Happy Thanksgiving. I hope you are celebrating wherever you want to be today.
As for myself, I will be enjoying a 2025 version of a Norman Rockwell Thanksgiving here in Chicago with my daughter, girlfriend and her daughter, mom, dad, sister, brother and nephew all hosted by my ex-wife and her husband.
Football and alcohol will be on the menu.
My mom inevitably will remind me how many Thanksgivings I have missed because of work.
Which is why I appreciate VSiN’s hosts, producers and behind-the-scenes crew for working today to produce a full lineup of live shows from 7 a.m.-2 a.m. ET.
After all, we have a big day of football ahead.
Your guide to Thanksgiving NFL betting menu
Let’s start with Zach Cohen‘s previews for today’s NFL games:
Packers at Lions, 1 ET (Fox) 👉 Preview
Chiefs at Cowboys, 4:30 ET (CBS) 👉 Preview
Bengals at Ravens, 8:20 ET (NBC) 👉 Preview.
Dave “Dog or Pass” Tuley has two passes for today, but one two-team parlay for your consideration.
Steve Makinen has posted his Best Bets for Week 13, including two on today’s games.
In his column, Steve leans on his betting systems for Thanksgiving and beyond, so well worth a read.
Last week, I ran all of Steve’s betting trends, systems and power ratings from his NFL Analytics Report through AI (ChatGPT) and its top pick was the Browns +4 vs. the Raiders.
Since that was an easy winner, I tried it again. The top pick for this week is KC -3 vs. the Cowboys.
Why KC is the strongest play on the board, according to Steve + AI:
✔ Supported by the most systems overall (10+ systems lean KC).
✔ Teams losing 3 straight ATS (all as favs) are 38-25-2 ATS (60.3%) next game when favored → PLAY KC
✔ Late-season road favorites of -3 to -9.5 in non-Sunday games → 27-14 ATS (65.9%) → PLAY KC
✔ Better record favored by 3+ → 56-29 ATS (65.9%) → PLAY KC
✔ Andy Reid non-conference: 18-4 SU / 15-6 ATS
✔ Dallas poor vs winning teams: Dak is 18-36 ATS vs winning teams
✔ Dallas poor on short rest: 14-24 ATS since 2010
Josh Appelbaum’s Sharp Report will be posted later this morning.
Want a heads-up when it hits? Turn on VSiN’s push notifications.
More Thanksgiving Day NFL resources
>DraftKings/Circa Betting Splits
>Fantasy Points WR/CB Matchup Tool
>VSiN Pro subscribers have access to our NFL picks page with plays from hosts and guests.
Everything we do on Week 13 is posted here.
Tonight’s college football action
We have one game tonight heading into the last regular-season weekend.
👉Adam Burke’s Best Bet for Navy at Memphis, 7:30 ET (ESPN).
Steve Makinen has posted his Week 14 Best Bets.
Everything we post on CFB Week 14 will be here.
👉 Tim Murray, Wes Reynolds and Wes Reynolds run through this weekend’s big games on the VSiN College Football Betting Podcast. >Listen / Watch.
Thanksgiving week hoops
Greg Peterson is still in hoops heaven with Best Bets on games from noon ET to 10:30 with my Northwestern Wildcats taking on OK State.
Adam Burke will offer his college basketball Best Bets Monday-Saturday. You can find them on our college basketball page mid-morning.
Get real-time steam alerts from the DonBest Screen. Sign up now for a 7-day free trial at go.donbest.com. Use the promo code VSIN10 for 10% off your initial subscription.
Quick Hits
Horse Racing: Gulfstream Park’s winter meet opens today and runs through March 29. On the VSiN At The Track podcast, Mike Somich and Aaron Halterman preview the first weekend of racing.
1/ST Bet handicapper Jeremy Plonk offers his picks on today’s Churchill Downs card.
1/ST BET is built for bettors who demand more. Their AI-powered handicapping tools deliver Win, Place, and Show probabilities for every runner—helping you find value and bet smarter. Right now, new users can get up to a $250 sign-up bonus. Use promo code VSIN250 and sign up today.
FYI: There are no NBA and NHL games today.
