The 2026 edition of Wimbledon is officially underway at the All England Club in London. We’ve broken down the day’s best tennis betting picks, digging into matchup tactics, surface tendencies, and current form to find the sharpest edges on the board. Whether you’re betting the moneyline, game spread, set spread, or total, our 2026 Wimbledon best bets are designed to help you profit. I’m dropping some of my favorite plays for Friday, July 3 below, but make sure you also monitor the picks page. I usually have a few more picks over there, plus I occasionally add plays based on the way lines are moving. That’s also where Gill Alexander posts his bets.
Roman Safiullin vs. Joao Fonseca
Nikola Bartunkova vs. Barbora Krejcikova
Safiullin could run out of gas soon. The Russian has played three five-set matches in a row, as his match against Jerome Kym in qualifying also went the distance. That can easily take a toll on a player. However, I still like Safiullin to win at least one set against Fonseca. The Russian has a solid serve and a big baseline game. He also played nearly as much grass-court tennis in the month of June as Fonseca has played in his career. And the last one is really the big one for me. If you’ve been reading my work for a while, you should know that I am extremely high on Fonseca. But as of right now, grass isn’t his surface. I’m not going to read too much into his straight-set wins over two weak opponents.
As the second leg of this parlay, I’m taking Krejcikova to beat Bartunkova. This is an intriguing all-Czech battle, and Bartunkova is a player that has sky-high potential. However, it can be hard battling an older player from your own country. How will Bartunkova handle the nerves? Also, Krejcikova is just a wagon on grass. She’s now 28-14 on this surface in her career, she won a Wimbledon title in 2024, and her no-nonsense style should keep her from getting bounced here. The only concern is health. She looked uncomfortable against Mirra Andreeva in the second round, but she was able to fight through it. Injuries have gotten the better of Krejcikova throughout her career, so let’s hope she can shake it off.
PARLAY: Safiullin +2.5 Sets & Krejcikova ML (+107)
MORE: I have WAY more picks for this Wimbledon slate. VSiN Pro subscribers can check them out here!
Marton Fucsovics vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
It’s a little juicy to go Over on 3.5 sets in the Fucsovics-Davidovich Fokina match, but that’s exactly where I’m going with it. Fucsovics hasn’t had to play too much through two rounds, so he should be ready to throw everything at this war in physicality against Davidovich Fokina. And realistically, given Davidovich Fokina’s propensity for playing long, marathon-style matches in majors, it’s hard to expect this ending in Set 3.
I also like that Fucsovics’ main weapon on the court is his forehand. He’s going to look to go cross court into the shaky Davidovich Fokina forehand as often as possible. The Hungarian just has to lock in and focus on making first serves. If he does, he should find a way to keep this rather close.
Bet: Over 3.5 Sets (-159)
Claire Liu vs. Coco Gauff
In Gauff’s win over Solana Sierra last round, we saw the American make only 54% of her first serves. She also relied pretty much exclusively on her defense to get her through that one, as Sierra had 22 winners to 45 unforced errors. Well, if Gauff isn’t serving well or playing efficient quick-strike tennis, she’s going to be highly beatable in the coming rounds. So, why not take a shot on Liu to keep this close — and possibly steal a win?
Liu comes into this one having won 14 of her last 16 matches. Sure, most of those matches were played on clay, and some of them were played in W75s. However, winning is winning. Liu is coming into this one with some confidence, and her game is strong on this surface. Liu has a good backhand, a strong transition game, and an ability to take time away from opponents. As long as she doesn’t completely implode, she has the ability to frustrate Gauff.
Bet: Liu +5.5 Games (-108), Liu +1.5 Sets (+190 – 0.5 units), Liu ML (+600 – 0.1 units)
2026 W-L Record: 901-1034 (+12.41 units)
Note: If you’re wondering why the record/units got better, it’s because the delayed PCB-Jodar Over cashed. Plus, the Thursday loss was miniscule.
