SNF Dolphins vs. Eagles Week 7 odds and predictions
Every week, VSiN will be doing an in-depth dive on the week’s Sunday Night Football game. In Week 7, that game features the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Miami Dolphins at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. This is going to be a very exciting game, as both of these teams have Super Bowl aspirations. With that out of the way, keep reading for our Dolphins vs. Eagles preview, picks and player props.
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How To Watch Dolphins vs. Eagles
Date: Sunday, October 22
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Channel: NBC
Dolphins vs. Eagles Spread
This meeting between the Dolphins and Eagles is one of the best Sunday Night Football games we’ll get all season. Both teams enter Week 7 with 5-1 records and these teams surely believe that they have what it takes to win the Super Bowl this year. However, I’d be lying if I said that I’m not a little concerned about the way Philadelphia has looked this season — especially offensively.
Philadelphia does have two 34-point performances this season, but those came in wins over Minnesota and Washington. Outside of those two games, the team has largely looked inconsistent on that side of the ball. And I think losing Shane Steichen to Indianapolis is a big part of that. New offensive coordinator Brian Johnson just hasn’t looked as comfortable calling plays for this team. I’m sure that will eventually change, as the Eagles are simply loaded offensively. But I have my doubts about Jalen Hurts and Co. doing enough to outscore this Dolphins team this week.
Miami is currently first in the league in EPA per play and it’s by a significant margin. The Dolphins are also shredding opposing defenses in every way imaginable. They’re second in the league in Dropback EPA, with Tua Tagovailoa doing a great job of getting the ball out quickly and also connecting on deep balls to star wideout Tyreek Hill. Meanwhile, the team is also the most effective running team in the league, and it doesn’t seem to matter who is in the backfield. De’Von Achane was lighting things up before going down with a knee injury, but Raheem Mostert has looked just as good. And I’m sure Jeff Wilson Jr., who is expected to return to action this week, will also get in on the fun.
Overall, I just don’t see what Philadelphia will be able to do to keep this Miami offense down. The Eagles are a much better defensive team than the Dolphins, but I think Philadelphia will have a couple of head scratching drives that allows Miami to get off the field in this one. That should allow the Dolphins to really threaten to win this game outright — even in a difficult road environment.
Oddly enough, Miami is just 0-5 straight-up when playing teams with winning records under head coach Mike McDaniel. But the Dolphins are due to change that soon. And I think this is as vulnerable as the Eagles will be, as I trust that their coaching staff will get it together in the second half of the year. But asking an unproven group of coaches to come up with a scheme to beat this specific team is almost unfair.
Dolphins vs. Eagles Total
The Over is 4-2 in the games the Dolphins have played this season, with Miami scoring at least 31 points in four of those contests. The Dolphins have also had two games in which they have scored at least 42 points, and this is one of the most explosive offensive teams in recent memory. So, even with this being something of a difficult matchup for Miami, I don’t think you can rule out the Dolphins putting a big number on the scoreboard.
The Eagles should also be able to score a bunch of points in this game, as the Dolphins are just 27th in the league in Defensive DVOA. So, I do think we’re potentially in for a Sunday night shootout.
The Over also happens to be 6-0 when the Dolphins have played against teams that average at least 130.0 rushing yards per game since McDaniel took over. And those games saw an average of 62.5 total points per game.
Dolphins vs. Eagles Player Props
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Jeff Wilson Jr. Anytime TD Scorere
Mostert has turned into a popular pick to win the Offensive Player of the Year award, but that doesn’t change the fact that McDaniel likes to use multiple running backs to keep his guys fresh. With that in mind, I think there will be a small dose of Wilson in this game — even with him coming off an injury. And Wilson has always been a guy with a nose for the end zone, so I don’t think it’s crazy to think that he’ll score in this one. This game should feature plenty of offense, so multiple guys will get chances. And I like his odds (+310) here.
Dolphins vs. Eagles Prediction
I have been mostly doing leans in these free primetime previews, but I’m occasionally sprinkling in some official plays and including them with my weekly NFL best bets. This week, I happen to like the Dolphins enough to do just that. And I’m actually taking Miami to win this one outright. I just trust the high-powered offense in this specific matchup.
Bet: Dolphins ML (+130)
Head to our Pro Picks page to see how VSiN analysts are betting Dolphins vs. Eagles!
