-24-3 ATS since 2015, 63.1%, +14.6 Units, 22.5% ROI, Grade 64)
System Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (+3.5 vs NYG)
Pre-bye week system #8
Play on any team heading into their bye week when favored on the road/neutral vs. a non-conference foe (Record: 33-8-1 SU and 28-13-1 ATS since 2009, 68.3%, +13.7 Units, 33.4% ROI, Grade 67)
System Match (PLAY): DENVER (-2.5 at CAR)
* Please note that the systems above and all of the following trends only include bye week games from the regular season schedule, not playoffs.
| Chicago Bears Pre-Bye week game: 11/8 vs. TAMPA BAY |
| · Chicago has won three straight pre-bye week games SU and ATS overall, and is 11-7 ATS in the last 18 Trend Match (PLAY): CHICAGO (-6 vs TB) |
| · The Bears are on a 10-4 Over the total surge in pre-bye week games since 2012 Trend Match (PLAY OVER): TB-CHI (o/u at 47.5) |
| Denver Broncos Pre-Bye week game: 11/8 at CAROLINA |
| · Denver is 11-3 SU and 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 pre-bye week games overall |
| · The Broncos are on an 8-3 SU and 7-3-1 ATS surge in pre-bye week road gamesT rends Match (PLAY): DENVER (-2.5 at CAR) |
| Philadelphia Eagles Pre-Bye week game: 11/8 vs. NY GIANTS |
| · The Eagles are an impressive 14-4 SU and ATS in pre-bye week games since 2008. Outright winners have won 25 straight Philly pre-bye week games ATS |
| ·Philadelphia is on a 7-0 SU and ATS streak in pre-bye week games vs. divisional foes, outscoring them 26.6-14 on average Trends Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (+3.5 vs NYG) |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pre-Bye week game: 11/8 at CHICAGO |
| · Tampa Bay has won four straight pre-bye week games ATS after a brutal 2-10-1 ATS skid prior Trend Match (SLIGHT PLAY): TAMPA BAY (+6 at CHI) |
| · The Buccaneers have gone Under the total in their last four pre-bye week games, allowing just 12.8 PPG Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): TB-CHI (o/u at 47.5) |
Post Bye-Week Systems and Trends
The following systems and trends are from the long-running article series detailing pre- and post-bye week performance in the NFL. These records are from only in-season bye weeks and do not include playoffs or preseason
Post-bye week system #1:
Play on road favorites coming out of their bye week. (Record: 121-50 SU and 99-68-4 ATS since ’99, 59.3%, +24.2 Units, 14.5% ROI, Grade 63)
System Matches (PLAY ALL): NY GIANTS (-3.5 at PHI), HOUSTON (-4.5 at LAC)
Post-bye week road favorites subsystems:
– vs. divisional opponents. (Record: 33-20 ATS since 2002, 62.3%, +11 Units, 20.8% ROI, Grade 62)
System Match (PLAY): NY GIANTS (-3.5 at PHI)
Post-bye week system #2:
Play against home teams coming out of their bye week against non-conference opponents. (Record: 27-27 SU and 33-19-2 ATS since 2015, 63.5%, +12.1 Units, 23.2% ROI, Grade 63)
System Matches (FADE ALL): NEW ORLEANS (-3 vs CLE), SAN FRANCISCO (-10 vs LVR)
Post-bye week system #4:
Play Over the total in games involving posted totals of less than 40 with teams coming out of their bye week. (Record: 31-21-2 since 2010, 59.6%, +7.9 Units, 15.2% ROI, Grade 58)
System Match (PLAY OVER): NYG-PHI (o/u at 38.5)
Post-bye week system #5:
Play against double-digit favorites coming off their bye week. (Record: 19-11-1 ATS since 2014, 63.3%, +7 Units, 23.3% ROI, Grade 60)
System Match (FADE): SAN FRANCISCO (-10 vs LVR)
Post-bye week system #6:
Play against road teams coming off their bye week and facing a non-divisional conference opponent. (Record: 26-19 SU and 28-17 ATS since 2019, 62.2%, +9.3 Units, 20.7% ROI, Grade 59)
System Match (FADE): HOUSTON (-4.5 at LAC)
Post-bye week system #7:
Play Under the total with road teams coming off their bye week (Record: 48-28-1 since 2021, 63.2%, +17.2 Units, 22.6% ROI, Grade 60)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): NYG-PHI (o/u at 38.5), HOU-LAC (o/u at 40.5)
Post-bye week system #9:
Play Under the total in games where a team is coming out of its bye week after losing in upset fashion before the bye. (Record: 34-20-1 UNDER since ’92, 63%, +12.1 Units, 22.4% ROI, Grade 60)
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): HOU-LAC (o/u at 40.5), LVR-SF (o/u at 52.5)
** Please note that the systems above and all of the following trends only include bye week games from the regular season schedule, not playoffs.
