The third major of the 2025 tennis season is here, as the best players in the world are at the All England Club in London for Wimbledon. This is the lone grass-court major of the year — and only grass event above the 500 level — and it happens to be one of the most prestigious events in sports.
Keep reading for some tournament futures for the action in London, and make sure you come back to VSiN for daily tennis best bets. I’ll be handicapping the men’s and women’s action all throughout the event. Also, make sure you’re checking out the picks page for all of my action for smaller tournaments and Challengers. Gill Alexander will also be dishing out his favorite picks on that page, but make sure you catch his analysis on A Numbers Game — which is on Monday to Friday on our live VSiN programming. We cover everything here at VSiN, which is why we’re known as “The Sports Betting Network.” Tennis is a big part of that, so subscribe now and get ready for a fun summer.
Wimbledon Women’s Futures
Madison Keys to win Quarter 1 (BetMGM: +500) & Madison Keys to win Wimbledon (DraftKings: 20-1) – I thought Keys was going to win her first major at last year’s Wimbledon. I had her to win her quarter and win the tournament, but she ended up getting injured in a close match against eventual runner-up Jasmine Paolini. That was a match that really felt like it was going Keys’ way, but it wasn’t meant to be. Well, Keys went out and won her maiden Grand Slam at the 2025 Australian Open, and some service changes — and equipment changes — helped her do that. Keys is playing the best tennis of her life in 2025, as her 76.9% winning percentage is a career-high. And her playing style has always made her a threat on grass, where she is 50-18 in her career.
Keys’ draw is a mix of good and bad. The toughest opponents she’ll face on her way to the quarterfinals are likely Olga Danilovic and Leylah Fernandez. That’s pretty favorable. The problem is that she’ll likely see Aryna Sabalenka or Marketa Vondrousova in the quarters. Those are two tough opponents. But grabbing Keys at +500 puts you in a good position to monetize your ticket as long as she’s in that match. And if anything crazy happens along the way, perhaps she’ll end up being favored at that point.
Also, if Keys does win the quarter, I have a hard time seeing her losing to the winner of Quarter 2. That’s why I’d take the 20-1 and risk a full unit. She can win this tournament.
Amanda Anisimova to win Quarter 2 (DraftKings: +550 – 0.5 units) – If you’re looking to take some shots, Quarters 2 and 3 offer the most opportunity. Well, in Quarter 2, I’m rolling with Anisimova. The American is 6-2 on grass this season, and her ability to pummel the ball from the back of the court makes her tough to beat on this surface. She just has the ability to push her opponents side to side, or deep in the court, with her otherworldly power. From there, there’s a lot of open green to hit winners. Anisimova also has a pretty reasonable draw. She’ll face Yulia Putintseva in the first round, which is actually somewhat tough as far as opening-round matches go. But Round 2 should be easy, Round 3 is probably a very winnable match against Beatriz Haddad Maia and then Round 4 will likely be Jasmine Paolini or Linda Noskova. I’ll take her against either of them, especially with Paolini out of form. The bottom of this quarter also happens to be shaky, with Qinwen Zheng, Diana Shnaider, Ons Jabeur and Jelena Ostapenko looking like the main players. Zheng is the scariest one there, but she’s currently dealing with a bad back. I’m also going to take her just in case, hoping to secure the Q2 winner when the quarters come around.
Qinwen Zheng to win Quarter 2 (DraftKings: +600 – 0.5 units) – As previously mentioned, I’m taking a small flier on Zheng. I do think Anisimova will make the semis here, but Zheng’s peak level is better than anybody else’s in this quarter. And I was impressed with the 2024 Olympic gold medalist’s grass-court form before she backed out of Berlin. With her ability to serve, blast baseline shots and move around the court, there’s no reason she can’t become a force on this surface eventually.
