Tennis Best Bets: Miami Open picks and predictions for Friday, March 22

Zachary Cohen dives into his favorite Miami Open tennis best bets for Friday, March 22nd.

Andy Murray defeats David Goffin during round one of the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, Calif., on Wednesday, March 6, 2024.

Miami open preview and tennis best bets for Friday, March 22

The second half of the “Sunshine Double” is the Miami Open, which takes place at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida over the next two weeks. This tournament, much like the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, is one of the biggest non-majors of the year. So, even though Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal aren’t in the Miami Open field, this is still a loaded event for both the men and the women. With that in mind, we’ll have you covered with tennis best bets throughout. That continues with picks for Friday, March 22nd. Keep reading for some of my favorite plays of the day, but make sure you check the Pro Picks page for more. I like to see how the odds move throughout the day and I tend to add a few picks each day.

MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!


2023 Results: 275-249 (+47.53 units)
2024 Results: 158-183 (+2.97 units)

Andy Murray vs. Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Murray scored a big win over Matteo Berrettini in his first Miami Open match. The three-time Grand Slam champion served at a very high level, which is something he has now done in each of his last few matches. The Brit is just playing some good tennis right now, which is why I’m looking for him to snap a two-match losing streak to Etcheverry. The Argentine hasn’t played in over a month, as he suffered a hamstring injury against Nicolas Jarry at the Argentina Open. With that in mind, I don’t see him coming into this event and instantly finding his form. And his edge over Murray comes from his aggressive play along the baseline. If he’s just a little off from back there, Murray will take advantage of it.

Bet: Murray ML (-150 – 1.5 units)

Jack Draper vs. Nicolas Jarry

Draper is probably a better all-around player than Jarry, but these odds seem a bit off. Jarry hasn’t had a great season thus far, but he has a booming serve and the ability to really dictate play from the baseline. If he’s playing at anything close to his best level, this is a match that should be extremely competitive. On top of that, Draper is a player with serious conditioning concerns. As an overweight individual, I won’t sit here and tell you he’s out of shape. Draper is actually extremely chiseled and looks like he can star in a Marvel movie. But he has had problems battling humidity throughout his career. So, if this ends up being a physical match, Jarry should outlast him. That’s why I’m playing Jarry to win a set and also sprinkling the moneyline. I don’t think it’s a guarantee that Draper even finishes this match.

Bet: Jarry +1.5 Sets (-128 – 1.5 units) & Jarry ML (+240 – 0.5 units)

Thursday’s Plays

Harold Mayot ML (+130 – 1.5 units) vs. Daniel Altmaier

Kei Nishikori ML (+140) vs. Sebastian Ofner

Dan Evans ML (+132 – 2 units) vs. Lorenzo Sonego

Daria Saville ML (-130 – 1.5 units) vs. Dayana Yastremska

Facundo Diaz Acosta ML (+162 – 1.5 units) vs. Alexei Popyrin

Emilio Nava (+120) vs. Roberto Bautista Agut

Diana Shnaider ML (+100 – 1.5 units) vs. Madison Keys

Katerina Siniakova +1.5 Sets (-142 – 1.5 units) vs. Qinwen Zheng

Katerina Siniakova ML (175 – 0.5 units) vs. Qinwen Zheng

Peyton Stearns +3.5 Games (-112 – 2 units) vs. Victoria Azarenka

VSiN Tennis Betting Splits

Tennis Odds

Gill Alexander’s Beating The Book Podcast