| Houston Texans Post-Bye week game: 11/8 at LA CHARGERS |
| · Houston has gone 5-2 ATS in its last seven post-bye week games vs. non-divisional AFC foes Trend Match (PLAY): HOUSTON (-4.5 at LAC) |
| · The Texans are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven post-bye week road games Trend Match (FADE): HOUSTON (-4.5 at LAC) |
| New Orleans Saints Post-Bye week game: 11/8 vs. CLEVELAND |
| · New Orleans has lost seven straight post-bye week games ATS Trend Match (FADE): NEW ORLEANS (-3 vs CLE) |
| · The Saints are 7-1 Under the total in their last eight post-bye week games Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): CLE-NO (o/u at 42.5) |
| New York Giants Post-Bye week game: 11/8 at PHILADELPHIA |
| · The Giants have a 9-3 Under the total record in their last 12 post-bye week divisional games |
| · The Giants are on skids of 3-8-1 ATS and 10-2 Under the total in post-bye week road games Trend Match (FADE): NY GIANTS (-3.5 at PHI) Trends Match (PLAY UNDER): NYG-PHI (o/u at 38.5) |
| San Francisco 49ers Post-Bye week game: 11/8 vs. LAS VEGAS |
| · San Francisco is on 7-2 Under the total run in post-bye week games, all under head coach Kyle Shanahan Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): LVR-SF (o/u at 52.5) |
| · The 49ers are 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS in the last seven post-bye week games after a 2-12-1 ATS skid prior Trend Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-10 vs LVR) |
Handicapping NFL Rematch Games
The following trends and betting systems come from the same-season rematch data over the last 15 seasons
Worst NFL rematch teams lately
Arizona: 4-20 SU and 7-17 ATS skid L24
Trend Match (FADE): ARIZONA (+8.5 at SEA)
Rematch Betting System
Teams that won by 21 or more points in the opening game between teams are 93-30 SU and 75-48 ATS (61%) in the rematch
System Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-8.5 vs ARI)
Top Head-to-Head Series NFL Betting Trends
These are the top head-to-head series NFL betting trends between teams from recent years’ action:
(311) JACKSONVILLE at (312) BALTIMORE
* Home teams are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 non-neutral meetings between Jacksonville and Baltimore
Trend Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (+10 vs JAX)
(451) CINCINNATI vs (452) ATLANTA
* Over the total is 6-2 in the Bengals-Falcons non-conference series since 1993
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): CIN-ATL (o/u at 52.5)
(453) CLEVELAND at (454) NEW ORLEANS
* Underdogs are 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS in the Browns-Saints set since 1993
Trend Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND (+3 at NO)
(455) DETROIT at (456) MIAMI
* Over the total has gone 5-0 in games between the Lions and the Dolphins in Miami, FL
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): DET-MIA (o/u at 50.5)
(457) LA RAMS at (458) WASHINGTON
* Under the total has converted in all six meetings between LAR and WSH at Washington since 2002
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): LAR-WSH (o/u at 47.5)
(459) DALLAS at (460) INDIANAPOLIS
* Home teams are 6-1 SU and ATS in the last seven of the Cowboys-Colts non-conference set
Trend Match (PLAY): INDIANAPOLIS (+6 vs DAL)
(461) NY GIANTS at (462) PHILADELPHIA
* Home teams are 4-1 SU and ATS in the last five of the Giants-Eagles NFC East rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): PHILADELPHIA (+3.5 vs NYG)
(463) NY JETS at (464) KANSAS CITY
* Home teams are 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in last six of the Jets-Chiefs series
Trend Match (PLAY): KANSAS CITY (-10 vs NYG)
(465) DENVER at (466) CAROLINA
