There is no doubt that bettors have to treat betting the preseason in a completely different way than the regular season. There are different motivations, mass resting of starters, and lines all too unfamiliar to what you will see in a few weeks. That said, in going through the recent logs of preseason games for each team, it’s easy to see that certain tendencies jump off the page. That is usually the case when you analyze any set of data in which circumstances are similar. With that in mind, in this piece I am going to share some of the most prominent team-by-team trends that have formed in the preseasons of recent years.

Hopefully you caught my piece from yesterday detailing 10 different preseason league-wide systems that have emerged recently, as that is usually the first place at which I start my own handicapping routine. These team trends are second.

All of these angles will be tracked and qualified on a week-to-week basis this NFL preseason in our upcoming VSiN NFL Preseason Analytics reports, the first of which will be out Wednesday evening to cover the full slate of games this weekend. In the reports, we essentially tell you which teams apply for each system that week and which of these team trends will be in play.

– ARIZONA is on a 2-7 SU and 1-7-1 ATS in preseason games away from home, including its loss in the Hall-of-Fame Game
– ATLANTA is just 2-12-1 SU and 1-14 ATS in its last 15 home preseason games, as well as 12-3 Under the total, scoring just 10.7 PPG
– BALTIMORE is on a 19-5-1 ATS surge in road preseason contests
– BUFFALO is on a 13-3 Over the total surge in preseason home games
– CAROLINA has lost its last five home preseason games SU and ATS
– CHICAGO is on an impressive streak of 6-0 ATS in home preseason games
– CINCINNATI has gone 10-3 ATS in its last 13 road preseason tilts but just 3-12 ATS in its L15 at home
– CLEVELAND boasts an 11-3-1 SU and 13-2 ATS mark in its last 15 preseason contests on the road but is 0-7-1 ATS in the last eight at home
– DALLAS is 2-18 SU and 4-16 ATS on the preseason road since 2012, but has gone Over the total in its last seven at home
– DENVER has won eight straight home preseason contests while going 7-1 ATS
– DETROIT is on skids of 2-11 SU and 2-10 ATS in home preseason games
– GREEN BAY is on a 15-5 SU and ATS run in preseason games at Lambeau Field
– HOUSTON is on a 7-1 SU and ATS road preseason run, holding opponents to 12.8 PPG
– INDIANAPOLIS has gone Over the total in its last seven preseason road games
– JACKSONVILLE is on a 14-6 Under the total road preseason run
– KANSAS CITY has struggled on the preseason road, 3-8 SU and ATS in the last 11
– LA CHARGERS are on a 2-12 SU and 3-10-1 ATS skid in preseason home games
– LA RAMS are on a 9-2 Under the total run in preseason games away from home
– LAS VEGAS is on a 7-2-1 SU and 8-2 ATS preseason home game surge, holding opponents to 13.2 PPG
– MIAMI is on a 7-2 SU and ATS run at home in the preseason, as well as a 14-4 OVER the total surge on the road
– NEW ENGLAND is 14-6 Under the total in its last 20 preseason road affairs
– NEW ORLEANS enters the 2026 exhibition season on a 1-6 ATS skid on the road
– NY GIANTS are 8-2 Over the total in their last 10 preseason home games, scoring 24.7 PPG
– NY JETS have gone 8-1 SU and ATS in their last nine true road preseason games
– PHILADELPHIA is on a 1-7-1 SU and 1-8 ATS skid at home in the preseason
– PITTSBURGH is on a 11-4 SU and ATS run in preseason games away from home
– SEATTLE is on a 1-6 SU and ATS skid in road preseason games
– TAMPA BAY has gone Over the total in the last seven home preseason contests but Under the total in the last six on the road
– TENNESSEE has gone Over the total in the last seven road preseason contests but Under the total in eight of the last 10 at home

