Amanda Anisimova and Iga Swiatek will meet in the 2025 Wimbledon finals on Saturday, July 12th. Anisimova knocked out Aryna Sabalenka, the betting favorite to win this tournament, in the semifinals. She’s in some incredible form heading into this match at the All England Club’s Centre Court, but so is Swiatek. The five-time Grand Slam champion, and former world No. 1, has found her grass-court footing, and she’s looking to win her first major of the year. So, this is going to be an exciting match at SW19, and we’ll get into all of it below. Keep reading for an Anisimova vs. Swiatek betting preview.
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Amanda Anisimova vs. Iga Swiatek Odds
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook accurate as of Thursday, July 10th at 4:30 pm ET. Shop around for the best prices!
Moneyline: Swiatek -240, Anisimova +185
Spread: Swiatek -3.5 Games (-120), Anisimova +3.5 Games (-115)
Total: Over 22.5 Games (-105), Under 22.5 Games (-130)
How To Watch Amanda Anisimova vs. Iga Swiatek
Where: All England Club in London, England
When: Saturday, July 12th
Channel: ESPN / ABC
Amanda Anisimova vs. Iga Swiatek Predictions
If you tailed my pre-tournament future on Swiatek to win this event at +800, I’d suggest putting two units on Anisimova at +188 odds as a hedge. That would mean winning 2.76 units if Anisimova wins or 6 units if Swiatek wins. In my mind, that’s an awesome split in a match that I do think Swiatek will win. My lean in this one is Swiatek to cover a 2.5-game spread at -145.
Anisimova doesn’t just deserve flowers for her win over Sabalenka, she deserves a whole garden. The American was on cruise control for a set and a half in that one, ripping her gorgeous two-handed backhand and doing a good job of redirecting everything Sabalenka blasted her way. We then saw Anisimova get a little tight, getting broken in a loose service game that ended up costing her Set 2. She then got broken to start Set 3.
It was starting to look like Anisimova’s history of mental lapses was about to cost her a spot in the Wimbledon final. But Anisimova locked back in, got her break back and then got another. Sabalenka did break Anisimova back when the American was serving for the match at 5-3, but the 23-year-old got the break right back to win the match. In the end, it was a performance that showcased her tremendous quick-strike tennis, but also her improved mental strength.
In theory, Anisimova should be a really tough opponent for Swiatek now. When she’s on, she has big-time power from both wings, plus she goes big on her serve and takes risks as a returner. In the past, all of that would be enough to rattle Swiatek, who has had her struggles with some of the game’s bigger swingers from the back of the court. The issue is that Swiatek looks like a different person this week. She beat up on Danielle Collins, Clara Tauson and Liudmila Samsonova before what looked like a 6-2, 6-0 practice session against Belinda Bencic in the semifinals. And those three previous wins stand out because all three are somewhat similar to Anisimova.
Swiatek simply hasn’t had as much trouble fighting power with power over the last couple of weeks. She’s worrying about her own side of the net, playing aggressively herself and doing so with some outrageous precision. Seriously, as both a ball striker and server, Swiatek has done some special things at SW19 this year, and I just don’t think that’s going to stop now.
Of course, it is fair to mention that Swiatek will have some big expectations to manage in this match, marking the first time all tournament in which she’ll have to do that. We normally expect nothing from her on this surface, but she now heads into the final of a major as a big favorite. But I trust the five-time Grand Slam champion to do a better job of managing her emotions than Anisimova, who is playing in the first major final of her career.
I also think this is a match in which Swiatek has a bunch of on-court advantages. The Pole is a better server, returner and mover. Also, her forehand is much more reliable than Anisimova’s. I have also been praising Anisimova’s backhand all week, as it’s one of the biggest weapons in the women’s game. However, Swiatek is one of the only players on the planet that might be better than her from that wing.
It just feels like it’ll take a masterclass from Anisimova to win this match, and I’m not willing to completely rule that out. That’s why I’m not letting my Swiatek play ride. But it does feel a bit unlikely. And there’s undoubtedly a world in which Swiatek smothers her with her relentless attacking mindset. A good argument can be made that this has been one of the best six-match stretches of the 24-year-old’s career, and she’s pretty close to untouchable when she’s this hot. That’s why I’d also be interested in any play that pays Swiatek out for a 6-0, 6-1 or 6-2 set, which is a prop that is sometimes available in big matches. Swiatek has had eight of those sets this tournament.
Lean: Swiatek -2.5 Games (-145)
FUTURE HEDGE: Anisimova ML (+188 – 2 units)
