Your betting guide to NFL Week 13
Underdogs are off to a 4-0 start in NFL Week 13. That’s straight up.
Will we see more of the same today?
We have 11 games with the prominent storyline around QBs trying to play through or after injuries – Baker Mayfield, Aaron Rodgers, Jaxson Dart, C.J. Stroud, Daniel Jones — along with the debut of Vikings rookie Max Brosmer, who is filling for J.J. McCarthy (concussion).
That said, VSiN’s Matt Youmans is looking beyond the return of Rodgers in the Steelers’ matchup vs. the visiting Bills (4:25 ET):
The Steelers (6-5) will be playing with receiver DK Metcalf and linebacker Alex Highsmith, two of their most important players. The Bills (7-4) will be without starting offensive tackles Spencer Brown and Dion Dawkins. Brown and Dawkins were injured during Buffalo’s loss at Houston last week, when quarterback Josh Allen was sacked eight times. Pittsburgh should be a live home underdog, but that’s not necessarily due to Rodgers’ return. The Bills’ offensive line is a mess and Allen has been struggling to lead scoring drives on the road.
Best Bet: Steelers +3
More Best Bets columns:
👉 Zach Cohen (SNF Broncos-Commanders)
👉 Pauly Howard (kicking props)
Josh Appelbaum will post his NFL Sharp Report this morning.
Prop projections for NFL Week 13
Let’s see what the biggest differences between the DraftKings lines and the Opta AI projections are for today’s games:
Brock Purdy, 49ers: Over 198.5 passing yards at DK (Opta AI +60.53)
Bucky Irving, Bucs: Over 40.5 rushing yards at DK (+22.27)
Parker Washington, Jaguars: Over 33.5 receiving yards at DK (+24.88)
>Fantasy Points WR/CB Matchup Tool
Programming reminder: Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard will have all the late-breaking news and line moves on the VSiN Pro Football Tailgate Show (9-Noon ET) along with Dr. David Chao, Warren Sharp and John Hansen.
Other NFL Week 13 resources
Everything we posted on NFL Week 13 is here.
>DraftKings/Circa Betting Splits
VSiN Pro subscribers have access to the plays from hosts and guests on our NFL picks page.
Chargers top Survivor pick
As they are every week, the selections for the three Circa contests were revealed Saturday night on The Football Contest Show (9-10 ET):
>Circa Survivor: After the Thanksgiving/Black Friday carnage, 49 fortunate entries get to make picks for the 12 remaining Week 13 games. The Chargers, who play the Raiders, are the top pick with 21 (42.9 percent). Six other teams were used: Dolphins (7), 49ers (7), Jaguars (5), Rams (4), Seahawks (4), Patriots (1). So, in theory, Survivor could end with a Patriots’ victory over the Giants on MNF.
>Circa Million: The top 5 picks are Texans +4.5 vs. Colts (1,733), Lions -2.5 vs. Packers (1,534), Bills -3 vs. Steelers (1,430); Browns +5.5 vs. Commanders (1,353); Bucs -3 vs. Cardinals (1,271)..
Check out our contest hub for complete consensus picks and individual selections.
The most popular pick in the Circa Friday Football Invitational is the Texans +3. The contest is sponsored by Omaha Steaks. Get their holiday deals here.
Adam Burke breaks down how the EdgeBoost Average Joe contestants played the card.
Quick Hits
College Football: Some early numbers for Saturday’s conference championship games — Big 12: BYU (+11.5) vs. Texas Tech; Big Ten: Ohio State (-5.5) vs. Indiana.
NBA: Zach Cohen‘s Best Bets column and Steve Makinen‘s Analytics Report will hit around mid-morning on our NBA page. Our Opta AI NBA player props projections are here.
College basketball: Greg Peterson has Best Bets as the holiday hoops continue.
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NHL: VSiN hockey analyst Jonathan Davis will post his Best Bets around mid-day.