– ARIZONA has lost its last six preseason games SU and ATS when coming off a win
– ATLANTA hasn’t won much in the preseason but when it has it is just 1-9-1 SU and 1-10 ATS in the follow-up game
– BALTIMORE is 17-3-1 ATS in the last 21 preseason games when coming off a win
– CAROLINA is on a 2-9 ATS skid in the last 11 preseason games following a win, a trend that will be tested this week at Buffalo
– CHICAGO has gone 7-0 Over the total in last seven games following up a preseason loss
– CLEVELAND is on a crazy 15-2 Under the total surge in preseason games following a win the week prior, allowing just 15.1 PPG
– HOUSTON is 11-1 SU and ATS in the last 12 games rebounding from a preseason loss
– INDIANAPOLIS has followed up its last five preseason wins with another win, both SU & ATS
– JACKSONVILLE is 6-1 SU & ATS in the last seven when following up a preseason win
– LA RAMS are on a 13-6 ATS run following up a preseason win
– MIAMI has rebounded from its last six preseason losses or ties with resounding SU and ATS wins, average margin of victory 22.0 PPG!
– MINNESOTA has followed up its last seven preseason same-season losses with another loss, going 2-5 ATS
– The last nine NY GIANTS preseason games following up an outright win have gone 8-1 Over the total, producing 49.7 PPG
– NEW ORLEANS has gone Under the total in 10 of its last 11 games following up a preseason win
– PHILADELPHIA is just 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six chances trying to win back-to-back preseason games
– SEATTLE has also gone just 1-5 ATS in the last six trying to follow up a preseason win, going Under the total in the last five
– WASHINGTON has gone 11-2 Under the total in the last 13 games following up a preseason loss

– ATLANTA is on 1-9 ATS skid as a preseason favorite, also 8-2 Under the total in that role
– BUFFALO is on a 10-3 SU and 11-2 ATS surge as a preseason underdog
– CHICAGO is 17-4 ATS since 2015 as a preseason underdog
– CINCINNATI is on a 3-10 ATS as preseason chalk
– CLEVELAND is 11-0-1 ATS since 2017, as well as 16-3-1 ATS in the last 20 as a preseason underdog but 1-9 ATS in the last 10 as a favorite
– DALLAS is on a 2-10-2 ATS skid as preseason favorite
– DENVER is 16-4 SU and 14-5-1 ATS in the last 20 as a preseason favorite
– DETROIT is on a 2-6 SU and 1-6-1 ATS slide as preseason chalk
– GREEN BAY has lost eight of the last 10 games SU as preseason dog (2-7-1 ATS), but is 14-4 SU and ATS as favorite since 2014
– INDIANAPOLIS is on a 10-0-3 ATS surge as a preseason underdog. The Colts are also 11-1 Over the total in the last 12 as preseason favorite
– LA CHARGERS are on a 1-5 ATS skid as preseason favorites
– LA RAMS have covered six straight preseason games as underdogs just once in the last 10 preseason games as favorites
– LAS VEGAS is on a 6-1 ATS run as exhibition underdog, but has lost six straight ATS as favorite
– NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 Under the total in the last 17 as preseason underdog
– NEW ORLEANS is 2-11-1 SU and 4-10 ATS in its last 14 as preseason underdog
– NY JETS have converted nine of the last 11 ATS as preseason underdogs
– PHILADELPHIA is on a 2-6-1 SU and 1-7-1 ATS skid when laying points in the preseason
– PITTSBURGH is 10-4 SU & ATS in the last 14 as preseason underdog
– SAN FRANCISCO is on a 10-1-1 ATS surge as preseason underdog but is just 5-13 ATS in the last 18 as chalk
– SEATTLE has gone 0-6-1 SU and 1-6 ATS in the last seven as preseason dog

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Steve Makinen
Steve Makinen
As one of the original founders of StatFox, Steve Makinen has been in the business of sports betting and data analysis for almost 25 years now. In his time in the industry, Steve has worked in a variety of capacities on both sides of the betting counter, from his early days of developing the StatFox business, to almost a decade of oddsmaking consulting for one of the world's leading sportsbooks, to his last seven years as Point Spread Weekly and Analytics Director with VSiN. Steve has always believed that number crunching and handicapping through foundational trends and systems is the secret to success and he shares this data with VSiN readers on a daily basis for all of the major sports.

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