Jessica Pegula to win Quarter 3 (bet365: +450) & Jessica Pegula to win Wimbledon (FanDuel: 28-1 – 0.25 units) – Pegula is in Andreeva’s quarter, but the 18-year-old has lost three of her last four matches and has a losing record on grass. That said, a good argument can be made that Pegula, who played extremely well in Bad Homburg, is the most reliable player in Quarter 3. But I’m not just taking the American to win the quarter; I’m also sprinkling a little something on Pegula to win the tournament. I just feel like 28-1 is a little disrespectful for a player that made the final at last year’s US Open. I know Pegula hasn’t had too much success on grass throughout her career, but her ability to hit big, flat strokes from the baseline should translate to some real success on this surface eventually. Pegula’s 74.6% hold percentage is also the highest she has had in her career, and the same can be said for her 62.0% first serve percentage. She’s winning more easy points on her serve than ever, and that should be huge at Wimbledon.
Emma Navarro to win Quarter 3 (BetMGM: +700 – 0.5 units): Navarro is another player I can see emerging from a weak Quarter 3. I would like Pegula’s chances of beating her if the two meet in the quarterfinals, but I do think there’s a good chance Navarro gets there. And if I do happen to lose Pegula early, I wouldn’t mind having another horse in the race. Navarro has had an up-and-down season, but she made the quarterfinals here last year. And she looked to be finding her game before losing a close match to Pegula in Bad Homburg.
Iga Swiatek to win Wimbledon (FanDuel: +800) – Swiatek looked awesome in Bad Homburg, where she dusted Paolini in a 6-1, 6-3 win in the semifinals. That was an impressive win considering Paolini was the runner-up here last year. And maybe this shouldn’t be that surprising? Swiatek hired coach Wim Fissette to help her play better tennis off clay, and we saw some of it working early in the year. Swiatek, who normally struggles in the fast conditions at the Australian Open, had a match point in her semi-final loss to Keys. And all throughout that event, she looked more dangerous and comfortable with the court speeds. Well, perhaps the down year on clay should have been expected, and maybe we’re about to see the Pole make a run on grass at a major for the first time. She has looked the part of a former world No. 1 in the run up to this event, and I’m not as high on Elena Rybakina as others. So, I think Swiatek can beat the former Wimbledon champion in the fourth round, and I have very little faith in Coco Gauff being there for a meeting in the quarterfinals.
NOTE: I might add Liudmila Samsonova to reach the quarterfinals, if that becomes available. I love her power game on grass, and she’d face Coco Gauff in the fourth round. That’s a match Samsonova can win. Gauff has never been beyond the fourth round at Wimbledon, and it’s harder for the American to grind out wins on a surface that favors aggressive tennis.
Wimbledon Men’s Futures
Novak Djokovic to win Quarter 2 (BetMGM: +140 – 1.5 units) & Novak Djokovic to win Wimbledon (BetMGM: +650 – 0.5 units) – Djokovic really should win Quarter 2. Jack Draper is in the top half of the quarter, but Draper didn’t look all that great at Queen’s Club. And the Brit has some talented players near him in the draw, as he could face Marin Cilic, Alexander Bublik and Jakub Mensik all before the quarterfinals. So, I wouldn’t even be surprised if he’s bounced early. But I also just don’t have much faith in him beating Djokovic in a high-pressure match — at least on this surface.
Djokovic has been the Wimbledon runner-up in each of the last two years, meaning he has been in the finals at the All England Club six times in a row. He also reached last year’s final despite being a few weeks removed from knee surgery. That was an impressive feat. And even if he hasn’t looked as good as usual in 2025, he should be in better shape than he was last year. I also just can’t find anybody that I see beating Djokovic early in the tournament. That includes Alex de Minaur, who hasn’t been playing well lately.
Djokovic’s pinpoint serving and brilliant ball striking should give him a good shot at making a run over the next two weeks. And really, hit’s hard not to rate him highly after what we saw in Roland Garros. I know Djokovic lost in straight sets to Jannik Sinner there, but it was a competitive three-setter. And before that, Djokovic was essentially flawless.
