2024 Australian Open Best Bets – Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic
The 2023 tennis season feels like it ended just yesterday, but the 2024 Australian Open semifinals are already here. We’re going to be treated to some tremendous action in Melbourne Park over the next couple of days. That starts with a meeting between Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic on the men’s side. Meanwhile, we’ll see Coco Gauff take on Aryna Sabalenka on the women’s side. Throughout the course of the 2024 tennis season, VSiN will have you covered with daily best bet write-ups for some of the biggest events of the year. That continues with the end of the 2024 Australian Open. Keep reading for all of my best bets on these exciting match-ups.
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2024 Record: 36-34 (+4.66 units)
Coco Gauff vs. Aryna Sabalenka
A lot of people are going to bet on Gauff because she beat Sabalenka in the 2023 US Open final. However, this match won’t be played in New York, where the crowd really got to Sabalenka. She was spraying unforced errors and the crowd was cheering louder and louder with every miss. That’s not how tennis is supposed to be played, and Sabalenka likely won’t need to deal with that at the Australian Open. This match-up should come down to the actual battle between the lines.
Sabalenka’s power should be an issue for Gauff. The Belarusian has the ability to pound the ball and move Gauff wherever she wants on the court. And Gauff is coming off a match in which her game completely got away from her. So, she could be lacking in confidence right now. If that’s the case, she has no shot here. Sabalenka has also turned her serve into one of her biggest strengths. She has been untouchable with the ball on her racquet since the start of 2024. That’s a big change from just two years ago.
This just feels like a match with the potential to be a little lopsided. Sabalenka has the edge when it comes to both serving and returning. She also has the motivation after the way the US Open went. And Sabalenka is the defending Australian Open champ. She loves playing Down Under.
Bet: Sabalenka -2.5 Games (-120 – 2 units) – WIN
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic
I have a future on Sinner to win the Australian Open, and I genuinely love his chances here. With that in mind, I wouldn’t hate a Sinner moneyline play. But my favorite pick for this match is the Over. In the first meeting between these two at the ATP Finals, Sinner earned a 7-5, 6-7 (5), 7-6 (2) win. Sinner also earned a 6-2, 2-6, 7-5 win over Djokovic in the Davis Cup a week later. These two have just played a lot of lengthy sets against one another, and the end of the 2023 season suggests that Sinner has leveled the playing field against the 24-time Grand Slam champion.
Djokovic has beaten up on Sinner at majors, but the fact that the Italian got two wins over him in a week should give him plenty of confidence. He now knows that his best level is good enough to beat the Serbian, and that should allow him to go out and play a great match here. But Djokovic isn’t going down without a real fight, especially in a tournament he has won 10 times. So, I’m keeping it simple and playing the Over in this one. I think there’s a real shot this goes to five sets, but I can also see a four-set match with a tiebreaker. That would put the Over well within reach.
Bet: Over 39.5 Games (-110)
Alexander Zverev vs. Daniil Medvedev
Medvedev is completely exhausted after a grueling five-set win over Hubert Hurkacz. That said, I wouldn’t blame anybody for taking Zverev at plus-money odds as a hedge on the Medvedev future (+1100 to win the Australian Open) I gave out before this tournament. I’m personally going to let it ride, as this match-up has been kind to Medvedev in the past. I also think Zverev likely has some tired legs as well. But I don’t hate being a little safer at this point in the tournament. So, if you wanna take Zverev to win a unit or so before hedging the final, that’s not a bad idea at all.
