The second of two Monday Night Football matchups in Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season features the Detroit Lions hosting the Seattle Seahawks at Ford Field. We’ll be diving into all of the primetime games this season, and this one isn’t any different. With that in mind, keep reading for betting odds, picks and player props for this exciting showdown. Also, make sure you head over to our Week 4 NFL Betting Hub for a look at all of our NFL betting content.

MORE: Head to the Pro Picks page for best bets from all of our VSiN hosts and analysts!

 

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How To Watch Seahawks vs. Lions

When: Monday, September 30th at 8:15 pm ET

Where: Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan

Channel: ABC/ESPN+

Seahawks vs. Lions Odds

Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of Saturday, September 28th. Look around for the best prices!

Moneyline: Lions -185, Seahawks +154

Spread: Lions -3.5 (-110), Seahawks +3.5 (-110)

Total: Over 46 (-112), Under 46 (-108)

Seahawks vs. Lions Analysis

If you’re looking to play an Over this week, this might be the one. These teams have met in each of the last three seasons and they combined to score an average of 80.3 points per game in those contests. However, it should be noted that Seattle is second in the league in EPA per play allowed (-0.218) this season. Detroit has also been pretty solid defensively, as the team is 12th in EPA per play allowed (-0.030). So, these are different teams than they have been in recent years. But both of these offenses have the ability to be explosive, and it wouldn’t be surprising at all if this turned into a track meet. The Lions actually feel like they are due for an Over, as the Under has hit in all of their games.

As for the spread, it’s hard not to like the Seahawks +3.5 here. It has just been very difficult to throw on this Seattle secondary this season, as the Seahawks are second in the NFL in Dropback EPA per play allowed (-0.255). Of course, it’s hard to keep this Lions passing game down for long, but I trust the Seahawks to come up with a few more key stops over the course of this game. Detroit’s secondary is still rather leaky, with the team being 20th in the NFL in Dropback EPA per play allowed (0.084). That’s going to be hard to overcome against this Seattle offense. Geno Smith is PFF’s fifth-ranked quarterback this season. He’s really in a nice groove in offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb’s system, and it helps having D.K. Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and Jaxon Smith-Njigba to throw to. Covering all three of those receivers will be the biggest challenge of this young season for Detroit.

The only question here is whether the Seahawks have what it takes to slow down the Lions running game. But Mike Macdonald’s group has been solid up front this season. Sure, Seattle’s schedule has been extremely easy, as the team has earned wins over Denver, New England and a Tua-less Miami. But beating the team in front of you is the name of the game, and the Seahawks have likely built up some confidence by now.

It’s also hard to ignore that underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that average 230 or more passing yards per game, and are coming off a game in which they allowed 5.5 or fewer passing yards per attempt, are 33-9 against the spread since 2020.

Seahawks vs. Lions Player Props

Tyler Lockett Over 43.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Lockett is coming off a game in which he had five receptions for 46 yards. He has now gone Over his receiving yard total for this game in two of the three games that Seattle has played this year. Lockett also happens to be facing a matchup that has treated him well in recent years. In Lockett’s last two meetings with the Lions, the veteran wideout has a total of 150 yards. In 2022, he had six catches for 91 yards in a 48-45 win over Detroit, and last year he had eight catches for 59 yards and two touchdowns in a 37-31 victory. I’d just be very surprised if he doesn’t find a way to make an impact in this game, especially with it having the potential to turn into a shootout. So, I’m going with the Over on receiving yards and I’m not thinking twice about it.

Seahawks vs. Lions Pick

I really like the Seahawks in this game, but I like the Lockett player prop more. He has easily cleared the 44-yard mark the last two times he has faced this Lions team, and this Detroit secondary is still extremely beatable in the secondary. Look for Smith to target Lockett rather frequently in this game, as he knows he can trust the veteran to create space and come up with some tough catches.

Pick: Lockett Over 43.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

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