TNF Seahawks vs. Cowboys Week 13 odds and predictions
Every week, VSiN will be doing an in-depth dive on the week’s Thursday Night Football game. In Week 13, that game features the Dallas Cowboys hosting the Seattle Seahawks at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Last week, the Seahawks got blown out by the San Francisco 49ers on Thanksgiving Day. Meanwhile, the Cowboys beat up on the Washington Commanders in their annual Thanksgiving appearance. Dallas is one of the hottest teams in football right now, but Seattle is a tough team to beat. With that out of the way, keep reading for our Seahawks vs. Cowboys preview, picks and player props.
How To Watch Seahawks vs. Cowboys
Date: Thursday, November 30
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Channel: PRIME VIDEO (Amazon)
Seahawks vs. Cowboys Spread
The Seahawks have lost back-to-back games and weren’t all that competitive in a 31-13 loss to the 49ers on Thanksgiving. However, Seattle isn’t as bad as these last two weeks, and I feel like this line is a little disrespectful. This Seahawks team is currently 17th in the NFL in Total DVOA. The team certainly isn’t anything special but it’s better than what the Cowboys have faced in recent weeks.
People have been throwing a lot of praise in Dallas’ direction lately, with the team having beat up on the New York Giants, Carolina Panthers and Washington Commanders in the last three games. But all three of those opponents were miserable. And the Cowboys really haven’t proven themselves against anybody decent this season. So, this should be a solid test for them.
I just don’t think the Cowboys will find much success running the football in this game, as the Seahawks are well equipped to slow down Tony Pollard. I also don’t think it’s fair to expect Dak Prescott to continue lighting it up the way he has the last few weeks. Prescott has thrown for 17 touchdowns and only two interceptions over the last five weeks, and he’s due for a rough go eventually. Seattle should be able to get some pressure on Prescott in the pocket, and the Seahawks have defensive backs that can make plays on the ball and force him into mistakes.
The real question here is whether Seattle can score some points on this Dallas defense. The Seahawks should be a bit more explosive in the passing game than they were last week. Geno Smith was playing with a bad elbow against the 49ers, and he was also doing so on a short week. Having had a full week of recovery, Smith should be ready to go against Dallas. And Seattle has plenty of talent at the wide receiver position, so there’s no reason to believe he won’t have open pass catchers to throw to.
I also just don’t think you can keep Pete Carroll and the Seahawks down for long. Under Carroll, Seattle is 20-5 against the spread when coming off two or more losses in a row. The team also won those games by an average of 6.9 points per game. The Seahawks are also 9-5 straight-up and 11-3 ATS after scoring 17 or fewer points in their previous two games. So, he tends to get his offenses out of funks. Meanwhile the Cowboys are just 3-8 both SU and ATS against NFC West opponents under Mike McCarthy.
Seahawks vs. Cowboys Total
The Over has hit in four of the last five games the Cowboys have played. A lot of that is because Dallas scored at least 33 points in all four of those games, and the team actually scored at least 43 in three of those five. I do think the Seahawks will do a decent job of defending them, but I’d still be surprised if Dallas is completely shut down. And I am expecting a big bounce back performance from Seattle. That said, I see this game being played with both teams comfortably in the 20’s. That will make it hard for this one to go Under.
The Over also happens to be 2-1 in the last two games that Seattle has played. And it’s 29-12 in the games that the Seahawks have played as underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points under Carroll. The average total points scored in those games also happened to be 50.1 points per game.
Overall, I just wouldn’t want to be on an Under in a Dallas game right now, and I think Seattle’s offense is about to take off down the stretch.
Seahawks vs. Cowboys Player Props
Geno Smith Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+170 – Play to +150)
I know the Cowboys defense has been relentless this year, but i still find it shocking that you can get these odds on Smith to throw for just two touchdowns. Smith has had at least two touchdowns through the air in four of the games he has played this season, and he did so 14 times last season. It feels like it’s only a matter of time before he starts playing better, and the fact his elbow is getting better should help. It’s also possible that the Cowboys jump out to a big lead here. That would force Seattle to throw often to try and get back into this, paving the way for this to potentially hit in garbage time.
Seahawks vs. Cowboys Prediction
I think there’s a good chance the Cowboys win this game, but I’m not sure I’m on board with having Dallas as this big of a favorite. The Seahawks have been disappointing in recent weeks, but this is still a team that should make a push for the playoffs. I think they’ll play the Cowboys a lot closer than expected, and I wouldn’t even be surprised if they have a chance to win this thing late.
Lean: Seahawks +9
Head to our Pro Picks page to see how VSiN analysts are betting Seahawks vs. Cowboys!