* DENVER is 5-1 SU and ATS versus Carolina since 2012
Trend Match (PLAY): DENVER (-2.5 at CAR)
(467) LAS VEGAS at (468) SAN FRANCISCO
* Home teams are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in the last five of the Raiders-49ers West Coast series
Trend Match (PLAY): SAN FRANCISCO (-10 vs LVR)
(469) HOUSTON at (470) LA CHARGERS
* Underdogs are 4-1 SU and ATS in the last five of the Texans-Chargers set
Trend Match (PLAY): LA CHARGERS (+4.5 vs HOU)
(473) ARIZONA at (474) SEATTLE
* SEATTLE is 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in the last 10 games with divisional foe Arizona
Trend Match (PLAY): SEATTLE (-8.5 vs ARI)
(475) TAMPA BAY at (476) CHICAGO
* Home teams have won and covered the last six games between Tampa Bay and Chicago
Trend Match (PLAY): CHICAGO (-6 vs TB)
(477) BUFFALO at (478) MINNESOTA
* Road teams are 7-2 ATS in the last nine of the Bills-Vikings non-conference series
Trend Match (PLAY): BUFFALO (-3.5 at MIN)
NFL Rookie/Retread Coaching Systems
This material is from the VSiN piece entitled Analyzing the New NFL Head Coaches for 2026 detailing systems that apply to rookie coaches Mike LaFleur (Arizona), Jesse Minter (Baltimore), Joe Brady (Buffalo), Todd Monken (Cleveland), Klint Kubiak (Las Vegas), and Jeff Hafley (Miami) as well as re-tread coaches Kevin Stefanski (Atlanta), John Harbaugh (NY Giants), Mike McCarthy (Pittsburgh), and Robert Saleh (Tennessee).
Rookie Coach Systems
(Games this week: JAX-BAL(+10), DET-MIA(+7), CLE(+3)-NO, LVR(+10)-SF, ARI(+8.5)-SEA, BUF(-3.5)-MIN)
– Rookie head coaches have been far more proficient at covering point spreads on the road over the last decade. Here is the breakdown: Home games – 177-195-10 ATS (47.6%). Road/Neutral games – 204-183-7 ATS (52.7%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): BALTIMORE, MIAMI
– As smaller favorites of -4 or fewer, rookie head coaches have gone 103-75 SU but 76-90-11 ATS (45.8%) over the last decade.
System Match (FADE): BUFFALO
– Ironically, it’s in the games where coaching figures to matter most (+1 to +3 small underdog lines) where rookie head coaches are able to hold their own best against the point spread. Their record in this line window over the last decade is 77-84-2 SU and 89-72-2 ATS (55.3%).
System Match (PLAY): CLEVELAND
– Take a look at these ATS winning percentages by opponent type since 2016: Divisional games 133-141-4 ATS (48.5%), Non-Conference games 107-95-8 ATS (53%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MIAMI, CLEVELAND, LAS VEGAS, BUFFALO
– Among the key challenges new head coaches face is stringing wins together and keeping the team galvanized after losses. Rookie head coaches have been better at the latter. When coming off of losses, rookie head coaches have a record of 110-118-2 ATS (48.2%) since December 2020. After wins, they’ve done reasonably worse in that same time frame, 78-92-6 ATS (45.9%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): LAS VEGAS, ARIZONA, BUFFALO
– Rookie head coaches have also struggled in the revenge spot. When taking on a team they lost to earlier that season, they are just 31-47 SU and 35-43 ATS (44.9%) in the follow-up contest since 2016.
System Match (FADE): ARIZONA (+8.5 at SEA)
Retread Coach Systems
(Games this week: CIN-ATL(+3), NYG(-3.5)-PHI)
– Retread head coaches have been brutal bets as favorites but respectable in the underdog role in their first seasons with a new franchise. As favorites since 2015, they’ve gone 111-72 SU but just 75-97-11 ATS, for 43.6%! As dogs (or pick em), 93-193-1 SU and 143-138-6 ATS (50.9%).
System Match (FADE): NY GIANTS
– In non-conference games, they have really struggled, going 43-58 ATS (42.6%) over the last decade, including 25-38 ATS (39.7%) over the lst four seasons.
