French Open best bets for Tuesday, June 4th
We’re in the thick of the second major of this exciting 2024 tennis season, as the top ATP and WTA players in the world are in Paris for the 2024 French Open. The action at Roland Garros should be stellar over the next week, so now isn’t the time to stop watching. I’ll be doing my daily tennis best bets until we see two champions crowned. So, keep reading for some of my favorite plays for Day 10 of the French Open, which will be played on Tuesday, June 4th.
I’d also strongly suggest coming back to this story throughout the day. I try to write up as many matches as I can in advance, but it’s hard to do that in an international sport. I also like to throw in some Challenger-level bets. That said, I’ll probably be adding picks to the bottom of the story. I’ll also throw them on the Pro Picks page.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!
2024 Record: 342-355 (+29.37 units)
Ons Jabeur vs. Coco Gauff
Gauff rolled Jabeur when the two met at the WTA Finals last year, coming away with a 6-0, 6-1 victory. But that was during a really brutal stretch for Jabeur, and it was one that extended into the early portion of 2024. I was actually fading the Tunisian quite a bit during that. However, Jabeur has won eight of her last 11 matches and is looking a lot like the player that made it to three Grand Slam finals. With that in mind, the odds on this match don’t really match up with what we’ve seen from these players lately.
Jabeur has had a tougher draw than Gauff to this point, but she has dropped only one set in Paris. Jabeur also happened to play her cleanest match yet against Clara Tauson last round. Jabeur made a good percentage of her first serves in that match, which was a problem area for her earlier in the tournament. If she can hit her spots against Gauff, I really like her chances of making this a battle. I know Gauff hasn’t dropped a set in this tournament, but she also hasn’t faced anybody dangerous. And she should consider herself very lucky because of that. Gauff’s play was a little shaky heading into the French Open, as her serve and forehand were both giving her trouble. Well, she hasn’t faced anybody that can take advantage of that. Jabeur can.
Jabeur is a smart enough player to pepper Gauff’s forehand side, which can occasionally leak unforced errors in a major way. Jabeur will also utilize her world-class touch to keep Gauff off balance throughout this one. On top of that, Jabeur will be aggressive in attacking any second serves she sees here. She was up and attacking Tauson’s serve last match, and she’ll likely do some similar things here. She knows she can’t afford to be conservative against Gauff.
This is a match that could ultimately go Gauff’s way, and the American’s elite speed might ultimately get her across the finish line. She should do a better job than most of tracking down Jabeur’s shots and playing extra balls. But this is a play in which the numbers are simply too good to pass on. There is not much that separates these two players, who are both in the WTA’s second tier when they’re playing their best tennis. That said, give me all the plus-money odds.
Bet: Jabeur +1.5 Sets (+115) & Jabeur ML (+340 – 0.5 units)
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Carlos Alcaraz
This has been a one-sided matchup in the past, with Alcaraz having won all five of their previous head-to-head matchups. The last three of those happened to be on clay, and they all came in either Barcelona or Paris. That’s a clear edge to Alcaraz on slow-bouncing clay, and Alcaraz has also won six sets in a row against the Greek star. However, it is hard to overlook the fact that Tsitsipas has had a great clay-court season, including a title run in Monte Carlo and a runner-up finish in Barcelona. And Tsitsipas is also 24-5 on clay in the last 52 weeks.
I get that this might be a bad matchup for Tsitsipas, and perhaps none of this 2024 success for the 25-year-old matters. But I do weigh recent form pretty heavily, and Tsitsipas was playing as well as anyone coming into this tournament. Meanwhile, Alcaraz was injured in the weeks leading up to this tournament, and he came into it with real concerns about his forearm. So far, the Spaniard has looked tremendous, but he also hasn’t faced anybody like Tsitsipas. And Alcaraz’s serve has been a real weakness at times, and that has manifested itself in this event. Considering Tsitsipas’ serve is one of the biggest weapons on tour, I just don’t think you can rule out the Greek star winning a set — or even two.
Make no mistake about it, I think Alcaraz is going to find a way to win this match. He’s better than anyone in the men’s game when it comes to attacking Tsitsipas’ weak backhand. But I do think it could take some time for Alcaraz to find a rhythm here, as he hasn’t played a big match in quite some time. And a player with Alcaraz’s serve can always lose a set to somebody with a big one. So, this is a bet on Tsitsipas playing a very clean set at some point in this match. Maybe it’ll even be a tiebreaker.
These odds were also a lot more favorable than just taking Tsitsipas +2.5 sets, which is interesting when you consider how unlikely it is that he’d ever beat Alcaraz in straights.
Bet: Over 3.5 Sets (-134 – 1.5 units)
Added Plays
Sumit Nagal ML (-165) vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili [Heilbronn Challenger]
Adrian Andreev ML (-154) vs. Nerman Fatic [Zagreb Challenger]
PARLAY: Daniel Evans ML vs. Adam Walton + Kyle Edmund ML vs. Joao Fonseca (+100 – 1.5 units) [Surbiton Challenger]
Ethan Quinn ML (-138 – 1.5 units) vs. Bernard Tomic [Tyler Challenger] CANCELLED
Moerani Bouzige +4.5 Games (-167) vs. Bruno Kuzuhara [Tyler Challenger]
Monday’s Plays
Tennis Links
