Week 10 NFL Best Bets and Props from Mike Somich:

Let’s take a look at my Week 10 NFL best bets:

 

***Top NFL Resources***

*Join thousands of other sports bettors and unlock access to picks, public betting splits data, & the VSiN live video broadcast by upgrading to VSiN Pro. Grab your first month for less than $10.*

Buffalo Bills (-4; 47) vs. Indianapolis Colts

Joe Flacco was anything but impressive in his first start as the actual starter for the Colts, but some of that falls on the coaching staff. They simply ran the ball way too much on anticipated downs and could not get the passing game going on 2nd and 3rd and long. They face a more straightforward and weaker Bills defense this week, which should allow them to put points on the board.

On the other side of the ball, this Bills offense projects to have a field day against a Colts defense that, while they are getting healthy, still simply cannot stop the pass. Even if Cooper does not go for the Bills, Shakir and Coleman project to have a strong game in this spot. Sure feels like Buffalo picks their number, and the Colts are forced into chase mode where they should have some success. I have this total Over 48.5, so let’s jump on the edge before we lose the key of 47.

Week 10 NFL Best Bet: Over 47

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Washington Commanders (-2.5; 45)

This game largely hinges on who we should believe in more: the Commanders’ offense or the Steelers’ defense.

The Commanders’ offense is on pace to be one of the best in the modern-day NFL. They are currently reaching the red zone on a ridiculous 49% of their drives, but the competition has not been great. The Steelers’ defense has also been up to the task all season, ranking in the top 10 in nearly every category as well. The key will be whether they can turn over Jayden Daniels and this offense. They have been ball hawks, specifically in their own end, which drastically helps a defense.

I have a slight edge to the Steelers’ offense over the Commanders’ defense, but it’s not by a lot, and I don’t want any part of this Steelers team in catch-up mode.

I do not believe this is where Daniels turns into a pumpkin. Let’s lay it before the 3’s start to pop back up again.

Week 10 NFL Best Bet: Commanders -2.5

Prop Plays

Tyrone Tracy Over 73.5 Rush Yards

The Giants have an unrelenting desire to rush the football. Just look at Brian Daboll’s comments down 14 heading into the locker room after the first half last week. The Panthers have an unrelenting need to give up rushing yards. This is a great matchup for newly minted lead back Tracy, who should get the lion’s share of the carries in Germany.

Derek Carr Over 202.5 Passing Yards         

Yes, I am aware that the whole WR core is banged up, but 203 passing yards is just too low to pass up. I have him projected for over 230 yards, which is right around the total he put up last week without any top wide receivers available either. The Falcons are a great team to play against as well. They score and cannot rush the passer—a perfect combination when playing the Over in passing yards.

Other Plays
Maye Over 29.5 Rushing Yards
Shakir Over 54.5 Receiving Yards

For more NFL Week 10 analysis and best bets, visit the NFL Week 10 Hub exclusively on VSiN.

RELATED ARTICLESMORE FROM AUTHOR