We are off to a roaring start in the WNBA so far, with VSiN article plays starting 4-1 (80%) and all of my bets I’ve given out going 10-6 (63%). Check out yesterday’s best bets piece to see what I’m betting for Friday night, but today I’m going to give you my full TSI projections for the weekend slate so you’ve got that ahead of time. With five games this weekend, four on Saturday, it’s going to be a busy and fun weekend of WNBA betting, and TSI has you covered for all of it. There are no lines set for any of these games yet, but using my projections will have you prepared when the openers drop.
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Here are Saturday and Sunday’s projections from my T Shoe Index:
Saturday
New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever
These two teams just played on Thursday night, with the Liberty destroying Caitlin Clark’s Fever team, but we cashed a best bet on the Under, and now these teams will meet again in New York on Saturday afternoon. TSI makes the Liberty a 15.5-point favorite at home with a total of 166.5. My guess is that oddsmakers will open this around Liberty -12.5, with an O/U of around 169.
Las Vegas Aces vs Los Angeles Sparks
A’ja Wilson was out of her mind in the Aces’ season debut, going for 30 points and 13 rebounds in a nine-point win over the Mercury. Meanwhile, the Sparks lost a shootout to the Atlanta Dream in their opener, allowing 92 points in the process. With the Aces playing at home, TSI projects Vegas -19.5 with a total of 165.5. I estimate that oddsmakers will open this game around Vegas -18 or so, with an Over/Under of ~167.5.
Dallas Wings vs Chicago Sky
Dallas came through for us Wednesday evening against the Sky, cashing both the spread and total that I gave out in my article and on X that day and now these teams will face off again in Dallas. Wednesday’s lines were Dallas -7.5 and 161.5. My assumption is the opener for Saturday’s matchup will be similar, as Chicago led for much of that game Wednesday before collapsing in the fourth quarter, and the total ending up at 166.5. We might see the total open a touch higher – maybe 163 – but I’d expect the spread to be in the same ballpark as Wednesday. TSI projects Dallas -11 with a total of 174.6 (Chicago missed nearly a dozen shots at the rim on Wednesday, so I think we’re still going to see value on the over).
Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream
Phoenix played a very competitive game with the defending champs in its debut, while Atlanta was red-hot against the young LA Sparks, putting up 92 points in their opener. TSI makes this game essentially a pick ‘em with a total of 161.5. I am less confident in predicting where this game will open, but I will guess Phoenix as a slight favorite with a total in the mid-160s.
Sunday
Washington Mystics vs Seattle Storm
Both of these teams will have played another game between now and Sunday, but in their season openers, the Mystics played a competitive game against the Liberty, while the Storm lost outright as 7.5-point favorites to the Lynx. I was lower on the Storm than the market coming into the season, but not lose-to-Minnesota-as-7-point-favorites low, so I’m not sure what exactly to make of them so far, as they also struggled to find rhythm in the preseason, losing outright to the Sparks – who I have power rated dead last in the W. TSI projects Seattle -6 with a total of 157.5. I think, depending on how these teams perform in Friday’s games, that Seattle will open as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of around 160.
Be sure to follow me on X, @TShoeIndex, to get all of my best bets on these games, and check VSiN.com each day throughout the week to get my daily projections and best bets articles.