System Match (FADE): ATLANTA
– Since 2015, when coming off a win or tie, these coaches have posted a respectable 96-88 ATS (52.2%) record in their first seasons, including 46-37 ATS (55.4%) since mid-2022. When coming off a loss, the record has been an ugly 154-185 ATS (45.4%) in that same time span.
System Match (FADE): ATLANTA
NFL Rookie Quarterback Systems
These systems take into account rookie quarterback records in their first seasons. They include game logs of any rookie who started seven or more games in that first season. The lone starter this week includes Joe Fagnano (Baltimore).
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #6 – Don’t fall for the big underdog point spreads with rookie quarterbacks
· Since 2015, rookie starting quarterbacks facing underdog lines of 6.5 points or more have won just 27 games, going 27-136 SU and 67-92-4 ATS (42.1%).
System Match (FADE): BALTIMORE (+10 vs JAX)
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #10 – By type of opponent, non-divisional conference matchups have been solid for rookie starting quarterbacks
· Since 2018, rookie QBs have fared well against non-divisional conference opponents, going 61-76 SU but 78-58 ATS (57.4%).
System Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (+10 vs JAX)
NFL Rookie Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #12 – Non-Sunday games have been a respite for rookie QB’s
· Rookie quarterbacks have fared reasonably well under the spotlight of non-Sunday games lately, going 23-24 SU and 30-15-2 ATS
(66.7%) in their last 47 such tries.
System Match (PLAY): BALTIMORE (+10 vs JAX)
NFL Veteran Quarterback Leading New Team Systems
These systems take into account veteran quarterback records in their first season with a new team. They include game logs of veteran QBs since 2004 who have played at least eight years in the NFL and started extensively on a previous team. This week, there are three different QBs finding themselves in a new place: Kirk Cousins (Las Vegas), Geno Smith (NY Jets), and Kyler Murray (Minnesota).
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #4 – Non-Sunday games have been a struggle for veteran QBs with their new teams
Veteran quarterbacks have struggled under the spotlight of non-Sunday games lately, going 28-45 SU and 29-43-1 ATS (40.3%) in their last 73 such tries for their new teams. Moreover, they are 12-23-1 ATS (34.3%) in their last 36 Monday Night contests.
System Match (FADE): MINNESOTA (+3.5 vs BUF)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #5 – Veteran quarterbacks are trending extremely negatively on the road
The results since 2021 of veteran quarterbacks playing with their new teams on the road have been brutal, as they are just 33-59 SU and 38-53-1 ATS (41.8%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY JETS (+10 at KC), LAS VEGAS (+10 at SF)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #6 – By type of opponent, non-divisional conference matchups have been best for veteran starting quarterbacks in their first season with new teams
Since 2005, veteran QBs in their first season with new teams have fared well against non-divisional conference opponents, going 96-83 SU and 99-78-2 ATS (55.9%).
System Match (PLAY): NY JETS (+10 at KC)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #7 – Non-conference matchups have been an absolute struggle for veteran starting quarterbacks in their first season with new teams over the last five years
Since 2021, veteran QBs in their first season with new teams have struggled horribly against non-conference opponents, going 20-37 SU and 16-40-1 ATS (28.6%).
System Matches (FADE ALL): LAS VEGAS (+10 at SF), MINNESOTA (+3.5 vs BUF)
NFL Veteran Quarterbacks Stats Betting System #8 –Veteran QB’s have shown an inability to strong win streaks together recently
In their last 77 starts with their new teams coming off outright victories, new incoming veteran QBs have gone just 38-39 SU and 33-43-1 ATS (43.4%). This trend dates back to 2021.
System Match (FADE): LAS VEGAS (+10 at SF)
Strategies Using NFL DraftKings Betting Splits Data
One of the most touted features on the VSiN.com website, and a feature that we believe to be a fantastic resource for bettors, is the betting splits pages. These are the pages that we have built utilizing the data that DraftKings so graciously provides to us detailing the breakdowns of the money and ticket splits for point spreads, money lines, and totals.
