US Open predictions and best bets for Day 2 – August 25th:
We have reached the final major of the 2025 tennis season, as the US Open is underway from the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. I’m going to be providing you with daily tennis best bets throughout the course of this event, so make sure you’re coming back to VSiN if you’re looking to bet on the action in Flushing Meadows, New York. We’ll continue with some Day 2 picks and predictions for Monday, August 25th.
I also post more tennis plays on the Pro Picks page. I occasionally add picks throughout the day, as I like to see how odds are moving. So, keep checking that page every couple of hours if you want more of my action. That’s also where you’ll find picks from Gill Alexander, who does great work handicapping tennis on A Numbers Game. You can watch Gill analyze tennis Monday to Friday from 10:00 am to noon ET. That said, if you like tennis, you might want to consider becoming a VSiN Pro.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts are betting!
Lloyd Harris vs. Sebastian Baez
I’m a little nervous about Harris’ body holding up in a best-of-five match, as he has struggled to finish matches over the last couple of years. However, if he can find a way to keep himself somewhat fresh, it’s hard to imagine him losing to Baez. While Baez has been as has as No. 18 in the ATP rankings, he’s the definition of a “clay-court merchant.” The Argentine is 80-47 on clay at the ATP level, but he’s a combined 25-59 on hard courts and grass courts. Baez just doesn’t have a good enough serve to consistently win on quicker surfaces, and his topspin-heavy game isn’t as effective off clay.
Harris is a good hard-court competitor. He got through qualifying with wins over Daniel Evans, Fajing Sun and Daniel Merida Aguilar, and he’s 62-55 on this surface at the ATP level. Harris has a pretty big serve, and he pairs that with some pop along the baseline. Realistically, that should be enough to give Baez some problems here. Harris should be able to bully him around from the back of the court, and I trust the South African to do just enough as a returner to advance to the second round.
Bet: Harris ML (-179 – 1.5 units)
Cameron Norrie vs. Sebastian Korda
After taking nearly three months off between the French Open and last week’s tournament in Winston-Salem, I’m struggling to understand why Korda is such a heavy favorite against Norrie. Korda did look pretty good last week, as he earned straight-set wins over Vit Kopriva and Miomir Kecmanovic and also gutted out a three-set win over Kamil Majchrzak. However, facing Norrie, one of the toughest competitors in the sport, in a best-of-five match will be a completely different challenge.
Korda hasn’t proven to be all that tough mentally throughout his career, and we know his body has given him some issues over the years. Well, facing Norrie in what should be a very physical match could make the American rather uncomfortable.
Norrie didn’t play particularly well in the hard-court swing leading up this event, but he did win two matches in Washington DC. And overall, the Brit is a gamer, as he levels up in big matches and forces his opponents to come up with special stuff. I’ll believe Korda can do that when I see it.
All thing considered, I just don’t agree with Norrie having a 36.36% implied probability of winning this match. It’s a little closer to a coin flip for me.
Bet: Norrie ML (+175)
Hugo Dellien vs. Kamil Majchrzak
I’d be lying if I said I had in-depth thoughts on this meeting between Dellien and Majchrzak, but this is simply a bet on principle. I understand Majchrzak is a talented player, and I know his current ranking of 78th in the world doesn’t do him justice. Majchrzak is also coming off a Challenger-level title and a solid showing in Winston-Salem, so the form is there. I just don’t get how he’s at the point where he’s a -1250 moneyline favorite against a player that is just as accomplished as he is. Prices like that are generally reserved for the best of the best.
Dellien isn’t much of a hard-court player, so this is a match I’m fully expecting Majchrzak to win. But I’m putting a half-unit on Dellien to win a set at +134 odds. I think the 32-year-old is good enough to serve his way into a competitive set or two, and I don’t think Majchrzak should be expected to just completely dismantle this opponent.
Bet: Dellien To Win A Set (+134 – 0.5 units)
Claire Liu vs. Cristina Bucsa
Liu is currently No. 374 in the WTA rankings, but she has been as high as No. 52. And she really looked close to her peak level in qualifying. Liu earned straight-set wins over Katarzyna Kawa, Maddison Inglis and Veronika Erjavec, and all of those players probably liked their chances of getting into the main draw.
Liu is just very tough to serve against, as she’s very aggressive as a returner. She also has a pretty well-rounded game from the back of the court, and she doesn’t mind coming to the net to finish points. Liu also happens to have a very reasonable first-round draw.
Bucsa is just 3-5 since getting back on hard courts in Washington DC, and all three of the wins came in qualifying matches. Bucsa is just 9-14 in main-draw WTA-level matches in 2025, and she’s also just 22-39 on hard courts at this level. That said, this is a very winnable match for Liu, who shouldn’t be priced as this big of an underdog.
Bet: Liu ML (+132 – 1.5 units)
Added Plays
I have plays on three other matches on the Pro Picks page for Sunday, August 24th right now.
I usually have A LOT MORE on the Pro Picks page. Those plays count towards my record and have been a big part of my success this season. Make sure you check them out. I’ll probably add a few more over there, so refresh that page throughout the day if you’re looking for action.