As far as winning the tournament goes, I’d just hate not to have a small piece of Djokovic in the event he makes the semifinals. While a rematch with Sinner is a real possibility, the 24-time Grand Slam champion would have a better chance on grass. Sinner hasn’t accomplished much on this surface, and Djokovic won’t have to work as hard to hit the ball by the Italian. That was nearly impossible in a night match on clay, but this would be a day match on grass.
I’d also give Djokovic a shot against Carlos Alcaraz in the final. Djokovic has won two matches in a row against the Spaniard, and I think he can do it again. Djokovic has found a lot of success serving to the Alcaraz forehand, and he has also figured out how to get to the Spaniard as a returner.
Daniil Medvedev to win Quarter 3 (FanDuel: +390) – I don’t want to get carried away backing Medvedev, as I have been largely unimpressed with his game for two years now. However, the Russian has turned things on a little lately. Medvedev had a pretty decent clay-court season, and he went all the way to the final in Halle. Medvedev also beat Alexander Zverev, the top seed in Quarter 3, at that tournament, giving him seven wins in his last eight matches against the German. So, if Medvedev does have to face Zverev in a potential quarter-final, I’d love his chances.
I’m also just not expecting to see Medvedev get upset before the quarters. His hold percentage is ticking back up, as it’s 82.3% after being 80.1% in 2024. If that continues to go in the right direction, he should be as tough an out as anyone on grass. After all, he’s 51-25 on this surface. TennisViz and Tennis Data Innovations also have some numbers that suggest Medvedev is attacking a little better, serving much better and also doing a good job of stealing points again. He’s throwing things back to 2023 at the right time.
Matteo Berrettini to win Quarter 3 (FanDuel: 21-1 – 0.25 units) – Berrettini has had a ton of injury problems lately, but he’s 10th on the ATP Tour in grass-court Elo rating (1873.1). He’s also a former Wimbledon runner-up and his game is perfect for this surface when he’s clicking. Berrettini has a massive serve, meaning tons of free points and easy holds. He also has one of the best forehands on tour. Also, his backhand, which is normally a weakness, is solid on this surface because slicing is rewarded on grass.
If Berrettini’s body can just hold up, I don’t think it’s crazy to believe he can make a deep run here. He will have to face Zverev if he reaches the third round, but Berrettini can beat the German on grass. We actually saw him beat Zverev in Monte-Carlo this year, and those were conditions that probably favored the German.
Joao Fonseca to reach Quarterfinals (bet365: +550 – 0.5 units) – This has the potential to be Fonseca’s big breakout. Fonseca will have to beat a Brit in Round 1, as he’s set to take on Jacob Fearnley. That won’t be easy. However, Fonseca has an ability to steal a home crowd with his tantalizing talent, which could make for an awkward match. Also, regardless of who the fans are rooting for, Fonseca might have too much firepower for Fearnley. After that, Fonseca will see either Tallon Griekspoor or Jenson Brooksby. Both are good players, but Fonseca can beat either one of them if he’s just playing at a B- level. I would also love his chances against Holger Rune, a player I’m very high on, in the third round. I simply don’t know if Rune would be able to handle that match mentally, as Fonseca has a world of talent and is starting to pass the Dane in the minds of many. It could make Rune a little emotional, and that would bring out the worst in his game. I also don’t think Fonseca would fear a fourth-round matchup with Jiri Lehecka, Cameron Norrie or Frances Tiafoe.
Realistically, Fonseca is still extremely young, so the moment can get too big for him at any point in the tournament. But Fonseca beat Zizou Bergs, a solid grass-court player, in Eastbourne. Then, he pushed Taylor Fritz in a 6-3, 6-7 (5), 7-5 loss in the Round of 16. Fritz is unbeatable at that event, so it was a very impressive performance from the Brazilian.
There’s just a good argument to be made that Fonseca is the most talented player in the top half of Quarter 4, and that makes him intriguing at +550 odds. I think we’re heading towards a Fonseca-Alcaraz battle in the quarters. The Spaniard will probably mop him up, but that’s neither here nor there.