In an article published in the 2026 VSiN NFL Betting Guide, Steve Makinen outlined 12 different systematic strategies for successfully using the DK Betting Splits Data that developed in the last three seasons. Here are the systems and qualifying plays for this week’s games as of Wednesday at 2:45 p.m. ET. These can and will change, so continue to track and qualify the systems up until kickoff for best usage.
NFL DK Betting Splits system #1: Over the past two seasons, when more than 68% of the handle has been on a road side of an ATS wager, this majority group boasts a 74-53 ATS (58.3%) record for +15.7 units and an ROI of +12.4%!
System Matches (PLAY ALL): JACKSONVILLE, DALLAS, NY JETS, NY GIANTS, HOUSTON, LAS VEGAS, ARIZONA
NFL DK Betting Splits system #2: In NFL divisional games since the start of the 2022 season, DK majority handle bettors have been awful, as this majority group is just 228-278 ATS (45.1%) for -77.8 units.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY GIANTS, ARIZONA
NFL DK Betting Splits system #3: Similar to #2 above, in that same time span, when the majority number of bets staked its side in an NFL divisional game, this majority group is just 230-279 ATS (45.2%) for -76.9 units.
System Matches (FADE ALL): NY GIANTS, ARIZONA
NFL DK Betting Splits system #4: In NFL non-conference games since the start of the 2023 season, DK majority handle groups have been quite sharp, going 140-113 ATS (55.3%) for +15.7 units.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): CINCINNATI, DETROIT, DALLAS, CAROLINA, NEW ORLEANS, NEW ENGLAND, LAS VEGAS, BUFFALO
NFL DK Betting Splits system #5: Since the start of the 2023 season, when the majority number of bets has backed a team in non-divisional conference tilts with smaller lines (6.5 points favorites or less), these groups have produced an outstanding 150-124 ATS (54.7%) record for +13.6 units.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): LA RAMS, HOUSTON, CHICAGO
NFL DK Betting Splits system #6: What is the definition of a “big public favorite” that savvy bettors should be willing to fade? Well, over the last three years when a “super-majority” handle of 77% or higher got behind a NFL favored team of 6.5 points or more, these groups have gone just 16-28 ATS (36.4%) for -14.7 units and an ROI of -33.4%.
System Match (FADE): JACKSONVILLE
NFL DK Betting Splits system #7: When the majority handle and number of bets have backed a team in an ATS wager in the higher-profile, non-Sunday afternoon games over the last three seasons, these majority groups are just 144-167 ATS (46.3%) and 144-164 ATS (46.8%) respectively. This set of games includes all the Wednesday, Thursday, Saturday, Sunday night (SNF), and Monday night contests.
System Matches (FADE ALL): JACKSONVILLE, CHICAGO, BUFFALO
NFL DK Betting Splits system #8: Number of bets majority groups have been very sharp judging games when there is an exact one-game win difference between two teams in a matchup. The teams they have gotten behind boast an amazing 164-124 ATS (56.9%) record for +27.6 units over the L3 seasons. The highlight of the one-win separation games has been when bettors back the road team, as these majority groups have gone 93-64 ATS for 59.2% and +22.6 units of profit.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): JACKSONVILLE, DALLAS, ARIZONA
Alternatively, when there is a difference of 2 or more wins in the standings, these majority number of bets groups have struggled to a 196-220 ATS (47.1%) mark.
System Matches (FADE ALL): CINCINNATI, NEW ORLEANS, DENVER, DETROIT, LA RAMS, NY GIANTS, KANSAS CITY, HOUSTON, LAS VEGAS, CHICAGO
DK Betting Splits system #9: The average NFL total in 2023 was 43.0. Over the last two years it ballooned back up to 44.8. In games where the totals reached 46.5 or higher and oddsmakers thus expected them to be a little more explosive, majority number of bettors have gauged these games incredibly well the last three years, going 183-141 ATS (56.5%)!
System Matches (PLAY ALL): OVER – CIN-ATL, DET-MIA, DAL-IND, NYJ-KC, LAR-WSH, GB-NE, LVR-SF, TB-CHI
DK Betting Splits system #10: When 56% or more of the number of bets has been on the Under in an NFL game total over the last three seasons, this majority group has been quite sharp, 66-57 ATS (53.7%). This number for a “supermajority” in NFL is quite low, evidence of how rarely the betting public bets the low side of a total. Incidentally, the same majority figure for handle has also produced a 97-87 (52.7%) record.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): JAX-BAL, DEN-CAR, HOU-LAC, ARI-SEA
DK Betting Splits system #11: The magic mark for super majority on handle for betting Overs was 74% or higher, and this group performed miserably in 2023 and 2024 with a record of 84-107 (43.9%) for -33.7 units (22-19 for +1.1 units in 2026). To me, this has been a long-standing belief, but when the Over looks too obvious, it usually loses.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL INSTEAD): DET-MIA, NYJ-KC, GB-NE, TB-CHI
DK Betting Splits system #12: Call this one the Over trap, but when a super-majority (>=64%) of handle has been on the Over, but DraftKings moved the opening total lower throughout the week, this majority group has lost regularly, going just 118-136 (46.5%) for -31.6 units over the past three seasons. Almost as if they were trying to bait more people into taking the Over.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL INSTEAD): TB-CHI, BUF-MIN
This Week’s NFL Strength Ratings
The following NFL betting trends are taken from today’s MAKINEN DAILY RATINGS page under the NFL tab on VSiN.com. Listed by team, current line, and difference between rating and current line (in parentheses).
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. INDIANAPOLIS +5.5 (+4.0)
2. WASHINGTON +5.5 (+2.0)
3. LAS VEGAS +10 (+1.6)
4. LA CHARGERS +4.5 (+1.4)
5. MINNESOTA +3.5 (+0.9)
This week’s UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen POWER RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. KANSAS CITY -10 (+1.9)
2. CINCINNATI -3 (+1.5)
3. CHICAGO -6 (+0.8)
4. NEW ENGLAND -3 (+0.5)
5. NEW ORLEANS -3 (+0.1)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. BALTIMORE +10 (+4.7)
2. INDIANAPOLIS +5.5 (+4.5)
3. NY JETS +10 (+2.4)
4. WASHINGTON +5.5 (+1.5)
5. CAROLINA +2.5 (+0.9)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. HOUSTON -4.5 (+1.1)
2. DETROIT -7 (+0.6)
3. SAN FRANCISCO -10 (+0.5)
4. BUFFALO -3.5 (+0.3)
5. CINCINNATI -3 (+0.1)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DEN-CAR OVER 44.5 (+1.6)
2. DAL-IND OVER 51.5 (+1.4)
3(tie). JAX-BAL OVER 39.5 (+1.1)
HOU-LAC OVER 40.5 (+1.1)
5. NYG-PHI OVER 38.5 (+1.0)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen EFFECTIVE STRENGTH RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. CIN-ATL UNDER 52.5 (-2.1)
2. BUF-MIN UNDER 45.5 (-1.5)
3. NYJ-KC UNDER 47.5 (-1.2)
4. DET-MIA UNDER 50.5 (-1.1)
5. GB-NE UNDER 46.5 (-0.4)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED UNDERDOGS according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. PHILADELPHIA +3.5 (+4.1)
2. INDIANAPOLIS +5.5 (+3.5)
3. LAS VEGAS +10 (+2.1)
4. CAROLINA +2.5 (+1.6)
NY JETS +10 (+1.6)
This week’s Top 5 UNDERPRICED FAVORITES according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. CINCINNATI -3 (+2.8)
2. CHICAGO -6 (+2.7)
3. NEW ENGLAND -3 (+1.8)
4. NEW ORLEANS -3 (+1.5)
5. BUFFALO -3.5 (+1.2)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING OVER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. DAL-IND OVER 51.5 (+3.0)
2. DEN-CAR OVER 44.5 (+2.4)
3. HOU-LAC OVER 40.5 (+2.3)
4. LAR-WSH OVER 47.5 (+1.0)
5. TB-CHI OVER 47.5 (+0.5)
This week’s Top 5 BIGGEST TOTAL PROJECTIONS FAVORING UNDER according to the Makinen BETTORS RATINGS projections:
Ratings Matches: 1. NYJ-KC UNDER 47.5 (-3.2)
2. GB-NE UNDER 46.5 (-0.8)
3. BUF-MIN UNDER 45.5 (-0.7)
4. DET-MIA UNDER 50.5 (-0.6)
5. NYG-PHI UNDER 38.5 (-0.3)
